BOS
@
12:05p
BAL
Park Factor
1.35×
Weather Mod
-4.0%
cool air · steady wind in · roof open
Combined
0.808
Temp
58.1°F
Wind
12.7 mph
in
Roof
open
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Gunnar Henderson | 81 | 🟢 A | · | · | 19 | 0.270 | 90.8 | 12.0% | 36.4% | 388 | 31.8% | 27.3% | 51.3% | 39 |
| 2 |
|
Samuel Basallo | 72 | 🟡 B | · | · | 37 | 0.189 | 92.2 | 11.8% | 28.6% | 415 | 20.0% | 25.0% | 37.8% | 31 |
| 3 |
|
Jeremiah Jackson | 71 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 40 | 0.208 | 88.6 | 9.4% | 33.3% | 399 | 16.7% | 20.0% | 43.9% | 40 |
| 4 |
|
Coby Mayo | 69 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🔥 HOT | 45 | 0.166 | 87.5 | 6.7% | 21.4% | 429 | 14.3% | 27.3% | 30.9% | 26 |
| 5 |
|
Taylor Ward | 55 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 80 | 0.155 | 90.6 | 5.9% | 4.3% | 394 | 4.0% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 44 |
| 6 |
|
Pete Alonso | 52 | 🟠 C | · | · | 96 | 0.152 | 94.3 | 7.2% | 13.6% | 403 | 8.3% | 8.3% | 17.6% | 35 |
| 7 |
|
Leody Taveras | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 100 | 0.160 | 87.5 | 7.0% | 15.4% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 20.1% | 33 |
| 8 |
|
Dylan Beavers | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 102 | 0.134 | 87.5 | 5.8% | 16.7% | 406 | 11.1% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 27 |
| 9 |
|
Blaze Alexander | 21 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 253 | 0.019 | 92.0 | 2.8% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.5% | 13 |
Trevor Rogers
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Willson Contreras | 64 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 53 | 0.159 | 91.5 | 14.3% | 26.7% | 398 | 13.6% | 18.2% | 23.9% | 26 |
| 2 |
|
Wilyer Abreu | 63 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 57 | 0.200 | 90.4 | 12.0% | 17.4% | 380 | 18.2% | 10.0% | 17.7% | 36 |
| 3 |
|
Jarren Duran | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 120 | 0.098 | 89.6 | 12.1% | 9.1% | 424 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.2% | 33 |
| 4 |
|
Connor Wong | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 128 | 0.148 | 87.7 | 4.5% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.5% | 14 |
| 5 |
|
Trevor Story | 38 | ⚪ D | · | · | 164 | 0.105 | 89.2 | 4.2% | 12.5% | 407 | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 33 |
| 6 |
|
Ceddanne Rafaela | 35 | ⚪ D | · | · | 179 | 0.077 | 88.0 | 6.7% | 9.1% | 337 | 4.8% | 0.0% | 10.2% | 30 |
| 7 |
|
Caleb Durbin | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 206 | 0.062 | 87.0 | 1.5% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.5% | 37 |
| 8 |
|
Andruw Monasterio | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 224 | 0.064 | 92.7 | 4.3% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.5% | 15 |
| 9 |
|
Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 23 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 241 | 0.000 | 81.5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.1% | 14 |