⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
BOS
@ 12:05p
BAL
Camden Yards · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.35×
Weather Mod
-4.0%
cool air · steady wind in · roof open
Combined
0.808
Temp
58.1°F
Wind
12.7 mph
in
Roof
open
Garrett Crochet
Garrett Crochet LHP 💥 Meltdown
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Gunnar Henderson Gunnar Henderson 81 🟢 A · · 19 0.270 90.8 12.0% 36.4% 388 31.8% 27.3% 51.3% 39
2 Samuel Basallo Samuel Basallo 72 🟡 B · · 37 0.189 92.2 11.8% 28.6% 415 20.0% 25.0% 37.8% 31
3 Jeremiah Jackson Jeremiah Jackson 71 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 40 0.208 88.6 9.4% 33.3% 399 16.7% 20.0% 43.9% 40
4 Coby Mayo Coby Mayo 69 🔵 C+ · 🔥 HOT 45 0.166 87.5 6.7% 21.4% 429 14.3% 27.3% 30.9% 26
5 Taylor Ward Taylor Ward 55 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 80 0.155 90.6 5.9% 4.3% 394 4.0% 8.3% 12.7% 44
6 Pete Alonso Pete Alonso 52 🟠 C · · 96 0.152 94.3 7.2% 13.6% 403 8.3% 8.3% 17.6% 35
7 Leody Taveras Leody Taveras 51 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 100 0.160 87.5 7.0% 15.4% 409 0.0% 0.0% 20.1% 33
8 Dylan Beavers Dylan Beavers 51 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 102 0.134 87.5 5.8% 16.7% 406 11.1% 14.3% 13.9% 27
9 Blaze Alexander Blaze Alexander 21 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 253 0.019 92.0 2.8% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 11.5% 13
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Willson Contreras Willson Contreras 64 🔵 C+ · · 53 0.159 91.5 14.3% 26.7% 398 13.6% 18.2% 23.9% 26
2 Wilyer Abreu Wilyer Abreu 63 🔵 C+ · · 57 0.200 90.4 12.0% 17.4% 380 18.2% 10.0% 17.7% 36
3 Jarren Duran Jarren Duran 47 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 120 0.098 89.6 12.1% 9.1% 424 0.0% 0.0% 10.2% 33
4 Connor Wong Connor Wong 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 128 0.148 87.7 4.5% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 10.5% 14
5 Trevor Story Trevor Story 38 ⚪ D · · 164 0.105 89.2 4.2% 12.5% 407 8.7% 9.1% 10.7% 33
6 Ceddanne Rafaela Ceddanne Rafaela 35 ⚪ D · · 179 0.077 88.0 6.7% 9.1% 337 4.8% 0.0% 10.2% 30
7 Caleb Durbin Caleb Durbin 31 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 206 0.062 87.0 1.5% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 9.5% 37
8 Andruw Monasterio Andruw Monasterio 27 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 224 0.064 92.7 4.3% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 9.5% 15
9 Isiah Kiner-Falefa Isiah Kiner-Falefa 23 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 241 0.000 81.5 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 13.1% 14
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