HOU
@
4:10p
CIN
Park Factor
1.28×
Weather Mod
+3.0%
cool air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
1.659
Temp
57.1°F
Wind
11.5 mph
out
Roof
open
Chase Burns
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Christian Walker | 66 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 2 | 0.280 | 91.3 | · | 38.1% | 397 | 22.2% | 36.4% | 36.7% | 37 |
| 2 |
|
Yordan Alvarez | 59 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 10 | 0.381 | 94.3 | · | 22.6% | 394 | 36.4% | 18.2% | 32.8% | 37 |
| 3 |
|
Brice Matthews | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 30 | 0.208 | 88.2 | · | 25.0% | 398 | 20.0% | 22.2% | 24.0% | 27 |
| 4 |
|
Isaac Paredes | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 63 | 0.145 | 87.9 | · | 14.3% | 374 | 5.6% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 37 |
| 5 |
|
Carlos Correa | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 79 | 0.129 | 89.2 | · | 0.0% | 384 | 4.5% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 23 |
| 6 |
|
Cam Smith | 36 | ⚪ D | · | · | 81 | 0.138 | 89.2 | · | 17.6% | 406 | 11.4% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 25 |
| 7 |
|
Yainer Diaz | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 151 | 0.120 | 87.8 | · | 11.8% | 380 | 6.1% | 0.0% | 8.2% | 21 |
| 8 |
|
Jose Altuve | 27 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 154 | 0.146 | 85.4 | · | 23.1% | 378 | 5.9% | 0.0% | 10.5% | 26 |
| 9 |
|
Joey Loperfido | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 193 | 0.086 | 90.0 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.5% | 18 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Nathaniel Lowe | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 6 | 0.306 | 89.7 | · | 42.9% | 393 | 30.8% | 27.3% | 31.0% | 30 |
| 2 |
|
Elly De La Cruz | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 16 | 0.292 | 93.9 | · | 20.8% | 394 | 17.1% | 8.3% | 19.5% | 34 |
| 3 |
|
Sal Stewart | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 18 | 0.298 | 90.5 | · | 23.3% | 391 | 9.1% | 16.7% | 22.9% | 43 |
| 4 |
|
Spencer Steer | 45 | ⚪ D | · | · | 37 | 0.213 | 89.8 | · | 11.5% | 399 | 11.4% | 8.3% | 18.1% | 36 |
| 5 |
|
TJ Friedl | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 96 | 0.068 | 87.9 | · | 9.1% | 364 | 5.9% | 16.7% | 8.3% | 35 |
| 6 |
|
Ke'Bryan Hayes | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 106 | 0.078 | 91.3 | · | 5.3% | 365 | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 24 |
| 7 |
|
Eugenio Suárez | 31 | ⚪ D | · | · | 115 | 0.132 | 84.8 | · | 18.2% | 397 | 5.3% | 0.0% | 11.9% | 0 |
| 8 |
|
Tyler Stephenson | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 152 | 0.116 | 92.8 | · | 10.0% | 379 | 3.1% | 0.0% | 9.7% | 25 |
| 9 |
|
Matt McLain | 24 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 179 | 0.109 | 87.1 | · | 7.1% | 404 | 5.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 32 |