⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
Park + Weather Stacking
Today's games ranked by HR-friendliness — park factor combined with live weather.
15 games on 2026-04-17
Target Field
CIN @ MIN
Target Field · cool air · strong wind out · roof open
1.344
Combined
Park Factor 0.896
Weather Mod +5
Temp 60.5°F
Wind 15.0 mph out
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#38 Elly De La Cruz 25.4% #43 Byron Buxton 20.8% #45 Sal Stewart 25.5% #55 Royce Lewis 14.3% #61 Spencer Steer 16.7%
Citizens Bank Park
ATL @ PHI
Citizens Bank Park · warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open
1.319
Combined
Park Factor 1.199
Weather Mod +1
Temp 77.8°F
Wind 8.8 mph slight_out
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#1 Matt Olson 43.6% #4 Kyle Schwarber 36.4% #12 Bryce Harper 30.8% #14 Drake Baldwin 26.2% #30 Ronald Acuña Jr. 10.5%
Sutter Health Park
CWS @ ATH
Sutter Health Park · Unknown stadium
1.172
Combined
Park Factor 1.172
Weather Mod 0
Temp
Wind
Top Picks in This Game
#20 Munetaka Murakami 27.4% #35 Brent Rooker 19.2% #39 Shea Langeliers 22.7% #41 Max Muncy 22.8% #47 Miguel Vargas 11.7%
Angel Stadium
SD @ LAA
Angel Stadium · mild air · light partial wind out · roof open
1.159
Combined
Park Factor 1.159
Weather Mod 0
Temp 69.6°F
Wind 4.8 mph slight_out
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#2 Mike Trout 42.5% #5 Jorge Soler 42.9% #16 Zach Neto 36.5% #18 Oswald Peraza 43.8% #46 Ramón Laureano 17.1%
Minute Maid Park
STL @ HOU
Minute Maid Park · hot air · steady crosswind · retractable roof
1.115
Combined
Park Factor 1.014
Weather Mod +1
Temp 83.2°F
Wind 12.8 mph cross
Roof retractable
Top Picks in This Game
#3 Jordan Walker 39.5% #7 Yordan Alvarez 28.5% #27 Christian Walker 26.9% #31 Cam Smith 14.1% #77 Alec Burleson 8.9%
Yankee Stadium
KC @ NYY
Yankee Stadium · warm air · light wind in · roof open
1.075
Combined
Park Factor 1.075
Weather Mod 0
Temp 75.6°F
Wind 6.9 mph in
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#8 Ben Rice 31.1% #9 Aaron Judge 34.1% #22 Carter Jensen 26.2% #59 Giancarlo Stanton 8.2% #74 Salvador Perez 9.7%
Progressive Field
BAL @ CLE
Progressive Field · mild air · light wind out · roof open
1.040
Combined
Park Factor 1.040
Weather Mod 0
Temp 71.4°F
Wind 5.5 mph out
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#11 Gunnar Henderson 41.2% #24 Chase DeLauter 18.4% #26 Jeremiah Jackson 38.9% #34 José Ramírez 18.3% #42 Samuel Basallo 25.9%
Nationals Park
SF @ WSH
Nationals Park · warm air · steady crosswind · roof open
1.038
Combined
Park Factor 0.944
Weather Mod +1
Temp 79.9°F
Wind 9.2 mph cross
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#13 James Wood 28.9% #28 CJ Abrams 28.3% #49 Willy Adames 20.8% #102 Casey Schmitt 10.9% #121 Rafael Devers 8.9%
loanDepot Park
MIL @ MIA
loanDepot Park · neutral
0.943
Combined
Park Factor 0.943
Weather Mod 0
Temp
Wind 0 mph dome
Top Picks in This Game
#21 Jake Bauers 32.2% #56 Brice Turang 25.2% #66 Garrett Mitchell 14.3% #179 Christian Yelich 8.4% #180 Luis Rengifo 6.9%
Chase Field
TOR @ AZ
Chase Field · warm air · light crosswind · retractable roof
0.943
Combined
Park Factor 0.857
Weather Mod +1
Temp 78.5°F
Wind 5.0 mph cross
Roof retractable
Top Picks in This Game
#67 Corbin Carroll 14.6% #72 Ildemaro Vargas 15.9% #82 Davis Schneider 8.4% #90 Ketel Marte 22.9% #98 Daulton Varsho 16.1%
Coors Field
LAD @ COL
Coors Field · cold air · steady crosswind · roof open
0.771
Combined
Park Factor 1.102
Weather Mod -3
Temp 35.0°F
Wind 8.1 mph cross
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#6 Shohei Ohtani 36.4% #10 Andy Pages 40.1% #15 Teoscar Hernández 38.2% #17 Mickey Moniak 36.6% #29 Freddie Freeman 15.2%
Fenway Park
DET @ BOS
Fenway Park · mild air · steady wind in · roof open
0.742
Combined
Park Factor 0.824
Weather Mod -1
Temp 65.2°F
Wind 9.5 mph in
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#32 Dillon Dingler 28.1% #57 Willson Contreras 19.9% #60 Kerry Carpenter 19.8% #75 Wilyer Abreu 12.7% #103 Riley Greene 6.5%
Wrigley Field
NYM @ CHC
Wrigley Field · warm air · steady wind in · roof open
0.700
Combined
Park Factor 1.000
Weather Mod -3
Temp 77.0°F
Wind 13.7 mph in
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#25 Ian Happ 18.3% #37 Francisco Alvarez 25.2% #40 Dansby Swanson 26.9% #58 Moisés Ballesteros 20.8% #91 Carson Kelly 8.2%
PNC Park
TB @ PIT
PNC Park · warm air · light wind out · roof open
0.684
Combined
Park Factor 0.684
Weather Mod 0
Temp 73.8°F
Wind 3.8 mph out
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#23 Oneil Cruz 15.1% #50 Brandon Lowe 25.7% #68 Junior Caminero 17.0% #84 Jonathan Aranda 8.1% #86 Bryan Reynolds 8.7%
T-Mobile Park
TEX @ SEA
T-Mobile Park · cold air · light wind out · retractable roof
0.680
Combined
Park Factor 0.850
Weather Mod -2
Temp 51.7°F
Wind 2.5 mph out
Roof retractable
Top Picks in This Game
#19 Luke Raley 17.2% #62 Corey Seager 20.5% #76 Jake Burger 24.5% #97 Evan Carter 12.3% #131 Brandon Nimmo 11.0%
🏟️

See every ballpark advantage today

Sign up to see all park + weather stacking data — find where the wind is blowing out and the fences are short.

12 more waiting in the on-deck circle
How to read this: Combined score = park factor × (1 + weather_modifier/10). Games at the top are in the most HR-friendly environments. Great for same-game parlays — stack multiple batters from the same high-scoring game. Park factor comes from 2025–26 Statcast data; weather modifier incorporates temperature, wind speed, and wind direction relative to home plate.
LD 3.2.85

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.