⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
BOS
@ 6:40p
DET
Comerica Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.94×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cold air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Combined
0.843
Temp
50.2°F
Wind
10.4 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Spencer Torkelson Spencer Torkelson 55 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 16 0.219 91.3 · 26.1% 404 17.1% 50.0% 31.4% 31
2 Kerry Carpenter Kerry Carpenter 48 ⚪ D · · 36 0.272 92.2 · 25.0% 382 15.2% 9.1% 24.0% 26
3 Riley Greene Riley Greene 39 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 88 0.182 90.4 · 12.0% 409 8.6% 16.7% 15.9% 28
4 Javier Báez Javier Báez 36 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 111 0.141 84.7 · 11.1% 379 10.5% 10.0% 14.0% 14
5 Dillon Dingler Dillon Dingler 36 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 113 0.220 91.1 · 35.0% 415 15.6% 10.0% 20.3% 29
6 Kevin McGonigle Kevin McGonigle 29 ⚪ D · · 156 0.185 88.5 · 5.7% 407 0.0% 0.0% 8.0% 38
7 Matt Vierling Matt Vierling 29 ⚪ D · · 158 0.140 88.6 · 7.7% 358 9.1% 10.0% 9.2% 30
8 Gleyber Torres Gleyber Torres 20 ⚪ D · · 224 0.075 83.0 · 9.5% 376 5.7% 8.3% 8.6% 26
9 Colt Keith Colt Keith 12 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 260 0.080 92.5 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.3% 27
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Willson Contreras Willson Contreras 54 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 20 0.224 91.8 · 28.6% 409 22.6% 33.3% 27.0% 34
2 Wilyer Abreu Wilyer Abreu 40 ⚪ D · · 78 0.175 90.2 · 16.7% 383 16.1% 16.7% 13.6% 38
3 Carlos Narváez Carlos Narváez 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 93 0.125 92.8 · 14.3% 386 13.3% 20.0% 13.0% 15
4 Jarren Duran Jarren Duran 29 ⚪ D · · 159 0.080 90.1 · 30.8% 397 9.7% 25.0% 15.4% 42
5 Ceddanne Rafaela Ceddanne Rafaela 28 ⚪ D · · 168 0.116 87.9 · 13.3% 350 6.7% 8.3% 7.6% 37
6 Marcelo Mayer Marcelo Mayer 25 ⚪ D · · 194 0.120 88.3 · 0.0% 385 0.0% 0.0% 6.8% 29
7 Roman Anthony Roman Anthony 20 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 221 0.084 92.3 · 5.9% 391 3.6% 0.0% 8.0% 21
8 Trevor Story Trevor Story 19 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 230 0.098 89.0 · 12.5% 407 6.5% 0.0% 7.5% 32
9 Caleb Durbin Caleb Durbin 18 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 236 0.091 85.4 · 11.1% 386 3.2% 8.3% 7.4% 38
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