Tyler Stephenson
CIN
· 126 appearances tracked
12
HRs
9.5%
HR Rate
14.1%
Avg HR/FB
91.5
Avg EV
0.150
ISO
#3
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
No HR profile for this matchup yet.
The percentile ladder populates once this batter is on a scored slate.
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-10-17
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
58.8%
11
Breaking
29.7%
4
Offspeed
11.5%
0
All
100%
12.2%
15
26.9%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
head-to-head
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No probable pitcher set for this matchup. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers
0 of 4 active
Ballpark —
Pitcher form —
Platoon —
Weather —
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
K%
26.9
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked.
HR Days
12 this season · avg 400 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
Aug 6
vs ATH · Mason Barnett
—
103.7
406
Aug 30
@ CHC · Shota Imanaga
—
102.7
394
HR by month
Aug
All Appearances
126 tracked · 12 HR · 22 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Sep 26
@ TOR · Trey Yesavage
2
103.4
2 BIP
Sep 24
@ ATL · Tyler Mahle
2
90.2
2 BIP
Sep 22
@ ATL · JR Ritchie
2
92.1
2 BIP
Sep 20
vs CHC · David Peterson
2
81.5
2 BIP
Sep 19
vs CHC · Matthew Boyd
4
97.9
4 BIP
Sep 18
vs CHC · Clay Holmes
1
70.4
1 BIP
Sep 17
vs LAD · Justin Wrobleski
3
103.2
3 BIP
Sep 16
vs LAD · Blake Snell
3
103.6
3 BIP
Sep 14
vs LAD · Tarik Skubal
2
94.4
2 BIP
Sep 13
@ MIL · Robert Gasser
3
105.4
3 BIP
Sep 12
@ MIL · Shane Drohan
2
109.1
2 BIP
Sep 11
@ MIL · Dustin May
2
92.1
2 BIP
Sep 9
@ LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto
1
98.6
1 BIP
Sep 8
@ LAD · Tarik Skubal
2
103.5
2 BIP
Sep 7
@ LAD · LAD Bullpen Proxy
3
90.4
3 BIP
Sep 6
vs MIL · Kyle Harrison
3
96.7
3 BIP
Sep 5
vs MIL · Dustin May
2
104.0
HR
2 BIP
Sep 4
vs MIL · Shane Drohan
2
88.7
2 BIP
Sep 2
vs SD · Casey Mize
2
99.2
2 BIP
Aug 31
vs SD · Michael King
1
99.0
1 BIP
Aug 30
@ CHC · Shota Imanaga
5
103.0
HR
5 BIP
Aug 29
@ CHC · Kevin Gausman
2
103.5
2 BIP
Aug 28
@ CHC · David Peterson
3
103.0
HR
3 BIP
Aug 25
@ SF · Adrian Houser
2
98.8
2 BIP
Aug 24
@ SF · Carson Whisenhunt
2
101.7
2 BIP
Aug 23
@ AZ · Mitch Bratt
2
90.2
2 BIP
Aug 22
@ AZ · Michael Soroka
4
106.2
4 BIP
Aug 21
@ AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez
0
—
—
Aug 20
vs STL · Michael McGreevy
2
93.1
2 BIP
Aug 19
vs STL · Matthew Liberatore
2
78.1
2 BIP
Aug 18
vs STL · Kyle Leahy
0
—
—
Aug 17
vs STL · Andre Pallante
2
90.8
2 BIP
Aug 15
vs MIA · Ryan Gusto
2
88.8
2 BIP
Aug 14
vs MIA · Sandy Alcantara
4
101.3
4 BIP
Aug 13
@ CWS · Davis Martin
3
103.2
HR
3 BIP
Aug 11
@ CWS · Sean Burke
3
97.3
3 BIP
Aug 9
@ WSH · Brad Lord
2
104.3
2 BIP
Aug 7
@ WSH · Cade Cavalli
3
96.7
3 BIP
Aug 6
vs ATH · Mason Barnett
2
103.7
HR
2 BIP
Aug 4
vs ATH · J.T. Ginn
4
98.4
4 BIP
Aug 2
vs PIT · Mitch Keller
3
102.6
HR
3 BIP
Jul 31
vs PIT · Paul Skenes
1
93.7
1 BIP
Jul 30
vs PIT · Yohan Ramírez
1
94.1
1 BIP
Jul 29
vs CLE · Joey Cantillo
2
94.5
2 BIP
Jul 28
vs CLE · Gavin Williams
3
102.3
3 BIP
Jul 27
vs CLE · Slade Cecconi
0
—
—
Jul 25
@ STL · Andre Pallante
2
93.8
2 BIP
Jul 24
@ STL · Dustin May
2
104.2
2 BIP
Jul 22
@ SEA · Emerson Hancock
4
102.1
4 BIP
Jul 21
@ SEA · Luis Castillo
0
—
—
Jul 20
@ SEA · George Kirby
2
99.7
2 BIP
Jul 19
@ COL · Ryan Feltner
4
105.1
HR
4 BIP
Jul 17
@ COL · Gabriel Hughes
1
93.7
1 BIP
Jul 12
vs CHC · Matthew Boyd
4
96.3
4 BIP
Jul 10
vs CHC · Shota Imanaga
4
95.7
4 BIP
Jul 9
vs PHI · Jesús Luzardo
3
100.7
3 BIP
Jul 7
vs PHI · Zack Wheeler
1
93.8
1 BIP
Jul 5
vs BAL · Kyle Bradish
3
91.5
3 BIP
Jul 3
vs BAL · Trevor Rogers
3
92.0
3 BIP
Jul 1
@ MIL · Shane Drohan
3
104.5
3 BIP
Jun 29
@ MIL · Robert Gasser
3
100.7
3 BIP
Jun 28
@ PIT · Mitch Keller
3
104.8
3 BIP
Jun 26
@ PIT · Paul Skenes
4
104.6
4 BIP
Jun 24
vs MIL · Shane Drohan
1
97.6
1 BIP
Jun 22
vs MIL · Brandon Woodruff
3
102.4
3 BIP
Jun 21
@ NYY · Elmer Rodríguez
4
104.0
HR
4 BIP
Jun 19
@ NYY · Cam Schlittler
1
96.8
1 BIP
Jun 16
vs NYM · Kodai Senga
2
99.1
2 BIP
Jun 15
vs NYM · Tobias Myers
3
105.9
3 BIP
Jun 13
vs AZ · Michael Soroka
1
63.9
1 BIP
Jun 12
vs AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez
0
—
—
Jun 9
@ SD · Lucas Giolito
4
98.8
4 BIP
Jun 8
@ SD · Walker Buehler
2
108.3
2 BIP
Jun 7
@ STL · Michael McGreevy
4
103.3
HR
4 BIP
Jun 5
@ STL · Kyle Leahy
4
100.9
4 BIP
Jun 3
vs KC · Stephen Kolek
2
97.7
2 BIP
Jun 2
vs KC · Noah Cameron
1
86.9
1 BIP
Jun 1
vs KC · Luinder Avila
2
89.8
2 BIP
May 30
vs ATL · Martín Pérez
3
108.5
3 BIP
May 29
vs ATL · Grant Holmes
4
96.5
4 BIP
May 27
@ NYM · Huascar Brazobán
3
107.1
3 BIP
May 26
@ NYM · David Peterson
3
97.4
3 BIP
May 25
@ NYM · Nolan McLean
1
103.3
HR
1 BIP
May 24
vs STL · Brycen Mautz
0
—
—
May 23
vs STL · Andre Pallante
2
95.1
2 BIP
May 22
vs STL · Kyle Leahy
0
—
—
May 19
@ PHI · Jesús Luzardo
1
96.0
1 BIP
May 18
@ PHI · Andrew Painter
3
90.5
3 BIP
May 17
@ CLE · Gavin Williams
2
93.1
2 BIP
May 15
@ CLE · Tanner Bibee
3
93.5
3 BIP
May 13
vs WSH · Jake Irvin
3
105.5
HR
3 BIP
May 12
vs WSH · Miles Mikolas
4
104.8
4 BIP
May 10
vs HOU · Kai-Wei Teng
3
78.0
3 BIP
May 9
vs HOU · Spencer Arrighetti
0
—
—
May 8
vs HOU · Mike Burrows
2
97.1
2 BIP
May 7
@ CHC · Shota Imanaga
2
99.3
2 BIP
May 6
@ CHC · Colin Rea
1
94.2
1 BIP
May 5
@ CHC · Jameson Taillon
2
89.6
2 BIP
May 4
@ CHC · Edward Cabrera
2
96.7
2 BIP
May 3
@ PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
0
—
—
May 2
@ PIT · Carmen Mlodzinski
3
105.0
3 BIP
May 1
@ PIT · Mitch Keller
3
98.3
3 BIP
Apr 30
vs COL · Michael Lorenzen
3
103.2
3 BIP
Apr 29
vs COL · Tomoyuki Sugano
1
101.0
1 BIP
Apr 25
vs DET · Jack Flaherty
1
97.2
1 BIP
Apr 24
vs DET · Framber Valdez
1
99.5
1 BIP
Apr 22
@ TB · Nick Martinez
0
—
—
Apr 21
@ TB · Steven Matz
1
89.4
1 BIP
Apr 19
@ MIN · Bailey Ober
2
98.7
2 BIP
Apr 18
@ MIN · Taj Bradley
2
101.9
2 BIP
Apr 17
@ MIN · Joe Ryan
2
105.0
2 BIP
Apr 14
vs SF · Robbie Ray
0
—
—
Apr 11
vs LAA · George Klassen
2
91.5
2 BIP
Apr 10
vs LAA · Jack Kochanowicz
3
97.7
3 BIP
Apr 9
@ MIA · Max Meyer
0
—
—
Apr 8
@ MIA · Eury Pérez
2
104.0
2 BIP
Apr 7
@ MIA · Sandy Alcantara
0
—
—
Apr 6
@ MIA · Janson Junk
3
100.1
HR
3 BIP
Apr 5
@ TEX · Jack Leiter
2
106.4
2 BIP
Apr 4
@ TEX · Kumar Rocker
0
—
—
Apr 1
vs PIT · Paul Skenes
3
106.6
3 BIP
Mar 31
vs PIT · Bubba Chandler
0
—
—
Mar 30
vs PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
2
101.8
2 BIP
Mar 29
vs BOS · Connelly Early
2
91.8
2 BIP
Mar 28
vs BOS · Sonny Gray
0
—
—
Mar 26
vs BOS · Garrett Crochet
3
93.4
3 BIP
Ballpark
park factor · wind · spray
Ballpark conditions unavailable — this batter isn’t on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game —
Dueness now
2.00×
overdue — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
8 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
16 gm
since his last HR, Sep 5
Season
12 HR
126 games · 0 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 11 gaps · median 8 gm · MAD ± 4 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Common questions about Tyler Stephenson
Will Tyler Stephenson hit a home run today?
Tyler Stephenson is not on today's TheHomeRuns slate. This season he has homered 12 times in 126 scored games (about 10% of games). Check back when he next appears on the daily board.
How often does Tyler Stephenson hit home runs?
Across 126 scored games this season, Tyler Stephenson has 12 home runs — one every 10.5 games, or about 10% of his scored games.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.