LongDong™ — ATH @ BAL

ATH

@ 4:05p

BAL

Camden Yards · 18 ranked batters

Park Factor

1.35×

Weather Mod

+2.0%

cool air · steady wind out · roof open

Combined

1.615

Temp

62.8°F

Wind

8.1 mph

out

Roof

open

Shane Baz RHP

0.79 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.46 ·

9 batters

#	Batter	Score	Tier	Odds	Form	Rank	ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.	EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg.	Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg.	HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall.	HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg.	Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor.	14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form.	Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.	BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1	Shea Langeliers	62	🔵 C+	·	🌤️ WARM	5	0.248	93.0	·	32.0%	412	23.5%	16.7%	52.4%	36
2	Tyler Soderstrom	49	⚪ D	·	🌤️ WARM	22	0.193	91.1	·	21.7%	393	12.1%	18.2%	23.7%	25
3	Carlos Cortes	47	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	28	0.292	90.7	·	23.5%	396	5.6%	0.0%	17.8%	26
4	Max Muncy	41	⚪ D	·	·	49	0.163	92.5	·	22.9%	409	17.5%	9.1%	12.0%	25
5	Nick Kurtz	39	⚪ D	·	❄ COLD	60	0.184	94.2	·	29.4%	404	14.7%	0.0%	15.1%	33
6	Brent Rooker	38	⚪ D	·	·	64	0.111	88.6	·	30.8%	384	12.5%	28.6%	22.4%	27
7	Lawrence Butler	35	⚪ D	·	🌤️ WARM	84	0.121	90.7	·	25.0%	378	3.1%	8.3%	10.0%	20
8	Jacob Wilson	27	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	155	0.105	84.4	·	14.3%	368	6.1%	8.3%	12.7%	44
9	Jeff Mcneil	20	⚪ D	·	❄ COLD	203	0.100	86.5	·	7.1%	395	0.0%	0.0%	7.9%	31

Aaron Civale RHP

0.88 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.79 ·

9 batters

#	Batter	Score	Tier	Odds	Form	Rank	ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.	EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg.	Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg.	HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall.	HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg.	Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor.	14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form.	Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.	BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1	Pete Alonso	51	🟠 C	·	🌤️ WARM	19	0.162	95.2	·	26.1%	394	18.4%	35.7%	24.0%	36
2	Gunnar Henderson	49	⚪ D	·	❄ COLD	23	0.279	89.7	·	20.7%	388	22.2%	7.1%	20.4%	34
3	Samuel Basallo	47	⚪ D	·	·	29	0.221	92.9	·	25.0%	410	13.0%	7.7%	18.8%	27
4	Coby Mayo ⚡	40	⚪ D	·	🌤️ WARM	52	0.166	90.1	·	7.7%	429	8.8%	0.0%	11.0%	22
5	Jeremiah Jackson	40	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	53	0.185	87.9	·	28.6%	396	15.4%	14.3%	16.0%	31
6	Leody Taveras	31	⚪ D	·	·	111	0.143	87.2	·	17.6%	409	0.0%	0.0%	11.2%	23
7	Dylan Beavers	27	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	153	0.125	87.9	·	15.4%	406	4.3%	0.0%	9.9%	20
8	Taylor Ward ⚡	25	⚪ D	·	❄ COLD	174	0.142	88.5	·	0.0%	394	2.6%	0.0%	7.1%	22
9	Blaze Alexander	15	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	232	0.018	92.1	·	0.0%	·	0.0%	0.0%	8.2%	21