2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Max Muncy 9 HRs · 2 Pete Alonso 6 HRs · 3 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 4 Cal Raleigh 5 HRs · 5 Rafael Devers 5 HRs · 6 Heriberto Hernández 5 HRs · 7 Brooks Lee 5 HRs · 8 Tristan Peters 5 HRs · 9 Luis García Jr. 4 HRs · 10 Jordan Walker 4 HRs · 11 Nick Sogard 4 HRs · 12 Sal Stewart 4 HRs 1 Max Muncy 9 HRs · 2 Pete Alonso 6 HRs · 3 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 4 Cal Raleigh 5 HRs · 5 Rafael Devers 5 HRs · 6 Heriberto Hernández 5 HRs · 7 Brooks Lee 5 HRs · 8 Tristan Peters 5 HRs · 9 Luis García Jr. 4 HRs · 10 Jordan Walker 4 HRs · 11 Nick Sogard 4 HRs · 12 Sal Stewart 4 HRs
← Case Studies Golden Day

📅 2026-08-23

3 Top-5 Hits
4 Top-15 Hits
28 HRs in Slate
104% Coverage
255 Scored

What Happened

An outstanding day: 3 of the top 5 ranked batters hit home runs.

A high-volume day with 28 HRs across scored matchups.

Pitcher vulnerability was the dominant signal — multiple arms with elevated FIP and HR/FB rates.

Why It Worked

🎯
Pitcher Vulnerability
4 of the top 15 faced pitchers with FIP ≥ 4.50
🌡️
Warm Weather
11 top-15 batters played in 75°F+ conditions
🏟️
HR-Friendly Parks
7 top-15 matchups in parks with factor ≥ 1.05
🔥
Hot Bats
4 top-15 batters trending HOT or WARM
Stacking Opportunities
3 same-pitcher stacks for parlay potential

🔥 High Conviction Day

0 matchups met the Golden criteria (pitcher FIP > 5.0 AND HR/FB > 20%).

Stack Alerts: Cristian Javier: {'batter': 'Max Muncy', 'rank': 1, 'score': 74.0}, {'batter': 'Zack Gelof', 'rank': 11, 'score': 63.0} Lake Bachar: {'batter': 'Max Muncy', 'rank': 3, 'score': 70.0}, {'batter': 'Shohei Ohtani', 'rank': 4, 'score': 70.0} Nolan McLean: {'batter': 'Munetaka Murakami', 'rank': 5, 'score': 69.0}, {'batter': 'Miguel Vargas', 'rank': 9, 'score': 64.0}

Top 15 Matchups

# Result Batter Pitcher HR/FB Score FIP Park Form Barrel HR Details
1 Max Muncy Cristian Javier 39.5% 74 5.6 1.15 · 10.6% 101.1 mph · 409ft · 31.0°
2 Kyle Schwarber Kyle Leahy 38.7% 73 3.6 1.11 · 13.1% 108.5 mph · 459ft · 33.0°
3 Max Muncy Lake Bachar 32.9% 70 4.6 1.06 · 11.1% 101.1 mph · 409ft · 31.0°
4 Shohei Ohtani Lake Bachar 32.6% 70 4.6 1.06 · 12.2%
5 Munetaka Murakami Nolan McLean 35.3% 69 3.7 1.04 · 11.9%
6 Yordan Alvarez Brady Basso 14.6% 68 3.0 1.15 · 10.9%
7 Ben Rice José Soriano 26.4% 66 3.9 1.04 🌤️ 10.9%
8 Pete Crow-Armstrong Bryce Miller 28.4% 65 4.0 1.00 · 9.5% 110.7 mph · 355ft · 22.0°
9 Miguel Vargas Nolan McLean 27.0% 64 3.7 1.04 🌤️ 10.2%
10 Matt Olson Shane Drohan 21.3% 64 3.4 1.00 · 11.4%
11 Zack Gelof Cristian Javier 33.3% 63 5.6 1.15 🌤️ 8.1%
12 Pete Alonso Nick Martinez 28.6% 63 4.1 1.00 🌤️ 10.1%
13 Mickey Moniak Foster Griffin 25.4% 62 4.3 1.04 🌧️ 9.7%
14 Jordan Walker Cristopher Sánchez 33.9% 61 2.7 1.11 · 9.9%
15 Eduardo Valencia Daniel Lynch IV 35.7% 60 3.6 1.01 🌧️ 12.0%

All 28 HRs in Slate

Show all ranked picks that hit
#BatterHR/FBEVDistLA
1 Max Muncy 39.5% 101.1 409ft 31.0°
2 Kyle Schwarber 38.7% 108.5 459ft 33.0°
3 Max Muncy 32.9% 101.1 409ft 31.0°
8 Pete Crow-Armstrong 28.4% 110.7 355ft 22.0°
21 Brian Serven 37.1% 103.5 402ft 30.0°
31 Trent Grisham 24.4% 104.5 413ft 31.0°
37 Randy Arozarena 21.4% 93.8 358ft 34.0°
46 Ian Happ 18.7% 101.6 378ft 27.0°
61 Zach Neto 11.7% 105.6 418ft 29.0°
65 Jackson Merrill 17.8% 107.4 414ft 28.0°
71 Michael Conforto 15.5% 94.3 356ft 30.0°
77 Colton Cowser 14.9% 99.7 382ft 25.0°
83 Michael Harris II 10.0% 96.0 380ft 29.0°
86 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 12.9% 99.6 364ft 37.0°
104 Fernando Tatis Jr. 13.6% 107.7 390ft 20.0°
115 John Rave 10.6% 103.2 407ft 31.0°
117 Isaac Paredes 9.9% 96.6 350ft 38.0°
127 Brooks Lee 16.4% 101.7 401ft 28.0°
129 Tristan Peters 15.6% 102.2 406ft 29.0°
134 Jose Altuve 10.8% 95.4 370ft 28.0°
148 Ezequiel Duran 9.5% 100.1 403ft 32.0°
156 Elias Díaz 10.7% 103.7 421ft 29.0°
173 Nick Loftin 10.1% 101.8 379ft 37.0°
187 Kevin McGonigle 6.7% 102.8 392ft 35.0°
197 Jonah Cox 9.5% 99.5 384ft 31.0°
208 Pedro Ramírez 6.9% 106.1 363ft 19.0°
213 José Fermín 9.1% 100.4 397ft 27.0°
245 Nick Sogard 5.7% 104.8 415ft 30.0°
THR 3.3.164 · build 668

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