William Contreras
MIL
· 142 appearances tracked
17
HRs
12.0%
HR Rate
15.6%
Avg HR/FB
90.2
Avg EV
0.134
ISO
#25
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
No HR profile for this matchup yet.
The percentile ladder populates once this batter is on a scored slate.
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-10-17
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
58.6%
13
Breaking
29.6%
3
Offspeed
11.8%
1
All
100%
8.2%
17
14.8%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
head-to-head
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No probable pitcher set for this matchup. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers
0 of 4 active
Ballpark —
Pitcher form —
Platoon —
Weather —
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
K%
14.8
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked.
HR Days
recent home runs
No home runs captured on a scored slate yet.
All Appearances
142 tracked · 17 HR · 7 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Sep 26
vs STL · Quinn Mathews
2
97.1
2 BIP
Sep 25
vs STL · Michael McGreevy
5
103.1
5 BIP
Sep 24
@ PHI · Andrew Painter
2
81.0
2 BIP
Sep 23
@ PHI · Aaron Nola
3
86.5
3 BIP
Sep 22
@ PHI · Zack Wheeler
2
83.3
2 BIP
Sep 20
@ BAL · Brandon Young
2
106.9
HR
2 BIP
Sep 19
@ BAL · Trevor Rogers
4
104.6
4 BIP
Sep 18
@ BAL · Cade Povich
3
111.7
3 BIP
Sep 16
@ PIT · Jared Jones
4
103.7
4 BIP
Sep 15
@ PIT · Lake Bachar
5
102.7
5 BIP
Sep 12
vs CIN · Brady Singer
3
101.0
HR
3 BIP
Sep 11
vs CIN · Andrew Abbott
6
109.3
HR
6 BIP
Sep 9
vs CHC · Kevin Gausman
2
102.1
HR
2 BIP
Sep 8
vs CHC · David Peterson
2
110.1
2 BIP
Sep 7
vs CHC · Matthew Boyd
2
100.1
2 BIP
Sep 5
@ CIN · Andrew Abbott
3
103.6
HR
3 BIP
Sep 4
@ CIN · Rhett Lowder
3
107.0
3 BIP
Sep 3
@ CHC · Kevin Gausman
2
92.3
2 BIP
Sep 2
@ CHC · David Peterson
4
103.0
4 BIP
Sep 1
@ CHC · Matthew Boyd
4
100.3
4 BIP
Aug 31
@ CHC · Clay Holmes
2
90.8
2 BIP
Aug 29
vs TEX · Cal Quantrill
2
105.8
HR
2 BIP
Aug 28
vs TEX · Cody Bradford
5
103.4
5 BIP
Aug 27
@ NYM · Sean Manaea
2
94.3
2 BIP
Aug 26
@ NYM · Robert Stock
5
91.4
5 BIP
Aug 25
@ NYM · Zac Thornton
3
106.6
3 BIP
Aug 23
vs ATL · Tyler Mahle
5
103.8
5 BIP
Aug 22
vs ATL · Martín Pérez
4
104.2
4 BIP
Aug 21
vs ATL · Chris Sale
4
108.4
4 BIP
Aug 19
vs SEA · Logan Gilbert
4
107.3
4 BIP
Aug 18
vs SEA · Bryce Miller
3
102.6
3 BIP
Aug 16
@ LAD · Tarik Skubal
4
103.8
4 BIP
Aug 15
@ LAD · Justin Wrobleski
4
107.5
HR
4 BIP
Aug 14
@ LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto
3
101.0
3 BIP
Aug 13
@ LAD · Roki Sasaki
2
104.3
2 BIP
Aug 12
@ SD · Robbie Ray
3
89.6
3 BIP
Aug 11
@ SD · Walker Buehler
3
104.9
3 BIP
Aug 10
@ SD · Casey Mize
2
102.9
2 BIP
Aug 9
vs MIN · Connor Prielipp
3
90.9
3 BIP
Aug 8
vs MIN · Taj Bradley
3
100.8
3 BIP
Aug 7
vs MIN · Zebby Matthews
5
108.7
5 BIP
Aug 5
vs PIT · Paul Skenes
2
103.0
HR
2 BIP
Aug 4
vs PIT · Jared Jones
4
104.4
4 BIP
Aug 3
vs PIT · Bubba Chandler
2
103.4
2 BIP
Aug 2
@ LAA · Walbert Ureña
2
89.3
2 BIP
Aug 1
@ LAA · Brent Suter
4
98.0
4 BIP
Jul 31
@ LAA · Ryan Johnson
3
106.6
3 BIP
Jul 28
@ SF · Landen Roupp
5
95.6
5 BIP
Jul 27
@ SF · Tyler Mahle
2
97.3
2 BIP
Jul 26
vs COL · Kyle Freeland
4
112.8
4 BIP
Jul 25
vs COL · Ryan Feltner
2
107.5
2 BIP
Jul 24
vs COL · Tomoyuki Sugano
4
103.9
4 BIP
Jul 22
vs NYM · Christian Scott
3
92.7
3 BIP
Jul 21
vs NYM · Zac Thornton
3
88.0
3 BIP
Jul 20
vs NYM · Freddy Peralta
2
100.4
2 BIP
Jul 18
vs MIA · Max Meyer
5
105.5
5 BIP
Jul 17
vs MIA · Sandy Alcantara
2
93.7
2 BIP
Jul 11
@ PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
4
108.3
4 BIP
Jul 10
@ PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
0
—
—
Jul 9
@ STL · Andre Pallante
4
93.1
4 BIP
Jul 8
@ STL · Michael McGreevy
4
102.0
4 BIP
Jul 7
@ STL · Hunter Dobbins
4
94.5
4 BIP
Jul 6
@ STL · Dustin May
3
91.6
3 BIP
Jul 4
@ AZ · Merrill Kelly
4
105.9
4 BIP
Jul 3
@ AZ · Jose Cabrera
5
105.8
5 BIP
Jul 2
vs CIN · Chase Burns
3
97.3
3 BIP
Jul 1
vs CIN · Andrew Abbott
4
93.6
4 BIP
Jun 30
vs CIN · Rhett Lowder
4
108.0
4 BIP
Jun 29
vs CIN · Nick Lodolo
3
102.3
3 BIP
Jun 27
vs CHC · David Peterson
2
93.1
2 BIP
Jun 26
vs CHC · Colin Rea
2
109.3
HR
2 BIP
Jun 24
@ CIN · Rhett Lowder
3
103.7
HR
3 BIP
Jun 23
@ CIN · Nick Lodolo
1
106.8
1 BIP
Jun 22
@ CIN · Brady Singer
3
105.8
3 BIP
Jun 21
@ ATL · Bryce Elder
5
109.5
HR
5 BIP
Jun 20
@ ATL · Chris Sale
4
110.9
4 BIP
Jun 19
@ ATL · Martín Pérez
3
97.0
3 BIP
Jun 17
vs CLE · Gavin Williams
3
110.0
3 BIP
Jun 16
vs CLE · Slade Cecconi
3
97.8
3 BIP
Jun 14
vs PHI · Cristopher Sánchez
4
112.7
4 BIP
Jun 13
vs PHI · Aaron Nola
5
103.8
5 BIP
Jun 12
vs PHI · Andrew Painter
3
101.9
3 BIP
Jun 10
@ ATH · Jack Perkins
1
76.1
1 BIP
Jun 9
@ ATH · J.T. Ginn
1
95.3
1 BIP
Jun 8
@ ATH · Jeffrey Springs
5
106.7
HR
5 BIP
Jun 7
@ COL · Kyle Freeland
5
112.0
5 BIP
Jun 6
@ COL · Zach Agnos
5
104.1
HR
5 BIP
Jun 5
@ COL · Ryan Feltner
4
100.5
4 BIP
Jun 4
vs SF · Adrian Houser
2
99.1
2 BIP
Jun 3
vs SF · Logan Webb
3
89.8
3 BIP
Jun 2
vs SF · Trevor McDonald
3
76.6
3 BIP
Jun 1
vs SF · Landen Roupp
6
98.0
6 BIP
May 30
@ HOU · Peter Lambert
4
105.3
4 BIP
May 29
@ HOU · Kai-Wei Teng
2
96.7
2 BIP
May 27
vs STL · Dustin May
3
101.0
3 BIP
May 26
vs STL · Michael McGreevy
2
108.9
2 BIP
May 25
vs STL · Matthew Liberatore
2
89.5
2 BIP
May 24
vs LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto
3
104.4
3 BIP
May 22
vs LAD · Justin Wrobleski
4
107.2
HR
4 BIP
May 20
@ CHC · Edward Cabrera
3
95.1
3 BIP
May 19
@ CHC · Ben Brown
5
110.4
5 BIP
May 18
@ CHC · Shota Imanaga
5
101.7
5 BIP
May 17
@ MIN · Bailey Ober
5
109.2
5 BIP
May 16
@ MIN · Connor Prielipp
3
107.2
3 BIP
May 15
@ MIN · Joe Ryan
3
107.0
3 BIP
May 14
vs SD · Griffin Canning
2
91.7
2 BIP
May 13
vs SD · Michael King
4
98.8
4 BIP
May 12
vs SD · Matt Waldron
2
102.6
2 BIP
May 9
vs NYY · Cam Schlittler
5
108.5
5 BIP
May 8
vs NYY · Max Fried
3
100.9
3 BIP
May 6
@ STL · Andre Pallante
3
91.4
3 BIP
May 5
@ STL · Andre Pallante
3
111.9
HR
3 BIP
May 4
@ STL · Kyle Leahy
5
111.9
5 BIP
May 3
@ WSH · Zack Littell
4
107.8
4 BIP
May 2
@ WSH · Foster Griffin
3
103.3
3 BIP
May 1
@ WSH · Jake Irvin
5
105.0
5 BIP
Apr 30
vs AZ · Michael Soroka
4
105.9
HR
4 BIP
Apr 29
vs AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez
3
98.0
3 BIP
Apr 26
vs PIT · Carmen Mlodzinski
4
98.3
4 BIP
Apr 25
vs PIT · Mitch Keller
4
97.0
4 BIP
Apr 24
vs PIT · Paul Skenes
4
100.9
4 BIP
Apr 23
@ DET · Tarik Skubal
4
103.8
4 BIP
Apr 22
@ DET · Casey Mize
2
94.7
2 BIP
Apr 21
@ DET · Keider Montero
5
105.3
5 BIP
Apr 18
@ MIA · Sandy Alcantara
3
100.8
3 BIP
Apr 17
@ MIA · Janson Junk
5
111.6
5 BIP
Apr 16
vs TOR · Patrick Corbin
4
109.5
4 BIP
Apr 15
vs TOR · Dylan Cease
4
105.6
4 BIP
Apr 14
vs TOR · Kevin Gausman
5
106.4
5 BIP
Apr 12
vs WSH · Zack Littell
3
97.9
3 BIP
Apr 10
vs WSH · Jake Irvin
3
109.3
3 BIP
Apr 8
@ BOS · Sonny Gray
3
108.6
3 BIP
Apr 7
@ BOS · Garrett Crochet
3
99.5
3 BIP
Apr 6
@ BOS · Brayan Bello
3
93.8
3 BIP
Apr 5
@ KC · Kris Bubic
3
110.9
3 BIP
Apr 4
@ KC · Seth Lugo
3
105.3
3 BIP
Apr 1
vs TB · Drew Rasmussen
4
108.1
4 BIP
Mar 31
vs TB · Shane McClanahan
2
87.3
2 BIP
Mar 30
vs TB · Nick Martinez
4
107.0
HR
4 BIP
Mar 29
vs CWS · Anthony Kay
2
105.0
2 BIP
Mar 28
vs CWS · Sean Burke
4
103.9
4 BIP
Mar 26
vs CWS · Shane Smith
3
102.1
3 BIP
Ballpark
park factor · wind · spray
Ballpark conditions unavailable — this batter isn’t on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game —
Dueness now
0.83×
not yet due — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
6 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
5 gm
since his last HR, Sep 20
Season
17 HR
142 games · 0 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 16 gaps · median 6 gm · MAD ± 4.5 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Common questions about William Contreras
Will William Contreras hit a home run today?
William Contreras is not on today's TheHomeRuns slate. This season he has homered 17 times in 142 scored games (about 12% of games). Check back when he next appears on the daily board.
How often does William Contreras hit home runs?
Across 142 scored games this season, William Contreras has 17 home runs — one every 8.4 games, or about 12% of his scored games.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.