COL
@
4:10p
SD
Park Factor
0.90×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.814
Temp
58.0°F
Wind
6.4 mph
cross
Roof
open
Kyle Freeland
LHP
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jackson Merrill | 59 | 🟠 C | · | · | 23 | 0.193 | 88.9 | 13.7% | 11.9% | 386 | 18.2% | 20.0% | 9.3% | 38 |
| 2 |
|
Manny Machado | 56 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 28 | 0.185 | 85.1 | 7.8% | 13.1% | 365 | 18.2% | 20.0% | 12.2% | 29 |
| 3 |
|
Gavin Sheets | 55 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 32 | 0.177 | 87.5 | 8.5% | 11.9% | · | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 29 |
| 4 |
|
Fernando Tatis Jr. | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 39 | 0.178 | 92.8 | 14.1% | 15.8% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.2% | 35 |
| 5 |
|
Jake Cronenworth | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 64 | 0.131 | 89.2 | 7.1% | 9.1% | · | 9.1% | 10.0% | 5.2% | 32 |
| 6 |
|
Xander Bogaerts | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 68 | 0.128 | 90.3 | 6.2% | 7.8% | · | 9.1% | 10.0% | 4.8% | 40 |
| 7 |
|
Luis Arraez | 20 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 161 | 0.100 | 85.9 | 0.0% | 4.4% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.6% | 45 |