Carter Jensen
LHB
KC
· 109 appearances tracked
17
HRs
15.6%
HR Rate
18.4%
Avg HR/FB
90.5
Avg EV
0.194
ISO
#12
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
No HR profile for this matchup yet.
The percentile ladder populates once this batter is on a scored slate.
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-08-31
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
54.9%
15
Breaking
29.7%
2
Offspeed
15.4%
2
All
100%
10.6%
19
28.7%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
Batter vs. Pitcher
head-to-head
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No probable pitcher set for this matchup. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers
0 of 4 active
Ballpark —
Pitcher form —
Platoon —
Weather —
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
K%
28.7
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked.
HR Days
17 this season · avg 410 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
Mar 29
Grant Holmes · Truist Park
—
99.6
371.0
Apr 10
Davis Martin · Kauffman Stadium
—
113.7
425.0
Apr 18
Will Warren · Yankee Stadium
—
103.4
357.0
Apr 22
Chris Bassitt · Kauffman Stadium
—
106.3
421.0
Jul 2
vs TB · Ian Seymour
—
106.7
449
Jul 31
@ COL · Tomoyuki Sugano
—
102.5
424
Aug 27
@ TOR · Spencer Arrighetti
—
107.5
421
HR by month
Apr
Jul
Aug
All Appearances
109 tracked · 17 HR · 40 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Aug 30
@ CLE · Parker Messick
2
109.9
2 BIP
Aug 29
@ CLE · Foster Griffin
3
97.9
3 BIP
Aug 28
@ CLE · Tanner Bibee
3
107.2
HR
3 BIP
Aug 27
@ TOR · Spencer Arrighetti
1
107.5
HR
1 BIP
Aug 26
@ TOR · Spencer Miles
3
98.7
3 BIP
Aug 25
@ TOR · Max Scherzer
3
107.4
3 BIP
Aug 22
vs DET · Drew Anderson
2
104.3
2 BIP
Aug 21
vs DET · Troy Melton
4
107.5
HR
4 BIP
Aug 19
vs ATH · Jeffrey Springs
2
110.3
2 BIP
Aug 18
vs ATH · Brady Basso
2
95.0
2 BIP
Aug 17
vs ATH · Mason Barnett
4
101.5
4 BIP
Aug 16
@ LAA · Ryan Johnson
3
83.8
3 BIP
Aug 15
@ LAA · Reid Detmers
0
—
—
Aug 14
@ LAA · Grayson Rodriguez
3
93.9
3 BIP
Aug 12
@ LAD · Eric Lauer
3
107.2
3 BIP
Aug 11
@ LAD · LAD Bullpen Proxy
2
107.5
2 BIP
Aug 10
@ LAD · Tarik Skubal
2
95.2
2 BIP
Aug 8
vs CHC · Clay Holmes
3
98.9
3 BIP
Aug 7
vs CHC · Kevin Gausman
1
96.1
HR
1 BIP
Aug 6
vs MIN · Bailey Ober
3
105.7
3 BIP
Aug 5
vs MIN · Dean Kremer
2
92.3
2 BIP
Aug 4
vs MIN · Joe Ryan
1
103.6
1 BIP
Aug 2
@ COL · Kyle Freeland
2
101.7
2 BIP
Aug 1
@ COL · Ryan Feltner
4
93.5
4 BIP
Jul 31
@ COL · Tomoyuki Sugano
3
102.5
HR
3 BIP
Jul 30
@ MIN · Bailey Ober
2
91.2
2 BIP
Jul 29
@ MIN · Joe Ryan
2
101.0
2 BIP
Jul 28
@ MIN · Taj Bradley
1
106.6
1 BIP
Jul 25
@ DET · Casey Mize
3
102.0
3 BIP
Jul 24
@ DET · Tarik Skubal
1
102.1
1 BIP
Jul 23
@ DET · Troy Melton
3
99.5
3 BIP
Jul 22
vs SF · Landen Roupp
2
83.5
2 BIP
Jul 21
vs SF · Tyler Mahle
4
106.7
HR
4 BIP
Jul 20
vs SF · Trevor McDonald
4
104.3
4 BIP
Jul 19
vs SD · Germán Márquez
2
99.3
2 BIP
Jul 18
vs SD · Griffin Canning
2
105.7
2 BIP
Jul 17
vs SD · Michael King
5
100.3
5 BIP
Jul 12
@ BAL · Shane Baz
1
102.8
1 BIP
Jul 11
@ BAL · Kyle Bradish
1
79.3
1 BIP
Jul 10
@ BAL · Brandon Young
3
98.3
3 BIP
Jul 8
@ NYM · Christian Scott
2
104.0
2 BIP
Jul 7
@ NYM · Cionel Pérez
3
104.0
3 BIP
Jul 5
vs PHI · Aaron Nola
2
93.0
2 BIP
Jul 4
vs PHI · Jesús Luzardo
1
86.0
1 BIP
Jul 2
vs TB · Ian Seymour
3
106.7
HR
3 BIP
Jul 1
vs TB · Shane McClanahan
2
102.4
2 BIP
Jun 30
vs TB · Griffin Jax
2
106.2
HR
2 BIP
Jun 28
@ CWS · Anthony Kay
4
96.8
4 BIP
Jun 27
@ CWS · Davis Martin
3
108.5
3 BIP
Jun 26
@ CWS · David Sandlin
3
102.5
3 BIP
Jun 25
@ TB · Casey Legumina
3
105.7
HR
3 BIP
Jun 24
@ TB · Griffin Jax
3
78.3
3 BIP
Jun 23
@ TB · Shane McClanahan
4
108.4
4 BIP
Jun 22
@ TB · Drew Rasmussen
3
109.2
3 BIP
Jun 21
vs STL · Dustin May
2
99.7
HR
2 BIP
Jun 19
vs STL · Michael McGreevy
4
104.3
4 BIP
Jun 18
vs STL · Matthew Liberatore
5
108.4
5 BIP
Jun 17
@ WSH · Zack Littell
4
105.5
HR
4 BIP
Jun 15
@ WSH · Andrew Alvarez
3
104.3
3 BIP
Jun 14
vs HOU · Spencer Arrighetti
3
106.4
3 BIP
Jun 13
vs HOU · Mike Burrows
5
106.2
5 BIP
Jun 12
vs HOU · Tatsuya Imai
3
88.6
3 BIP
Jun 11
vs TEX · Kumar Rocker
4
107.2
4 BIP
Jun 9
vs TEX · Nathan Eovaldi
3
111.5
3 BIP
Jun 7
@ MIN · Connor Prielipp
2
102.8
2 BIP
Jun 6
@ MIN · Joe Ryan
4
109.8
HR
4 BIP
Jun 5
@ MIN · Zebby Matthews
3
102.7
3 BIP
Jun 4
@ MIN · Andrew Morris
3
103.6
3 BIP
Jun 3
@ CIN · Chase Burns
1
87.8
1 BIP
Jun 1
@ CIN · Lyon Richardson
3
98.8
3 BIP
May 31
@ TEX · Jack Leiter
2
107.3
2 BIP
May 30
@ TEX · Kumar Rocker
5
99.1
HR
5 BIP
May 27
vs NYY · Gerrit Cole
2
82.7
2 BIP
May 26
vs NYY · Cam Schlittler
4
110.7
4 BIP
May 25
vs NYY · Will Warren
3
93.2
3 BIP
May 24
vs SEA · Bryan Woo
3
99.1
3 BIP
May 23
vs SEA · George Kirby
3
103.4
3 BIP
May 22
vs SEA · Logan Gilbert
2
86.2
2 BIP
May 20
vs BOS · Connelly Early
0
—
—
May 19
vs BOS · Ranger Suarez
3
92.3
3 BIP
May 18
vs BOS · Sonny Gray
1
95.5
1 BIP
May 17
@ STL · Andre Pallante
2
90.6
2 BIP
May 16
@ STL · Kyle Leahy
3
97.3
3 BIP
May 15
@ STL · Dustin May
4
105.1
4 BIP
May 13
@ CWS · Noah Schultz
2
110.9
2 BIP
May 12
@ CWS · Erick Fedde
1
91.3
1 BIP
May 9
vs DET · Burch Smith
2
105.0
2 BIP
May 8
vs DET · Keider Montero
1
75.3
1 BIP
May 7
vs CLE · Slade Cecconi
2
89.4
2 BIP
May 6
vs CLE · Joey Cantillo
0
—
—
May 5
vs CLE · Gavin Williams
0
—
—
May 4
vs CLE · Tanner Bibee
3
98.5
3 BIP
May 3
@ SEA · Luis Castillo
1
93.8
1 BIP
May 2
@ SEA · Emerson Hancock
1
95.2
1 BIP
May 1
@ SEA · Bryan Woo
4
98.3
4 BIP
Apr 30
@ ATH · Jeffrey Springs
1
96.3
1 BIP
Apr 29
@ ATH · Luis Severino
2
101.0
2 BIP
Apr 26
vs LAA · Reid Detmers
3
107.7
3 BIP
Apr 25
vs LAA · Walbert Urena
3
93.7
3 BIP
Apr 24
vs LAA · Yusei Kikuchi
4
104.2
4 BIP
Apr 22
vs BAL · Chris Bassitt
3
106.3
HR
3 BIP
Apr 21
vs BAL · Shane Baz
3
105.3
3 BIP
Apr 20
vs BAL · Kyle Bradish
3
94.3
3 BIP
Apr 18
@ NYY · Will Warren
2
112.0
HR
2 BIP
Apr 17
@ NYY · Cam Schlittler
0
—
—
Apr 16
@ DET · Keider Montero
5
104.6
5 BIP
Apr 15
@ DET · Jack Flaherty
2
96.9
2 BIP
Apr 10
vs CWS · Davis Martin
2
113.7
HR
2 BIP
Mar 29
@ ATL · Grant Holmes
2
99.6
HR
2 BIP
Ballpark
park factor · wind · spray
Ballpark conditions unavailable — this batter isn’t on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Tue 9/1
Dueness now
0.50×
not yet due — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
4 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
2 gm
since his last HR, Aug 28
Season
17 HR
109 games · 3 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 16 gaps · median 4 gm · MAD ± 2.0 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Common questions about Carter Jensen
Will Carter Jensen hit a home run today?
Carter Jensen is not on today's TheHomeRuns slate. This season he has homered 17 times in 109 scored games (about 16% of games). Check back when he next appears on the daily board.
How often does Carter Jensen hit home runs?
Across 109 scored games this season, Carter Jensen has 17 home runs — one every 6.4 games, or about 16% of his scored games.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.