Trevor Story
BOS
· 65 appearances tracked
5
HRs
7.7%
HR Rate
11.9%
Avg HR/FB
88.4
Avg EV
0.120
ISO
#14
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
No HR profile for this matchup yet.
The percentile ladder populates once this batter is on a scored slate.
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-10-17
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
49.2%
3
Breaking
40.5%
2
Offspeed
10.2%
0
All
100%
5.4%
5
32.6%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
head-to-head
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No probable pitcher set for this matchup. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers
0 of 4 active
Ballpark —
Pitcher form —
Platoon —
Weather —
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
K%
32.6
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked.
HR Days
recent home runs
No home runs captured on a scored slate yet.
All Appearances
65 tracked · 5 HR · 3 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Sep 27
vs CHC · Shota Imanaga
2
103.5
2 BIP
Sep 25
vs CHC · David Peterson
0
—
—
Sep 24
vs CLE · Daniel Espino
1
90.8
1 BIP
Sep 23
vs CLE · Foster Griffin
2
86.9
2 BIP
Sep 20
@ TB · Griffin Jax
3
102.7
HR
3 BIP
Sep 19
@ TB · Freddy Peralta
3
94.7
3 BIP
Sep 18
@ TB · Ian Seymour
3
105.3
3 BIP
Sep 17
@ TEX · Tyler Alexander
2
108.2
HR
2 BIP
Sep 16
@ TEX · MacKenzie Gore
2
101.3
2 BIP
Sep 15
@ TEX · Jacob deGrom
2
95.8
2 BIP
Sep 13
vs KC · Noah Cameron
3
99.2
3 BIP
Sep 12
vs KC · Randy Dobnak
2
87.9
2 BIP
Sep 11
vs KC · Seth Lugo
3
104.6
3 BIP
Sep 9
vs LAA · Ryan Johnson
3
90.1
3 BIP
Sep 8
vs LAA · Reid Detmers
1
79.9
1 BIP
Sep 7
vs LAA · Grayson Rodriguez
4
71.4
4 BIP
Sep 6
@ BAL · Kyle Bradish
4
104.3
4 BIP
Sep 5
@ BAL · Chris Bassitt
3
103.8
3 BIP
Sep 4
@ BAL · Shane Baz
2
91.1
2 BIP
Sep 2
vs SEA · Bryce Miller
3
85.5
3 BIP
Sep 1
vs SEA · Bryan Woo
3
100.8
3 BIP
Aug 31
vs SEA · George Kirby
4
105.2
4 BIP
Aug 30
@ NYY · Will Warren
2
97.1
2 BIP
May 22
vs MIN · Connor Prielipp
0
—
—
May 20
@ KC · Michael Wacha
0
—
—
May 18
@ KC · Seth Lugo
0
—
—
May 14
vs PHI · Jesús Luzardo
2
75.4
2 BIP
May 13
vs PHI · Andrew Painter
3
106.6
HR
3 BIP
May 12
vs PHI · Zack Wheeler
3
101.4
3 BIP
May 10
vs TB · Nick Martinez
1
100.1
1 BIP
May 9
vs TB · Nick Martinez
0
—
—
May 8
vs TB · Jesse Scholtens
1
77.0
1 BIP
May 7
vs TB · Griffin Jax
2
97.3
2 BIP
May 6
@ DET · Jack Flaherty
2
102.0
2 BIP
May 5
@ DET · Framber Valdez
3
100.3
3 BIP
May 4
@ DET · Tarik Skubal
2
98.9
2 BIP
May 3
vs HOU · Cody Bolton
0
—
—
May 2
vs HOU · Spencer Arrighetti
3
80.3
3 BIP
May 1
vs HOU · Mike Burrows
4
103.4
4 BIP
Apr 29
@ TOR · Eric Lauer
3
102.8
3 BIP
Apr 27
@ TOR · Dylan Cease
3
93.5
3 BIP
Apr 25
@ BAL · Trevor Rogers
4
97.3
4 BIP
Apr 24
@ BAL · Brandon Young
3
104.6
3 BIP
Apr 23
vs NYY · Cam Schlittler
3
95.8
3 BIP
Apr 22
vs NYY · Max Fried
2
92.6
2 BIP
Apr 21
vs NYY · Luis Gil
3
101.8
3 BIP
Apr 20
vs DET · Jack Flaherty
2
104.6
2 BIP
Apr 19
vs DET · Framber Valdez
1
102.2
1 BIP
Apr 18
vs DET · Tarik Skubal
1
67.4
1 BIP
Apr 17
vs DET · Casey Mize
2
104.0
2 BIP
Apr 15
@ MIN · Simeon Woods Richardson
4
101.8
HR
4 BIP
Apr 12
@ STL · Andre Pallante
5
103.0
5 BIP
Apr 11
@ STL · Kyle Leahy
3
96.4
3 BIP
Apr 10
@ STL · Dustin May
3
104.2
3 BIP
Apr 8
vs MIL · Shane Drohan
3
95.2
3 BIP
Apr 7
vs MIL · Jacob Misiorowski
3
102.2
3 BIP
Apr 6
vs MIL · Brandon Woodruff
5
98.7
5 BIP
Apr 5
vs SD · Walker Buehler
3
87.8
3 BIP
Apr 4
vs SD · Randy Vásquez
3
101.7
3 BIP
Apr 1
@ HOU · Mike Burrows
2
99.3
2 BIP
Mar 31
@ HOU · Hunter Brown
3
96.1
3 BIP
Mar 30
@ HOU · Lance McCullers Jr.
2
96.5
2 BIP
Mar 29
@ CIN · Rhett Lowder
3
106.5
3 BIP
Mar 28
@ CIN · Brady Singer
2
109.6
HR
2 BIP
Mar 26
@ CIN · Andrew Abbott
4
108.1
4 BIP
Ballpark
park factor · wind · spray
Ballpark conditions unavailable — this batter isn’t on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game —
Dueness now
0.20×
not yet due — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
20 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
4 gm
since his last HR, Sep 20
Season
5 HR
65 games · 0 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 4 gaps · median 20 gm · MAD ± 5.0 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Common questions about Trevor Story
Will Trevor Story hit a home run today?
Trevor Story is not on today's TheHomeRuns slate. This season he has homered 5 times in 65 scored games (about 8% of games). Check back when he next appears on the daily board.
How often does Trevor Story hit home runs?
Across 65 scored games this season, Trevor Story has 5 home runs — one every 13.0 games, or about 8% of his scored games.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.