⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
BOS
@ 6:40p
DET
Comerica Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.87×
Weather Mod
+2.0%
cool air · strong partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.048
Temp
61.7°F
Wind
20.7 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Spencer Torkelson Spencer Torkelson 46 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 32 0.219 91.5 · 0.0% 404 18.2% 50.0% 11.9% 30
2 Kerry Carpenter Kerry Carpenter 39 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 63 0.272 92.0 · 27.3% 382 16.1% 9.1% 24.8% 25
3 Riley Greene Riley Greene 29 ⚪ D · · 115 0.182 90.0 · 15.4% 409 9.1% 16.7% 16.3% 30
4 Javier Báez Javier Báez 29 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 116 0.141 84.7 · 16.7% 379 11.8% 10.0% 8.2% 16
5 Dillon Dingler Dillon Dingler 28 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 123 0.220 90.8 · 25.0% 415 16.7% 10.0% 11.5% 31
6 Kevin McGonigle Kevin McGonigle 22 ⚪ D · · 153 0.185 88.4 · 0.0% 407 0.0% 0.0% 6.1% 45
7 Matt Vierling Matt Vierling 17 ⚪ D · · 165 0.140 87.8 · 0.0% 350 0.0% 0.0% 5.2% 29
8 Gleyber Torres Gleyber Torres 13 ⚪ D · · 181 0.075 83.0 · 0.0% 376 6.1% 8.3% 4.3% 32
9 Colt Keith Colt Keith 6 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 195 0.080 93.0 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.1% 30
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Willson Contreras Willson Contreras 39 ⚪ D · · 64 0.224 92.1 · 30.0% 403 20.7% 25.0% 18.5% 37
2 Carlos Narváez Carlos Narváez 28 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 122 0.125 92.6 · 15.4% 386 15.4% 20.0% 9.2% 18
3 Wilyer Abreu Wilyer Abreu 27 ⚪ D · · 133 0.175 89.8 · 0.0% 380 13.8% 8.3% 5.4% 40
4 Caleb Durbin Caleb Durbin 21 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 158 0.091 85.1 · 0.0% 386 3.4% 8.3% 4.3% 39
5 Jarren Duran Jarren Duran 16 ⚪ D · · 168 0.080 90.0 · 0.0% 402 6.9% 16.7% 5.0% 39
6 Marcelo Mayer Marcelo Mayer 15 ⚪ D · · 174 0.120 88.4 · 5.6% 385 0.0% 0.0% 5.1% 30
7 Ceddanne Rafaela Ceddanne Rafaela 13 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 180 0.116 88.2 · 0.0% 337 3.6% 0.0% 4.2% 33
8 Roman Anthony Roman Anthony 10 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 189 0.084 92.5 · 7.1% 391 3.8% 0.0% 5.4% 23
9 Trevor Story Trevor Story 9 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 191 0.098 88.9 · 0.0% 407 6.9% 0.0% 3.9% 32
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