Aaron Judge
RHB
NYY
· 58 appearances tracked
13
HRs
22.4%
HR Rate
41.9%
Avg HR/FB
93.2
Avg EV
0.341
ISO
#1
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.272
Avg EV94.0
Barrel%14.9%
HR/FB vs RHP32.4%
Avg HR Dist404
Match%34.0%
Season HR%
22.4%
14D Pace
16.7%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-09-16
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
48.2%
9
Breaking
33.1%
6
Offspeed
18.7%
3
All
100%
20.9%
18
29.9%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Zebby Matthews · RHP · NYY
SMALL SAMPLE · 6 PA · since 2025
.250
AVG
.250
SLG
0
HR
1-for-4 and 1 walk across 6 plate appearances since 2025. Thin sample — lean on the season profile.
Modifiers
1 of 4 active
Target Neutral
Pitcher form Cold
Platoon Even
Weather Neutral
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
14.9
vs
—
HR/FB
32.4
vs
27.0 ▲ edge
K%
29.9
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
13 this season · avg 405 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
Mar 27
Robbie Ray · Oracle Park
—
109.1
405.0
Apr 12
Drew Rasmussen · Tropicana Field
—
108.9
415.0
Apr 16
Brent Suter · Yankee Stadium
—
105.1
410.0
Apr 19
Cole Ragans · Yankee Stadium
—
111.6
425.0
Apr 26
Spencer Arrighetti · Minute Maid Park
—
109.3
401.0
Apr 27
Jack Leiter · Globe Life Field
—
113.0
414.0
Apr 28
Jacob deGrom · Globe Life Field
—
112.7
424.0
May 4
Shane Baz · Yankee Stadium
—
110.6
416.0
May 6
Nathan Eovaldi · Yankee Stadium
—
110.0
399.0
May 10
Logan Henderson · American Family Field
—
104.4
373.0
May 24
vs TB · Drew Rasmussen
—
103.9
363.0
Sep 14
@ MIN · A.J. Minter
—
104.2
415
HR by month
Apr
May
Sep
All Appearances
58 tracked · 13 HR · 56 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Sep 14
@ MIN · Dean Kremer
2
104.2
HR
2 BIP
Sep 13
vs NYM · Christian Scott
0
—
—
Sep 12
vs NYM · Zac Thornton
3
102.0
3 BIP
Sep 11
vs NYM · Nolan McLean
1
105.0
1 BIP
Sep 9
vs COL · Tomoyuki Sugano
3
97.9
3 BIP
Sep 8
vs COL · Gabriel Hughes
1
95.1
1 BIP
May 31
@ ATH · Jacob Lopez
2
92.8
2 BIP
May 30
@ ATH · J.T. Ginn
4
107.8
4 BIP
May 29
@ ATH · Luis Severino
3
112.1
3 BIP
May 27
@ KC · Noah Cameron
3
101.2
3 BIP
May 26
@ KC · Bailey Falter
3
109.6
3 BIP
May 25
@ KC · Michael Wacha
3
110.9
3 BIP
May 24
vs TB · Drew Rasmussen
4
106.6
HR
4 BIP
May 22
vs TB · Nick Martinez
3
111.9
3 BIP
May 21
vs TOR · Braydon Fisher
3
87.6
3 BIP
May 20
vs TOR · Trey Yesavage
0
—
—
May 19
vs TOR · Dylan Cease
0
—
—
May 18
vs TOR · Patrick Corbin
4
110.0
4 BIP
May 17
@ NYM · Freddy Peralta
3
102.5
3 BIP
May 16
@ NYM · Huascar Brazobán
3
98.8
3 BIP
May 15
@ NYM · Clay Holmes
3
102.0
3 BIP
May 13
@ BAL · Kyle Bradish
3
92.4
3 BIP
May 11
@ BAL · Brandon Young
3
106.7
3 BIP
May 10
@ MIL · Logan Henderson
1
104.4
HR
1 BIP
May 9
@ MIL · Kyle Harrison
0
—
—
May 8
@ MIL · Jacob Misiorowski
2
101.4
2 BIP
May 7
vs TEX · MacKenzie Gore
4
108.8
4 BIP
May 6
vs TEX · Nathan Eovaldi
2
110.0
HR
2 BIP
May 5
vs TEX · Jacob deGrom
1
89.0
1 BIP
May 4
vs BAL · Shane Baz
4
110.6
HR
4 BIP
May 2
vs BAL · Kyle Bradish
0
—
—
Apr 29
@ TEX · Nathan Eovaldi
2
83.7
2 BIP
Apr 28
@ TEX · Jacob deGrom
3
112.7
HR
3 BIP
Apr 27
@ TEX · Jack Leiter
3
113.0
HR
3 BIP
Apr 26
@ HOU · Spencer Arrighetti
4
109.3
HR
4 BIP
Apr 25
@ HOU · Mike Burrows
1
95.7
1 BIP
Apr 24
@ HOU · Lance McCullers Jr.
2
93.0
2 BIP
Apr 23
@ BOS · Payton Tolle
1
95.1
1 BIP
Apr 22
@ BOS · Ranger Suarez
2
112.4
2 BIP
Apr 21
@ BOS · Connelly Early
3
99.5
3 BIP
Apr 19
vs KC · Cole Ragans
2
111.6
HR
2 BIP
Apr 18
vs KC · Noah Cameron
0
—
—
Apr 17
vs KC · Michael Wacha
2
95.9
2 BIP
Apr 16
vs LAA · Brent Suter
3
105.1
HR
3 BIP
Apr 14
vs LAA · Reid Detmers
2
98.5
2 BIP
Apr 12
@ TB · Drew Rasmussen
2
108.9
HR
2 BIP
Apr 11
@ TB · Nick Martinez
2
107.9
2 BIP
Apr 10
@ TB · Steven Matz
2
110.1
2 BIP
Apr 9
vs ATH · Jeffrey Springs
3
86.3
3 BIP
Apr 8
vs ATH · Luis Severino
2
107.4
2 BIP
Apr 7
vs ATH · Aaron Civale
2
98.5
2 BIP
Apr 5
vs MIA · Chris Paddack
4
110.7
4 BIP
Apr 4
vs MIA · Max Meyer
4
111.9
4 BIP
Apr 1
@ SEA · George Kirby
3
103.8
3 BIP
Mar 31
@ SEA · Logan Gilbert
2
107.0
2 BIP
Mar 30
@ SEA · Luis Castillo
2
79.4
2 BIP
Mar 28
@ SF · Tyler Mahle
3
102.1
HR
3 BIP
Mar 27
@ SF · Robbie Ray
2
109.1
HR
2 BIP
Ballpark
Target Field · open-air
Park Factor
0.950
Wind
6 mph from ESE
Temp
73°F
Roof
Open
TimeWindTempFIT
12:40p
6 ↓
73°
-7
1:40p
6 ↓
73°
-7
2:40p
6 ↓
73°
-7
3:40p
6 ↓
73°
-7
4:40p
6 ↓
73°
-7
-7
Slight red alignment
true spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing straight in (from ESE)
Open the Dueness Calendar → His month grid, rhythm tightness, and tonight’s crossing mark load on demand.
Score Breakdown
Base 68 → 68
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
season hr rate
HR/FB Matchup
Pitcher FIP
Park Factor
Exit Velocity
recent hr density 14d
Common questions about Aaron Judge
Will Aaron Judge hit a home run today?
Aaron Judge is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #4 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Zebby Matthews at Target Field. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Aaron Judge hit home runs?
Across 58 scored games this season, Aaron Judge has 13 home runs — one every 4.5 games, or about 22% of his scored games.
Has Aaron Judge homered off Zebby Matthews before?
Not yet — Aaron Judge has faced Zebby Matthews 6 times without a home run.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.