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Strong Day
📅 2026-08-16
2
Top-5 Hits
5
Top-15 Hits
39
HRs in Slate
93%
Coverage
253
Scored
What Happened
A strong day: 2 of the top 5 hit home runs.
The top 15 captured 5 home runs — exceptional concentration at the top of the board.
A high-volume day with 39 HRs across scored matchups.
Pitcher vulnerability was the dominant signal — multiple arms with elevated FIP and HR/FB rates.
Why It Worked
Pitcher Vulnerability
6 of the top 15 faced pitchers with FIP ≥ 4.50
Warm Weather
13 top-15 batters played in 75°F+ conditions
HR-Friendly Parks
9 top-15 matchups in parks with factor ≥ 1.05
Hot Bats
4 top-15 batters trending HOT or WARM
Stacking Opportunities
2 same-pitcher stacks for parlay potential
🔥 High Conviction Day
0 matchups met the Golden criteria (pitcher FIP > 5.0 AND HR/FB > 20%).
Stack Alerts:
Dean Kremer: {'batter': 'Kyle Schwarber', 'rank': 2, 'score': 69.0}, {'batter': 'Bryce Harper', 'rank': 13, 'score': 61.0}
Eury Pérez: {'batter': 'Sal Stewart', 'rank': 8, 'score': 62.0}, {'batter': 'Eugenio Suárez', 'rank': 14, 'score': 61.0}
Top 15 Matchups
| # | Result | Batter | Pitcher | HR/FB | Score | FIP | Park | Form | Barrel | HR Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ✅ | Matt Olson | Michael Soroka | 32.9% | 70 | 3.0 | 1.09 | 🌤️ | 11.5% | 109.5 mph · 437ft · 24.0° |
| 2 | — | Kyle Schwarber | Dean Kremer | 36.3% | 69 | 5.4 | 0.95 | · | 11.7% | |
| 3 | — | Yordan Alvarez | Bryan Woo | 19.4% | 69 | 3.2 | 1.17 | 🌧️ | 11.1% | |
| 4 | — | Junior Caminero | Trevor Rogers | 33.0% | 66 | 3.7 | 1.05 | · | 9.9% | |
| 5 | ✅ | Munetaka Murakami | Drew Anderson | 31.5% | 65 | 4.0 | 0.97 | · | 13.1% | 102.4 mph · 393ft · 33.0° |
| 6 | — | Shohei Ohtani | Logan Henderson | 33.2% | 65 | 3.4 | 1.07 | 🌧️ | 11.9% | |
| 7 | — | Byron Buxton | Andrew Painter | 24.4% | 63 | 5.2 | 0.95 | 🌧️ | 12.1% | |
| 8 | — | Sal Stewart | Eury Pérez | 29.9% | 62 | 3.8 | 1.08 | 🌧️ | 11.2% | |
| 9 | ✅ | Pete Crow-Armstrong | Hunter Dobbins | 27.2% | 62 | 4.3 | 1.06 | · | 8.9% | 110.3 mph · 408ft · 22.0° |
| 10 | ✅ | Alec Burleson | Edward Cabrera | 26.5% | 62 | 5.2 | 1.06 | 🌤️ | 11.1% | 105.8 mph · 421ft · 33.0° |
| 11 | — | Dominic Canzone | Hunter Brown | 21.7% | 62 | 4.5 | 1.17 | ❄ | 9.6% | |
| 12 | ✅ | Max Muncy | Cody Bradford | 16.1% | 62 | 3.1 | 1.24 | 🌧️ | 10.5% | 101.6 mph · 370ft · 32.0° |
| 13 | — | Bryce Harper | Dean Kremer | 33.7% | 61 | 5.4 | 0.95 | 🌧️ | 9.2% | |
| 14 | — | Eugenio Suárez | Eury Pérez | 31.6% | 61 | 3.8 | 1.08 | 🌤️ | 10.5% | |
| 15 | — | Pete Alonso | Freddy Peralta | 27.4% | 61 | 4.7 | 1.05 | 🌤️ | 9.3% |
All 39 HRs in Slate
Show all ranked picks that hit
| # | Batter | HR/FB | EV | Dist | LA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matt Olson | 32.9% | 109.5 | 437ft | 24.0° |
| 5 | Munetaka Murakami | 31.5% | 102.4 | 393ft | 33.0° |
| 9 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | 27.2% | 110.3 | 408ft | 22.0° |
| 10 | Alec Burleson | 26.5% | 105.8 | 421ft | 33.0° |
| 12 | Max Muncy | 16.1% | 101.6 | 370ft | 32.0° |
| 16 | Heriberto Hernández | 23.1% | 102.0 | 359ft | 24.0° |
| 17 | Jordan Walker | 19.8% | 106.6 | 413ft | 23.0° |
| 18 | Max Muncy | 20.5% | 101.6 | 370ft | 32.0° |
| 22 | Miguel Vargas | 29.7% | 98.0 | 381ft | 30.0° |
| 25 | Zack Gelof | 23.7% | 103.6 | 403ft | 31.0° |
| 34 | Jake Burger | 16.9% | 104.9 | 396ft | 24.0° |
| 42 | Ben Rice | 17.8% | 108.5 | 438ft | 27.0° |
| 44 | Kody Clemens | 14.8% | 104.9 | 400ft | 35.0° |
| 49 | Randy Arozarena | 16.7% | 94.7 | 365ft | 29.0° |
| 63 | Cal Raleigh | 10.4% | 100.6 | 327ft | 45.0° |
| 68 | Andy Pages | 15.2% | 100.6 | 382ft | 33.0° |
| 75 | Lawrence Butler | 14.0% | 107.0 | 394ft | 27.0° |
| 78 | Colton Cowser | 17.2% | 103.6 | 392ft | 39.0° |
| 79 | Jeremy Peña | 14.3% | 103.5 | 369ft | 27.0° |
| 92 | Abimelec Ortiz | 32.2% | 103.5 | 389ft | 25.0° |
| 96 | Gavin Sheets | 15.4% | 96.0 | 367ft | 34.0° |
| 98 | Ryan Vilade | 13.9% | 106.9 | 441ft | 23.0° |
| 106 | Bobby Witt Jr. | 9.3% | 98.4 | 365ft | 38.0° |
| 109 | Luis Torrens | 13.7% | 105.1 | 407ft | 26.0° |
| 119 | Gabriel Moreno | 11.0% | 107.4 | 379ft | 19.0° |
| 126 | Rafael Devers | 15.6% | 105.5 | 380ft | 25.0° |
| 128 | Miguel Amaya | 18.4% | 100.8 | 395ft | 28.0° |
| 130 | Michael Massey | 12.0% | 101.6 | 384ft | 26.0° |
| 131 | Brooks Lee | 11.4% | 99.5 | 353ft | 36.0° |
| 153 | Javier Sanoja | 10.5% | 98.2 | 358ft | 27.0° |
| 174 | Alec Bohm | 8.3% | 105.4 | 408ft | 29.0° |
| 175 | Connor Wong | 10.3% | 106.3 | 417ft | 28.0° |
| 183 | Drew Romo | 11.5% | 100.3 | 386ft | 28.0° |
| 190 | Brett Sullivan | 19.1% | 96.7 | 350ft | 34.0° |
| 198 | Tommy White | 5.8% | 106.2 | 413ft | 32.0° |
| 207 | Colt Keith | 8.3% | 99.0 | 354ft | 32.0° |
| 218 | Nick Allen | 6.8% | 99.8 | 387ft | 25.0° |
| 222 | Luis Rengifo | 8.2% | 104.6 | 409ft | 23.0° |
| 229 | Jake Cronenworth | 8.4% | 100.3 | 403ft | 35.0° |