⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
AZ
@ 9:45p
SF
Oracle Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.97×
Weather Mod
+3.0%
cool air · strong partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.265
Temp
63.2°F
Wind
26.5 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
Tyler Mahle
Tyler Mahle RHP 💥 Meltdown
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Corbin Carroll Corbin Carroll 66 🔵 C+ +400 🌤️ WARM 29 0.260 91.7 11.3% 25.0% 417 12.5% 9.1% 17.3% 38
2 Gabriel Moreno Gabriel Moreno 59 🟠 C +850 · 53 0.207 88.9 10.5% 10.0% 410 9.1% 33.3% 19.5% 32
3 Ketel Marte Ketel Marte 58 🟠 C +475 🌤️ WARM 56 0.192 91.5 10.1% 23.3% 411 8.6% 18.2% 15.8% 48
4 Ryan Waldschmidt Ryan Waldschmidt 54 🟠 C +850 · 60 0.237 85.3 9.8% 14.3% · 0.0% 0.0% 31.7% 24
5 Nolan Arenado Nolan Arenado 54 🟠 C +750 🌤️ WARM 61 0.201 85.4 7.8% 18.5% 401 13.0% 9.1% 16.9% 34
6 Ildemaro Vargas Ildemaro Vargas 43 ⚪ D +950 🌧️ COOL 130 0.196 87.3 5.8% 13.6% 399 11.1% 9.1% 11.3% 47
7 Adrian Del Castillo Adrian Del Castillo 36 ⚪ D +700 🌧️ COOL 178 0.121 88.4 8.0% 14.3% 403 8.3% 0.0% 7.6% 15
8 Geraldo Perdomo Geraldo Perdomo 33 ⚪ D +950 · 196 0.112 87.7 6.0% 4.3% 382 2.7% 0.0% 6.5% 42
9 Tommy Troy Tommy Troy 11 ⚪ D +950 · 259 · · · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 10.7% 0
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Casey Schmitt Casey Schmitt 64 🔵 C+ +500 · 37 0.258 89.8 10.2% 15.4% 388 18.8% 30.8% 22.5% 38
2 Rafael Devers Rafael Devers 53 🟠 C +525 🔥 HOT 63 0.168 91.3 8.7% 8.3% 402 13.2% 15.4% 9.1% 36
3 Willy Adames Willy Adames 45 ⚪ D +500 · 112 0.160 88.4 8.2% 0.0% 376 10.2% 23.1% 10.9% 37
4 Heliot Ramos Heliot Ramos 41 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 144 0.158 92.0 9.8% 20.0% 399 9.5% 0.0% 9.1% 12
5 Patrick Bailey Patrick Bailey 35 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 184 0.063 90.3 6.7% 7.4% 407 4.3% 8.3% 7.5% 17
6 Jung Hoo Lee Jung Hoo Lee 29 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 213 0.130 88.0 3.7% 9.1% 363 6.8% 12.5% 6.4% 25
7 Matt Chapman Matt Chapman 29 ⚪ D +625 · 214 0.107 87.3 5.8% 4.0% 349 2.0% 0.0% 5.9% 35
8 Luis Arráez Luis Arráez 24 ⚪ D · · 232 0.106 87.4 · 6.2% 345 0.0% 0.0% 6.1% 50
9 Drew Gilbert Drew Gilbert 23 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 235 0.112 84.3 4.2% 7.7% 380 0.0% 0.0% 6.2% 29
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