2026-09-19 · ATL @ HOU
Anatomy of a Homer: Ronald Acuna Jr.'s 411-footer
Ronald Acuna Jr. off Bryan Abreu · Daikin Park
105.1
Exit velo (mph)
26°
Launch angle
411
Distance (ft)
71.9
Bat speed (mph)
The situation
Top of the 7th, 1-0 count, the bases loaded, ATL trailing 2-1. It was the go-ahead swing. Win probability moved 50 points on one pitch.
The pitch
Bryan Abreu threw a 4-seam fastball at 96.9 mph, in the strike zone, inner third, up, pitch 2 of the at-bat.
The swing
Bat speed 71.9 mph, attack angle 17°, contact at 105.1 mph off the bat, 26° launch.
The flight
411 feet, a barrel by classification.
The park
Daikin Park, empirical park factor 1.14, 73 degrees, Roof Closed, 0 mph, None.
Where it was — 4-seam fastball, 96.9 mph (catcher's view)
What the board saw.
Our model ranked Ronald Acuna Jr. #21 on the morning slate; he hit 2nd.
See how the full board did on the track record.
Data: MLB Statcast, our empirical park factors, and the morning odds snapshot. Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.