ATL
@
—
AZ
Park Factor
0.90×
Weather Mod
+2.0%
warm air · steady partial wind out · retractable roof
Combined
1.080
Temp
72.3°F
Wind
12.7 mph
slight_out
Roof
retractable
Brandon Pfaadt
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Drake Baldwin | 61 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 30 | 0.195 | 91.7 | 10.9% | 18.1% | 398 | 37.5% | 37.5% | 14.0% | 19 |
| 2 |
|
Matt Olson | 59 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 40 | 0.212 | 93.3 | 12.5% | 16.0% | 407 | 12.5% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 18 |
| 3 |
|
Ronald Acuna Jr. | 53 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 70 | 0.228 | 92.7 | 13.1% | 23.1% | 419 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.8% | 9 |
| 4 | Michael Harris II | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 81 | 0.160 | 90.2 | 10.0% | 12.5% | 411 | 12.5% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 21 | |
| 5 |
|
Austin Riley | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 146 | 0.168 | 92.3 | 12.9% | 12.4% | 413 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.6% | 19 |
| 6 |
|
Jurickson Profar | 41 | ⚪ D | · | · | 156 | 0.189 | 89.0 | 8.9% | 11.3% | 390 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.0% | 0 |
| 7 |
|
Marcell Ozuna | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 160 | 0.168 | 89.9 | 11.2% | 15.0% | 411 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.7% | 22 |
| 8 |
|
Ozzie Albies | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 197 | 0.124 | 87.5 | 7.3% | 7.2% | 380 | 12.5% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 20 |
| 9 |
|
Nick Allen | 9 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 252 | 0.030 | 84.8 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.6% | 8 |