BOS
@
6:40p
DET
Park Factor
0.94×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cold air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Combined
0.843
Temp
50.2°F
Wind
10.4 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
Sonny Gray
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Spencer Torkelson | 55 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 16 | 0.219 | 91.3 | · | 26.1% | 404 | 17.1% | 50.0% | 31.4% | 31 |
| 2 |
|
Kerry Carpenter | 48 | ⚪ D | · | · | 36 | 0.272 | 92.2 | · | 25.0% | 382 | 15.2% | 9.1% | 24.0% | 26 |
| 3 |
|
Riley Greene | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 88 | 0.182 | 90.4 | · | 12.0% | 409 | 8.6% | 16.7% | 15.9% | 28 |
| 4 |
|
Javier Báez | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 111 | 0.141 | 84.7 | · | 11.1% | 379 | 10.5% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 14 |
| 5 |
|
Dillon Dingler | 36 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 113 | 0.220 | 91.1 | · | 35.0% | 415 | 15.6% | 10.0% | 20.3% | 29 |
| 6 |
|
Kevin McGonigle | 29 | ⚪ D | · | · | 156 | 0.185 | 88.5 | · | 5.7% | 407 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.0% | 38 |
| 7 |
|
Matt Vierling | 29 | ⚪ D | · | · | 158 | 0.140 | 88.6 | · | 7.7% | 358 | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 30 |
| 8 |
|
Gleyber Torres | 20 | ⚪ D | · | · | 224 | 0.075 | 83.0 | · | 9.5% | 376 | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 26 |
| 9 |
|
Colt Keith | 12 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 260 | 0.080 | 92.5 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.3% | 27 |
Jack Flaherty
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Willson Contreras | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 20 | 0.224 | 91.8 | · | 28.6% | 409 | 22.6% | 33.3% | 27.0% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Wilyer Abreu | 40 | ⚪ D | · | · | 78 | 0.175 | 90.2 | · | 16.7% | 383 | 16.1% | 16.7% | 13.6% | 38 |
| 3 |
|
Carlos Narváez | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 93 | 0.125 | 92.8 | · | 14.3% | 386 | 13.3% | 20.0% | 13.0% | 15 |
| 4 |
|
Jarren Duran | 29 | ⚪ D | · | · | 159 | 0.080 | 90.1 | · | 30.8% | 397 | 9.7% | 25.0% | 15.4% | 42 |
| 5 |
|
Ceddanne Rafaela | 28 | ⚪ D | · | · | 168 | 0.116 | 87.9 | · | 13.3% | 350 | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 37 |
| 6 |
|
Marcelo Mayer | 25 | ⚪ D | · | · | 194 | 0.120 | 88.3 | · | 0.0% | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.8% | 29 |
| 7 |
|
Roman Anthony | 20 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 221 | 0.084 | 92.3 | · | 5.9% | 391 | 3.6% | 0.0% | 8.0% | 21 |
| 8 |
|
Trevor Story | 19 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 230 | 0.098 | 89.0 | · | 12.5% | 407 | 6.5% | 0.0% | 7.5% | 32 |
| 9 |
|
Caleb Durbin | 18 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 236 | 0.091 | 85.4 | · | 11.1% | 386 | 3.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 38 |