2026-09-18 · MIL @ BAL
Anatomy of a Homer: Jackson Chourio's 419-footer
Jackson Chourio off Cade Povich · Oriole Park at Camden Yards
107.5
Exit velo (mph)
28°
Launch angle
419
Distance (ft)
79.0
Bat speed (mph)
The situation
Top of the 2nd, 3-0 count, two on, tied 0-0. It was the go-ahead swing. Win probability moved 24 points on one pitch.
The pitch
Cade Povich threw a changeup at 85.9 mph, in the strike zone, pitch 4 of the at-bat.
The swing
Bat speed 79.0 mph, attack angle 17°, contact at 107.5 mph off the bat, 28° launch.
The flight
419 feet, a barrel by classification.
The park
Oriole Park at Camden Yards, empirical park factor 0.99, 80 degrees, Partly Cloudy, 9 mph, In From LF.
Where it was — changeup, 85.9 mph (catcher's view)
What the board saw.
Our model ranked Jackson Chourio #38 on the morning slate; he hit 1st.
See how the full board did on the track record.
Data: MLB Statcast, our empirical park factors, and the morning odds snapshot. Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.