PIT
@
2:20p
CHC
Park Factor
0.98×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · steady crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.886
Temp
56.9°F
Wind
11.5 mph
cross
Roof
open
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Oneil Cruz | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 18 | 0.178 | 94.7 | 10.6% | 17.7% | 417 | 25.0% | 27.3% | 18.9% | 36 |
| 2 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 22 | 0.157 | 92.4 | 9.3% | 13.4% | 415 | 23.1% | 27.3% | 14.5% | 33 |
| 3 |
|
Andrew McCutchen | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 53 | 0.128 | 92.5 | 9.9% | 9.6% | 347 | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9 |
| 4 |
|
Henry Davis | 38 | ⚪ D | · | · | 89 | 0.111 | 93.3 | 7.9% | 7.7% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.5% | 19 |
| 5 |
|
Joey Bart | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 104 | 0.091 | 89.4 | 8.1% | 7.1% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 5 |
| 6 |
|
Spencer Horwitz | 34 | ⚪ D | · | · | 109 | 0.162 | 82.0 | 0.0% | 9.2% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 24 |
| 7 |
|
Jared Triolo | 27 | ⚪ D | · | · | 146 | 0.130 | 85.7 | 0.0% | 6.6% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.1% | 9 |
| 8 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 152 | 0.102 | 85.3 | 0.0% | 5.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.4% | 30 |