Cal Raleigh
SHB
SEA
· 109 appearances tracked
17
HRs
15.6%
HR Rate
15.1%
Avg HR/FB
87.6
Avg EV
0.182
ISO
#2
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.173
Avg EV89.6
Barrel%11.2%
HR/FB vs RHP15.8%
Avg HR Dist387
Match%18.6%
Season HR%
15.6%
14D Pace
45.5%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-08-30
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
55.1%
9
Breaking
26.4%
8
Offspeed
18.5%
1
All
100%
14.1%
18
31.6%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Max Scherzer · RHP · SEA
SMALL SAMPLE · 5 PA · since 2024
.000
AVG
.000
SLG
0
HR
0-for-3 and 2 walks across 5 plate appearances since 2024. Thin sample — lean on the season profile.
Modifiers
2 of 4 active
Rogers Centre Neutral
Pitcher form Cold
Platoon Edge
Weather Neutral
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
11.2
vs
—
HR/FB
15.8
vs
20.6 ▼ risk
K%
31.6
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
17 this season · avg 381 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
Apr 6
Jacob deGrom · Globe Life Field
—
107.8
418.0
Apr 11
Lance McCullers Jr. · T-Mobile Park
—
106.0
364.0
Aug 25
vs PHI · Aaron Nola
—
106.2
362
HR by month
Apr
Aug
All Appearances
109 tracked · 17 HR · 23 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Aug 29
@ TOR · José Soriano
2
107.7
HR
2 BIP
Aug 28
@ TOR · Dylan Cease
1
106.3
1 BIP
Aug 26
vs PHI · Jesús Luzardo
0
—
—
Aug 25
vs PHI · Aaron Nola
1
106.2
HR
1 BIP
Aug 24
vs PHI · Zack Wheeler
3
108.5
HR
3 BIP
Aug 23
vs CHC · Shota Imanaga
3
102.4
3 BIP
Aug 22
vs CHC · David Peterson
3
105.9
3 BIP
Aug 21
vs CHC · Matthew Boyd
4
107.2
HR
4 BIP
Aug 19
@ MIL · Dustin May
2
100.8
2 BIP
Aug 18
@ MIL · Kyle Harrison
0
—
—
Aug 16
@ HOU · Hunter Brown
2
100.6
HR
2 BIP
Aug 15
@ HOU · Hayden Wesneski
4
97.5
4 BIP
Aug 14
@ HOU · Peter Lambert
1
100.7
1 BIP
Aug 13
@ NYY · Max Fried
2
78.7
2 BIP
Aug 12
@ NYY · Will Warren
1
105.2
1 BIP
Aug 11
@ NYY · Ryan Weathers
2
96.5
2 BIP
Aug 9
vs TB · Ian Seymour
3
111.4
3 BIP
Aug 8
vs TB · Griffin Jax
2
90.8
2 BIP
Aug 7
vs TB · Drew Rasmussen
2
94.8
2 BIP
Aug 5
vs DET · Drew Anderson
1
99.5
1 BIP
Aug 4
vs DET · Troy Melton
2
92.9
2 BIP
Aug 2
vs MIN · Taj Bradley
4
106.9
HR
4 BIP
Aug 1
vs MIN · Connor Prielipp
2
105.4
2 BIP
Jul 31
vs MIN · Zebby Matthews
3
106.5
3 BIP
Jul 30
@ LAD · Roki Sasaki
1
82.5
1 BIP
Jul 29
@ LAD · Eric Lauer
2
105.4
2 BIP
Jul 28
@ LAD · Justin Wrobleski
1
106.7
HR
1 BIP
Jul 26
@ TEX · Jacob deGrom
1
95.0
1 BIP
Jul 25
@ TEX · Nathan Eovaldi
2
82.9
2 BIP
Jul 24
@ TEX · MacKenzie Gore
3
108.6
3 BIP
Jul 22
vs CIN · Brady Singer
3
108.1
3 BIP
Jul 21
vs CIN · Chase Burns
1
70.6
1 BIP
Jul 20
vs CIN · Andrew Abbott
3
102.1
HR
3 BIP
Jul 19
vs SF · Robbie Ray
3
100.8
3 BIP
Jul 18
vs SF · Logan Webb
2
84.7
2 BIP
Jul 17
vs SF · Landen Roupp
3
95.5
3 BIP
Jul 12
@ TB · Ian Seymour
2
84.1
2 BIP
Jul 11
@ TB · Griffin Jax
1
94.8
1 BIP
Jul 10
@ TB · Nick Martinez
2
91.6
2 BIP
Jul 9
@ MIA · Janson Junk
1
99.6
1 BIP
Jul 8
@ MIA · Tyler Phillips
3
104.0
3 BIP
Jul 7
@ MIA · Max Meyer
3
103.0
3 BIP
Jul 5
vs TOR · Trey Yesavage
2
94.0
2 BIP
Jul 4
vs TOR · Shane Bieber
4
109.7
HR
4 BIP
Jul 3
vs TOR · Dylan Cease
2
86.3
2 BIP
Jul 2
vs LAA · Walbert Ureña
0
—
—
Jun 30
vs LAA · José Soriano
1
91.6
1 BIP
Jun 29
vs LAA · Ryan Johnson
2
73.8
2 BIP
Jun 28
@ CLE · Gavin Williams
3
105.8
3 BIP
Jun 27
@ CLE · Slade Cecconi
3
106.6
3 BIP
Jun 26
@ CLE · Joey Cantillo
0
—
—
Jun 25
@ PIT · Bubba Chandler
1
98.5
1 BIP
Jun 24
@ PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
4
103.6
4 BIP
Jun 23
@ PIT · Mitch Keller
3
99.4
HR
3 BIP
Jun 21
vs BOS · Payton Tolle
3
86.1
3 BIP
Jun 20
vs BOS · Connelly Early
2
91.7
2 BIP
Jun 19
vs BOS · Ranger Suarez
0
—
—
Jun 18
vs BAL · Shane Baz
0
—
—
Jun 17
vs BAL · Kyle Bradish
3
107.2
3 BIP
Jun 16
vs BAL · Brandon Young
3
85.4
3 BIP
Jun 1
vs NYM · Austin Warren
0
—
—
May 30
vs AZ · Ryne Nelson
0
—
—
May 29
vs AZ · Zac Gallen
0
—
—
May 25
@ ATH · Aaron Civale
0
—
—
May 22
@ KC · Noah Cameron
0
—
—
May 19
vs CWS · Anthony Kay
0
—
—
May 18
vs CWS · Noah Schultz
0
—
—
May 15
vs SD · Randy Vásquez
0
—
—
May 13
@ HOU · Lance McCullers Jr.
2
96.3
2 BIP
May 12
@ HOU · Tatsuya Imai
3
105.8
3 BIP
May 11
@ HOU · Peter Lambert
3
96.4
3 BIP
May 10
@ CWS · Davis Martin
1
84.5
1 BIP
May 9
@ CWS · Anthony Kay
2
93.9
2 BIP
May 8
@ CWS · Sean Burke
4
101.3
4 BIP
May 6
vs ATL · Martín Pérez
2
86.1
2 BIP
May 5
vs ATL · Bryce Elder
1
65.9
1 BIP
May 4
vs ATL · JR Ritchie
0
—
—
May 3
vs KC · Kris Bubic
0
—
—
May 2
vs KC · Seth Lugo
0
—
—
May 1
vs KC · Cole Ragans
2
91.6
2 BIP
Apr 29
@ MIN · Taj Bradley
3
102.6
3 BIP
Apr 28
@ MIN · Joe Ryan
3
98.8
3 BIP
Apr 27
@ MIN · Connor Prielipp
3
109.9
HR
3 BIP
Apr 26
@ STL · Michael McGreevy
2
109.8
HR
2 BIP
Apr 25
@ STL · Matthew Liberatore
4
106.5
4 BIP
Apr 24
@ STL · Andre Pallante
2
94.6
2 BIP
Apr 22
vs ATH · Aaron Civale
4
109.6
HR
4 BIP
Apr 21
vs ATH · Jacob Lopez
3
104.3
HR
3 BIP
Apr 20
vs ATH · J.T. Ginn
4
106.0
HR
4 BIP
Apr 19
vs TEX · MacKenzie Gore
3
106.3
3 BIP
Apr 18
vs TEX · Nathan Eovaldi
3
97.5
3 BIP
Apr 17
vs TEX · Jacob deGrom
3
94.7
3 BIP
Apr 16
@ SD · Walker Buehler
3
103.2
3 BIP
Apr 15
@ SD · Randy Vásquez
2
107.6
2 BIP
Apr 14
@ SD · Michael King
2
82.4
2 BIP
Apr 13
vs HOU · Mike Burrows
5
105.9
5 BIP
Apr 11
vs HOU · Lance McCullers Jr.
4
106.0
HR
4 BIP
Apr 8
@ TEX · MacKenzie Gore
3
105.5
3 BIP
Apr 7
@ TEX · Nathan Eovaldi
4
94.4
4 BIP
Apr 6
@ TEX · Jacob deGrom
3
107.8
HR
3 BIP
Apr 5
@ LAA · Ryan Johnson
2
72.7
2 BIP
Apr 4
@ LAA · Jack Kochanowicz
3
104.7
3 BIP
Apr 1
vs NYY · Cam Schlittler
2
84.0
2 BIP
Mar 31
vs NYY · Max Fried
2
80.9
2 BIP
Mar 30
vs NYY · Ryan Weathers
1
82.9
1 BIP
Mar 29
vs CLE · Slade Cecconi
3
92.2
3 BIP
Mar 28
vs CLE · Joey Cantillo
2
84.8
2 BIP
Mar 27
vs CLE · Gavin Williams
0
—
—
Mar 26
vs CLE · Tanner Bibee
0
—
—
Ballpark
Rogers Centre · open-air
Park Factor
0.951
Wind
6 mph from SSW
Temp
69°F
Roof
Retractable
TimeWindTempFIT
1:37p
6 ↗
69°
+3
2:37p
6 ↗
68°
+2
3:37p
8 ↗
68°
+3
4:37p
9 ↗
67°
+2
5:37p
9 ↗
67°
+2
+2
Neutral alignment
true spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing out to pull (from SW)
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Sun 8/30
Dueness now
0.00×
not yet due — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
3 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
0 gm
since his last HR, Aug 29
Season
17 HR
109 games · 4 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 16 gaps · median 3 gm · MAD ± 2.0 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Score Breakdown
Base 57 → 57
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
Pitcher FIP
recent hr density 14d
season hr rate
Park Factor
HR/FB Matchup
Exit Velocity
Common questions about Cal Raleigh
Will Cal Raleigh hit a home run today?
Cal Raleigh is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #26 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Max Scherzer at Rogers Centre. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Cal Raleigh hit home runs?
Across 109 scored games this season, Cal Raleigh has 17 home runs — one every 6.4 games, or about 16% of his scored games.
Has Cal Raleigh homered off Max Scherzer before?
Not yet — Cal Raleigh has faced Max Scherzer 5 times without a home run.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.