⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
Park + Weather Stacking
Today's games ranked by HR-friendliness — park factor combined with live weather.
15 games on 2026-05-20
Wrigley Field
MIL @ CHC
Wrigley Field · cold air · steady wind out · roof open
1.237
Combined
Park Factor 1.031
Weather Mod +2
Temp 54.7°F
Wind 13.8 mph out
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#16 Ian Happ 28.4% #27 Jake Bauers 32.3% #45 Moisés Ballesteros 16.2% #66 Gary Sánchez 21.6% #69 Garrett Mitchell 11.8%
Yankee Stadium
TOR @ NYY
Yankee Stadium · warm air · light partial wind out · roof open
1.193
Combined
Park Factor 1.193
Weather Mod 0
Temp 76.9°F
Wind 5.8 mph slight_out
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#2 Ben Rice 34.4% #5 Aaron Judge 28.1% #31 Giancarlo Stanton 12.4% #36 Kazuma Okamoto 19.3% #56 Trent Grisham 10.8%
Citizens Bank Park
CIN @ PHI
Citizens Bank Park · warm air · light wind out · roof open
1.158
Combined
Park Factor 1.158
Weather Mod 0
Temp 72.1°F
Wind 6.9 mph out
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#6 JJ Bleday 25.9% #8 Bryce Harper 37.4% #18 Sal Stewart 24.4% #19 Elly De La Cruz 21.1% #25 Nathaniel Lowe 26.7%
Angel Stadium
ATH @ LAA
Angel Stadium · cool air · light crosswind · roof open
1.031
Combined
Park Factor 1.031
Weather Mod 0
Temp 63.9°F
Wind 3.4 mph cross
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#11 Shea Langeliers 27.1% #14 Mike Trout 19.4% #20 Max Muncy 16.9% #22 Nick Kurtz 25.1% #24 Brent Rooker 25.9%
loanDepot Park
ATL @ MIA
loanDepot Park · neutral
1.022
Combined
Park Factor 1.022
Weather Mod 0
Temp
Wind 0 mph dome
Top Picks in This Game
#9 Drake Baldwin 34.8% #13 Matt Olson 28.7% #33 Michael Harris II 19.7% #72 Xavier Edwards 23.7% #78 Austin Riley 12.7%
Nationals Park
NYM @ WSH
Nationals Park · mild air · light crosswind · roof open
0.991
Combined
Park Factor 0.991
Weather Mod 0
Temp 70.9°F
Wind 4.6 mph cross
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#3 James Wood 32.7% #17 Juan Soto 36.6% #37 CJ Abrams 18.5% #44 Mark Vientos 12.9% #46 Francisco Alvarez 9.4%
Tropicana Field
BAL @ TB
Tropicana Field · neutral
0.947
Combined
Park Factor 0.947
Weather Mod 0
Temp
Wind 0 mph dome
Top Picks in This Game
#21 Adley Rutschman 26.5% #23 Junior Caminero 34.4% #39 Pete Alonso 15.6% #63 Samuel Basallo 13.7% #64 Gunnar Henderson 12.1%
Busch Stadium
PIT @ STL
Busch Stadium · cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open
0.920
Combined
Park Factor 0.920
Weather Mod 0
Temp 59.1°F
Wind 10.4 mph slight_out
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#28 Brandon Lowe 31.2% #30 Jordan Walker 20.2% #34 Oneil Cruz 16.5% #103 Alec Burleson 10.2% #108 Ryan O'Hearn 15.4%
Petco Park
LAD @ SD
Petco Park · cool air · crosswind · roof open
0.909
Combined
Park Factor 0.909
Weather Mod 0
Temp 62.6°F
Wind 0 mph cross
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#32 Max Muncy 15.6% #41 Andy Pages 32.8% #42 Gavin Sheets 25.4% #74 Shohei Ohtani 9.1% #104 Miguel Andujar 15.8%
Target Field
HOU @ MIN
Target Field · cold air · steady wind out · roof open
0.866
Combined
Park Factor 0.962
Weather Mod -1
Temp 40.4°F
Wind 8.1 mph out
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#1 Byron Buxton 34.8% #15 Yordan Alvarez 30.4% #52 Christian Walker 13.7% #61 Kody Clemens 15.4% #94 Tristan Gray 13.0%
Chase Field
SF @ AZ
Chase Field · warm air · light crosswind · retractable roof
0.862
Combined
Park Factor 0.862
Weather Mod 0
Temp 72.4°F
Wind 4.8 mph cross
Roof retractable
Top Picks in This Game
#26 Ryan Waldschmidt 33.0% #50 Casey Schmitt 17.7% #86 Rafael Devers 16.4% #110 Willy Adames 7.2% #123 Ketel Marte 8.5%
Comerica Park
CLE @ DET
Comerica Park · cold air · steady crosswind · roof open
0.820
Combined
Park Factor 0.911
Weather Mod -1
Temp 48.8°F
Wind 13.8 mph cross
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#53 Dillon Dingler 20.9% #57 Kerry Carpenter 23.0% #89 Spencer Torkelson 11.2% #95 Riley Greene 9.9% #160 Matt Vierling 9.2%
Coors Field
TEX @ COL
Coors Field · cold air · light wind out · roof open
0.755
Combined
Park Factor 1.079
Weather Mod -3
Temp 42.7°F
Wind 4.6 mph out
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#12 Mickey Moniak 22.5% #35 Justin Foscue 18.4% #43 Jake Burger 20.3% #48 Ezequiel Duran 16.4% #55 Michael Helman 19.4%
T-Mobile Park
CWS @ SEA
T-Mobile Park · cold air · light partial wind out · retractable roof
0.747
Combined
Park Factor 0.934
Weather Mod -2
Temp 51.6°F
Wind 4.6 mph slight_out
Roof retractable
Top Picks in This Game
#4 Luke Raley 32.1% #7 Munetaka Murakami 42.4% #10 Colson Montgomery 38.6% #49 Drew Romo 21.6% #73 Julio Rodríguez 15.7%
Kauffman Stadium
BOS @ KC
Kauffman Stadium · cold air · steady crosswind · roof open
0.713
Combined
Park Factor 0.891
Weather Mod -2
Temp 51.0°F
Wind 8.1 mph cross
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#38 Bobby Witt Jr. 16.6% #47 Jac Caglianone 13.9% #60 Willson Contreras 21.1% #107 Wilyer Abreu 8.9% #115 Salvador Perez 10.0%
🏟️

See every ballpark advantage today

Sign up to see all park + weather stacking data — find where the wind is blowing out and the fences are short.

12 more waiting in the on-deck circle
How to read this: Combined score = park factor × (1 + weather_modifier/10). Games at the top are in the most HR-friendly environments. Great for same-game parlays — stack multiple batters from the same high-scoring game. Park factor comes from 2025–26 Statcast data; weather modifier incorporates temperature, wind speed, and wind direction relative to home plate.
LD 3.2.76

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.