BAL
@
—
PIT
Park Factor
0.72×
Weather Mod
+2.0%
cold air · strong wind out · roof open
Combined
0.864
Temp
45.2°F
Wind
15.0 mph
out
Roof
open
Chris Bassitt
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Oneil Cruz | 55 | 🟠 C | · | · | 62 | 0.178 | 95.8 | 12.3% | 17.7% | 410 | 33.3% | 33.3% | 11.0% | 12 |
| 2 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 135 | 0.157 | 91.2 | 9.3% | 13.4% | 400 | 28.6% | 28.6% | 9.6% | 16 |
| 3 |
|
Andrew McCutchen | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 149 | 0.128 | 89.5 | 8.4% | 9.6% | 393 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 8.1% | 12 |
| 4 |
|
Spencer Horwitz | 34 | ⚪ D | · | · | 198 | 0.162 | 87.4 | 8.3% | 9.2% | 403 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.9% | 17 |
| 5 |
|
Henry Davis | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 200 | 0.111 | 88.6 | 9.9% | 7.7% | 404 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.3% | 13 |
| 6 |
|
Tommy Pham | 30 | ⚪ D | · | · | 215 | 0.125 | 91.6 | 7.5% | 10.0% | 418 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 0 |
| 7 |
|
Joey Bart | 28 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 225 | 0.091 | 88.4 | 9.4% | 7.1% | 402 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 6 |
| 8 |
|
Jared Triolo | 23 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 236 | 0.130 | 89.0 | 7.3% | 6.6% | 405 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 19 |
| 9 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 21 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 245 | 0.102 | 88.8 | 6.2% | 5.0% | 396 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.9% | 19 |
Braxton Ashcraft
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Tyler O'Neill | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 165 | 0.193 | 88.8 | 8.7% | 13.0% | 406 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 5.8% | 11 |
| 2 |
|
Jordan Westburg | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 168 | 0.192 | 90.2 | 7.2% | 16.0% | 397 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 15 |
| 3 |
|
Colton Cowser | 35 | ⚪ D | · | · | 194 | 0.190 | 90.9 | 8.1% | 20.5% | 405 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.3% | 10 |
| 4 |
|
Gunnar Henderson | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 204 | 0.165 | 92.1 | 6.2% | 12.3% | 393 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 5.7% | 13 |
| 5 |
|
Coby Mayo | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 208 | 0.171 | 87.3 | 6.8% | 12.1% | 405 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.6% | 10 |
| 6 |
|
Jackson Holliday | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 226 | 0.133 | 88.8 | 6.0% | 11.2% | 393 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.4% | 9 |
| 7 |
|
Adley Rutschman | 26 | ⚪ D | · | · | 230 | 0.146 | 89.4 | 5.9% | 8.5% | 395 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.7% | 18 |
| 8 |
|
Dylan Carlson | 24 | ⚪ D | · | · | 235 | 0.134 | 88.4 | 5.5% | 8.6% | 376 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.7% | 12 |
| 9 |
|
Ryan Mountcastle | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 241 | 0.117 | 90.7 | 7.3% | 8.9% | 404 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.8% | 10 |