⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
HOU
@ 4:10p
CIN
Great American Ball Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.28×
Weather Mod
+3.0%
cool air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
1.659
Temp
57.1°F
Wind
11.5 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Christian Walker Christian Walker 66 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 2 0.280 91.3 · 38.1% 397 22.2% 36.4% 36.7% 37
2 Yordan Alvarez Yordan Alvarez 59 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 10 0.381 94.3 · 22.6% 394 36.4% 18.2% 32.8% 37
3 Brice Matthews Brice Matthews 47 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 30 0.208 88.2 · 25.0% 398 20.0% 22.2% 24.0% 27
4 Isaac Paredes Isaac Paredes 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 63 0.145 87.9 · 14.3% 374 5.6% 9.1% 9.4% 37
5 Carlos Correa Carlos Correa 36 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 79 0.129 89.2 · 0.0% 384 4.5% 9.1% 11.7% 23
6 Cam Smith Cam Smith 36 ⚪ D · · 81 0.138 89.2 · 17.6% 406 11.4% 10.0% 9.4% 25
7 Yainer Diaz Yainer Diaz 27 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 151 0.120 87.8 · 11.8% 380 6.1% 0.0% 8.2% 21
8 Jose Altuve Jose Altuve 27 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 154 0.146 85.4 · 23.1% 378 5.9% 0.0% 10.5% 26
9 Joey Loperfido Joey Loperfido 22 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 193 0.086 90.0 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.5% 18
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Nathaniel Lowe Nathaniel Lowe 62 🔵 C+ · · 6 0.306 89.7 · 42.9% 393 30.8% 27.3% 31.0% 30
2 Elly De La Cruz Elly De La Cruz 53 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 16 0.292 93.9 · 20.8% 394 17.1% 8.3% 19.5% 34
3 Sal Stewart Sal Stewart 52 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 18 0.298 90.5 · 23.3% 391 9.1% 16.7% 22.9% 43
4 Spencer Steer Spencer Steer 45 ⚪ D · · 37 0.213 89.8 · 11.5% 399 11.4% 8.3% 18.1% 36
5 TJ Friedl TJ Friedl 34 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 96 0.068 87.9 · 9.1% 364 5.9% 16.7% 8.3% 35
6 Ke'Bryan Hayes Ke'Bryan Hayes 32 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 106 0.078 91.3 · 5.3% 365 10.5% 9.1% 8.6% 24
7 Eugenio Suárez Eugenio Suárez 31 ⚪ D · · 115 0.132 84.8 · 18.2% 397 5.3% 0.0% 11.9% 0
8 Tyler Stephenson Tyler Stephenson 27 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 152 0.116 92.8 · 10.0% 379 3.1% 0.0% 9.7% 25
9 Matt McLain Matt McLain 24 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 179 0.109 87.1 · 7.1% 404 5.7% 8.3% 9.0% 32
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