BOS
@
7:05p
BAL
Park Factor
1.27×
Weather Mod
-4.0%
cool air · steady wind in · roof open
Combined
0.764
Temp
58.1°F
Wind
12.7 mph
in
Roof
open
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Gunnar Henderson | 82 | 🟢 A | · | · | 16 | 0.270 | 90.8 | 12.0% | 36.4% | 388 | 28.6% | 27.3% | 53.6% | 39 |
| 2 |
|
Jeremiah Jackson | 72 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 37 | 0.208 | 88.6 | 9.4% | 33.3% | 399 | 18.2% | 20.0% | 45.9% | 40 |
| 3 |
|
Adley Rutschman | 69 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 45 | 0.349 | 89.7 | 8.3% | 30.0% | 394 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 50.3% | 8 |
| 4 |
|
Samuel Basallo | 68 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 49 | 0.189 | 92.2 | 11.8% | 28.6% | 415 | 11.1% | 12.5% | 39.6% | 31 |
| 5 |
|
Coby Mayo | 68 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🔥 HOT | 50 | 0.166 | 87.5 | 6.7% | 21.4% | 429 | 10.0% | 20.0% | 32.3% | 26 |
| 6 |
|
Taylor Ward | 57 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 70 | 0.155 | 90.6 | 5.9% | 4.3% | 394 | 4.2% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 44 |
| 7 |
|
Pete Alonso ⚡ | 54 | 🟠 C | · | · | 87 | 0.152 | 94.3 | 7.2% | 13.6% | 403 | 8.7% | 8.3% | 18.4% | 35 |
| 8 |
|
Leody Taveras | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 92 | 0.160 | 87.5 | 7.0% | 15.4% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 21.0% | 33 |
| 9 |
|
Dylan Beavers | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 116 | 0.134 | 87.5 | 5.8% | 16.7% | 406 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.5% | 27 |
Brandon Young
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Willson Contreras | 64 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 55 | 0.159 | 91.5 | 14.3% | 26.7% | 398 | 14.3% | 18.2% | 21.3% | 26 |
| 2 |
|
Wilyer Abreu | 61 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 62 | 0.200 | 90.4 | 12.0% | 17.4% | 380 | 14.3% | 0.0% | 15.7% | 36 |
| 3 |
|
Carlos Narváez | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 100 | 0.087 | 93.2 | 7.3% | 8.3% | 383 | 14.3% | 14.3% | 10.1% | 18 |
| 4 |
|
Jarren Duran | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 114 | 0.098 | 89.6 | 12.1% | 9.1% | 424 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.1% | 33 |
| 5 |
|
Marcelo Mayer ⚡ | 43 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 132 | 0.143 | 87.9 | 11.8% | 6.2% | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.3% | 29 |
| 6 |
|
Trevor Story | 38 | ⚪ D | · | · | 157 | 0.105 | 89.2 | 4.2% | 12.5% | 407 | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 33 |
| 7 |
|
Ceddanne Rafaela | 36 | ⚪ D | · | · | 168 | 0.077 | 88.0 | 6.7% | 9.1% | 337 | 5.0% | 0.0% | 9.1% | 30 |
| 8 |
|
Caleb Durbin | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 187 | 0.062 | 87.0 | 1.5% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.5% | 37 |
| 9 |
|
Masataka Yoshida | 24 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 226 | 0.065 | 89.8 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.6% | 25 |