BOS
@
6:40p
DET
Park Factor
0.87×
Weather Mod
+2.0%
cool air · strong partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.048
Temp
61.7°F
Wind
20.7 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
Payton Tolle
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Spencer Torkelson | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 32 | 0.219 | 91.5 | · | 0.0% | 404 | 18.2% | 50.0% | 11.9% | 30 |
| 2 |
|
Kerry Carpenter | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 63 | 0.272 | 92.0 | · | 27.3% | 382 | 16.1% | 9.1% | 24.8% | 25 |
| 3 |
|
Riley Greene | 29 | ⚪ D | · | · | 115 | 0.182 | 90.0 | · | 15.4% | 409 | 9.1% | 16.7% | 16.3% | 30 |
| 4 |
|
Javier Báez | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 116 | 0.141 | 84.7 | · | 16.7% | 379 | 11.8% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 16 |
| 5 |
|
Dillon Dingler | 28 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 123 | 0.220 | 90.8 | · | 25.0% | 415 | 16.7% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 31 |
| 6 |
|
Kevin McGonigle | 22 | ⚪ D | · | · | 153 | 0.185 | 88.4 | · | 0.0% | 407 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.1% | 45 |
| 7 |
|
Matt Vierling | 17 | ⚪ D | · | · | 165 | 0.140 | 87.8 | · | 0.0% | 350 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.2% | 29 |
| 8 |
|
Gleyber Torres | 13 | ⚪ D | · | · | 181 | 0.075 | 83.0 | · | 0.0% | 376 | 6.1% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 32 |
| 9 |
|
Colt Keith | 6 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 195 | 0.080 | 93.0 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.1% | 30 |
Tarik Skubal
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Willson Contreras | 39 | ⚪ D | · | · | 64 | 0.224 | 92.1 | · | 30.0% | 403 | 20.7% | 25.0% | 18.5% | 37 |
| 2 |
|
Carlos Narváez | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 122 | 0.125 | 92.6 | · | 15.4% | 386 | 15.4% | 20.0% | 9.2% | 18 |
| 3 |
|
Wilyer Abreu | 27 | ⚪ D | · | · | 133 | 0.175 | 89.8 | · | 0.0% | 380 | 13.8% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 40 |
| 4 |
|
Caleb Durbin | 21 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 158 | 0.091 | 85.1 | · | 0.0% | 386 | 3.4% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 39 |
| 5 |
|
Jarren Duran | 16 | ⚪ D | · | · | 168 | 0.080 | 90.0 | · | 0.0% | 402 | 6.9% | 16.7% | 5.0% | 39 |
| 6 |
|
Marcelo Mayer | 15 | ⚪ D | · | · | 174 | 0.120 | 88.4 | · | 5.6% | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.1% | 30 |
| 7 |
|
Ceddanne Rafaela | 13 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 180 | 0.116 | 88.2 | · | 0.0% | 337 | 3.6% | 0.0% | 4.2% | 33 |
| 8 |
|
Roman Anthony | 10 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 189 | 0.084 | 92.5 | · | 7.1% | 391 | 3.8% | 0.0% | 5.4% | 23 |
| 9 |
|
Trevor Story | 9 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 191 | 0.098 | 88.9 | · | 0.0% | 407 | 6.9% | 0.0% | 3.9% | 32 |