Jonathan Aranda
LHB
TB
· 94 appearances tracked
12
HRs
12.8%
HR Rate
18.1%
Avg HR/FB
90.8
Avg EV
0.193
ISO
#8
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.163
Avg EV91.0
Barrel%10.1%
HR/FB vs RHP19.2%
Avg HR Dist387
Match%11.6%
Season HR%
12.6%
14D Pace
10.0%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-07-22
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
63.4%
7
Breaking
24.3%
7
Offspeed
12.2%
1
All
100%
10.1%
15
21.6%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Shane Bieber · RHP · TB
SMALL SAMPLE · 2 PA · since 2025
.500
AVG
2.000
SLG
1
HR
1-for-2 with 1 homer across 2 plate appearances since 2025. Thin sample — lean on the season profile.
Modifiers
2 of 4 active
Rogers Centre Neutral
Pitcher form Cold
Platoon Edge
Weather Neutral
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
10.1
vs
—
HR/FB
19.2
vs
25.0 ▼ risk
K%
21.6
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
12 this season · avg 384 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
Apr 27
Parker Messick · Progressive Field
—
103.6
373.0
May 25
@ BAL · Kyle Bradish
—
105.6
371.0
May 31
vs LAA · Jack Kochanowicz
—
109.2
409
HR by month
Apr
May
All Appearances
94 tracked · 12 HR · 22 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Jul 22
@ TOR · Braydon Fisher
1
98.8
1 BIP
Jul 21
@ TOR · Kevin Gausman
4
89.1
4 BIP
Jul 20
@ TOR · Dylan Cease
4
106.7
4 BIP
Jul 19
@ BOS · Sonny Gray
2
101.7
2 BIP
Jul 17
@ BOS · Jake Bennett
4
108.2
4 BIP
Jul 12
vs SEA · Emerson Hancock
3
100.5
HR
3 BIP
Jul 11
vs SEA · Logan Gilbert
3
106.6
3 BIP
Jul 10
vs SEA · Luis Castillo
5
101.2
5 BIP
Jul 9
vs NYY · Paul Blackburn
4
101.9
4 BIP
Jul 8
vs NYY · Gerrit Cole
3
102.4
3 BIP
Jul 7
vs NYY · Will Warren
3
88.0
3 BIP
Jul 6
vs NYY · Cam Schlittler
1
99.3
1 BIP
Jul 5
@ HOU · Peter Lambert
4
100.1
4 BIP
Jul 4
@ HOU · Hunter Brown
1
101.7
1 BIP
Jul 3
@ HOU · Spencer Arrighetti
3
94.5
3 BIP
Jul 2
@ KC · Stephen Kolek
5
103.8
5 BIP
Jul 1
@ KC · Seth Lugo
3
104.7
3 BIP
Jun 30
@ KC · Noah Cameron
3
96.4
3 BIP
Jun 28
vs AZ · Merrill Kelly
3
102.5
3 BIP
Jun 27
vs AZ · AZ Bullpen Proxy
2
101.7
HR
2 BIP
Jun 26
vs AZ · Zac Gallen
3
104.0
3 BIP
Jun 25
vs KC · Seth Lugo
5
108.0
5 BIP
Jun 24
vs KC · Noah Cameron
3
101.1
3 BIP
Jun 23
vs KC · Luinder Avila
3
105.7
3 BIP
Jun 22
vs KC · Michael Wacha
2
87.9
2 BIP
Jun 21
vs WSH · Andrew Alvarez
3
97.3
3 BIP
Jun 20
vs WSH · Cade Cavalli
4
105.0
4 BIP
Jun 19
vs WSH · PJ Poulin
3
95.2
HR
3 BIP
Jun 17
@ LAD · Shohei Ohtani
4
106.8
4 BIP
Jun 16
@ LAD · Justin Wrobleski
2
89.0
2 BIP
Jun 15
@ LAD · Eric Lauer
2
98.7
2 BIP
Jun 14
@ LAA · Grayson Rodriguez
4
108.7
4 BIP
Jun 13
@ LAA · José Soriano
3
98.3
3 BIP
Jun 12
@ LAA · Sam Aldegheri
5
102.8
5 BIP
Jun 10
vs BOS · Jake Bennett
3
105.9
3 BIP
Jun 8
vs BOS · Connelly Early
3
97.4
3 BIP
Jun 7
@ MIA · Sandy Alcantara
2
97.6
2 BIP
Jun 6
@ MIA · Lake Bachar
1
74.9
1 BIP
Jun 5
@ MIA · MIA Bullpen Proxy
3
94.4
3 BIP
Jun 3
vs DET · Troy Melton
2
85.4
2 BIP
Jun 2
vs DET · Jack Flaherty
2
103.7
2 BIP
Jun 1
vs DET · Ty Madden
2
89.1
2 BIP
May 31
vs LAA · Jack Kochanowicz
3
109.2
HR
3 BIP
May 30
vs LAA · Reid Detmers
3
107.2
3 BIP
May 29
vs LAA · Walbert Ureña
2
108.2
HR
2 BIP
May 27
@ BAL · Trey Gibson
2
111.4
2 BIP
May 26
@ BAL · Shane Baz
3
106.6
3 BIP
May 25
@ BAL · Kyle Bradish
4
106.0
HR
4 BIP
May 24
@ NYY · Ryan Weathers
2
103.3
2 BIP
May 22
@ NYY · Gerrit Cole
3
106.5
3 BIP
May 20
vs BAL · Shane Baz
2
102.8
2 BIP
May 19
vs BAL · Kyle Bradish
2
101.0
2 BIP
May 18
vs BAL · Trevor Rogers
5
99.4
5 BIP
May 17
vs MIA · Eury Pérez
3
97.9
3 BIP
May 16
vs MIA · Sandy Alcantara
3
104.2
3 BIP
May 15
vs MIA · Janson Junk
1
101.1
1 BIP
May 13
@ TOR · Dylan Cease
2
86.2
2 BIP
May 12
@ TOR · Patrick Corbin
4
102.4
4 BIP
May 11
@ TOR · Kevin Gausman
3
104.8
HR
3 BIP
May 10
@ BOS · Payton Tolle
2
107.5
2 BIP
May 9
@ BOS · Payton Tolle
0
—
—
May 8
@ BOS · Connelly Early
1
99.3
1 BIP
May 7
@ BOS · Jake Bennett
4
87.4
4 BIP
May 6
vs TOR · Patrick Corbin
1
102.6
1 BIP
May 5
vs TOR · Kevin Gausman
4
101.6
4 BIP
May 3
vs SF · Tyler Mahle
5
98.7
5 BIP
May 2
vs SF · Landen Roupp
2
105.9
2 BIP
May 1
vs SF · Robbie Ray
1
65.3
1 BIP
Apr 29
@ CLE · Gavin Williams
1
68.7
1 BIP
Apr 28
@ CLE · Tanner Bibee
3
102.8
3 BIP
Apr 27
@ CLE · Parker Messick
3
103.6
HR
3 BIP
Apr 26
vs MIN · Simeon Woods Richardson
3
92.2
3 BIP
Apr 25
vs MIN · Bailey Ober
3
94.6
3 BIP
Apr 24
vs MIN · Taj Bradley
3
105.8
HR
3 BIP
Apr 22
vs CIN · Brandon Williamson
0
—
—
Apr 21
vs CIN · Chase Burns
2
103.8
HR
2 BIP
Apr 20
vs CIN · Rhett Lowder
2
77.5
2 BIP
Apr 19
@ PIT · Mitch Keller
3
96.0
3 BIP
Apr 18
@ PIT · Paul Skenes
3
99.2
3 BIP
Apr 17
@ PIT · Bubba Chandler
1
91.9
1 BIP
Apr 15
@ CWS · Sean Burke
3
96.8
3 BIP
Apr 12
vs NYY · Cam Schlittler
1
85.7
1 BIP
Apr 11
vs NYY · Max Fried
4
101.7
4 BIP
Apr 10
vs NYY · Luis Gil
3
106.7
3 BIP
Apr 8
vs CHC · Colin Rea
4
92.3
4 BIP
Apr 7
vs CHC · Javier Assad
4
105.9
4 BIP
Apr 6
vs CHC · Jameson Taillon
3
103.5
HR
3 BIP
Apr 5
@ MIN · Simeon Woods Richardson
4
101.7
4 BIP
Apr 4
@ MIN · Mick Abel
2
102.0
2 BIP
Apr 1
@ MIL · Jacob Misiorowski
3
101.7
3 BIP
Mar 31
@ MIL · Brandon Woodruff
3
102.8
HR
3 BIP
Mar 30
@ MIL · Kyle Harrison
2
86.7
2 BIP
Mar 29
@ STL · Dustin May
5
105.2
5 BIP
Mar 28
@ STL · Michael McGreevy
2
107.0
2 BIP
Ballpark
Rogers Centre · open-air
Park Factor
0.970
Wind
7 mph from WSW
Temp
75°F
Roof
Retractable
TimeWindTempFIT
3:07p
7 →
75°
+0
4:07p
7 →
75°
+0
5:07p
7 →
75°
+0
6:07p
7 →
75°
+0
7:07p
7 →
75°
+0
+0
Neutral alignment
true spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing across to pull (from WSW)
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Thu 7/23
Dueness now
0.62×
not yet due — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
8 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
5 gm
since his last HR, Jul 12
Season
12 HR
94 games · 1 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 11 gaps · median 8 gm · MAD ± 5 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Score Breakdown
Base 51 → 51
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
Pitcher FIP
Park Factor
season hr rate
HR/FB Matchup
recent hr density 14d
Exit Velocity