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Golden Day
📅 2026-07-06
3
Top-5 Hits
4
Top-15 Hits
20
HRs in Slate
91%
Coverage
124
Scored
What Happened
An outstanding day: 3 of the top 5 ranked batters hit home runs.
Pitcher vulnerability was the dominant signal — multiple arms with elevated FIP and HR/FB rates.
Why It Worked
Pitcher Vulnerability
11 of the top 15 faced pitchers with FIP ≥ 4.50
Warm Weather
12 top-15 batters played in 75°F+ conditions
HR-Friendly Parks
7 top-15 matchups in parks with factor ≥ 1.05
Hot Bats
4 top-15 batters trending HOT or WARM
Stacking Opportunities
4 same-pitcher stacks for parlay potential
🔥 High Conviction Day
0 matchups met the Golden criteria (pitcher FIP > 5.0 AND HR/FB > 20%).
Stack Alerts:
Eric Lauer: {'batter': 'Hunter Goodman', 'rank': 1, 'score': 81.0}, {'batter': 'Jake McCarthy', 'rank': 10, 'score': 62.0}
Griffin Jax: {'batter': 'Ben Rice', 'rank': 3, 'score': 69.0}, {'batter': 'Paul Goldschmidt', 'rank': 12, 'score': 59.0}
Kyle Freeland: {'batter': 'Shohei Ohtani', 'rank': 5, 'score': 68.0}, {'batter': 'Max Muncy', 'rank': 7, 'score': 67.0}, {'batter': 'Freddie Freeman', 'rank': 9, 'score': 64.0}, {'batter': 'Mookie Betts', 'rank': 14, 'score': 59.0}, {'batter': 'Andy Pages', 'rank': 15, 'score': 59.0}
Noah Cameron: {'batter': 'Kyle Schwarber', 'rank': 8, 'score': 67.0}, {'batter': 'Bryce Harper', 'rank': 11, 'score': 60.0}
Top 15 Matchups
| # | Result | Batter | Pitcher | HR/FB | Score | FIP | Park | Form | Barrel | HR Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | — | Hunter Goodman | Eric Lauer | 40.1% | 81 | 6.2 | 1.20 | 🌤️ | 14.0% | |
| 2 | — | Yordan Alvarez | Miles Mikolas | 30.8% | 71 | 5.4 | 1.00 | · | 13.1% | |
| 3 | ✅ | Ben Rice | Griffin Jax | 27.0% | 69 | 4.7 | 1.04 | 🌧️ | 12.3% | 102.6 mph · 400ft · 34.0° |
| 4 | ✅ | James Wood | Mike Burrows | 36.3% | 68 | 5.4 | 1.00 | ❄ | 13.6% | 109.8 mph · 446ft · 32.0° |
| 5 | ✅ | Shohei Ohtani | Kyle Freeland | 18.9% | 68 | 4.9 | 1.20 | 🌧️ | 13.1% | 105.9 mph · 379ft · 29.0° |
| 6 | — | Junior Caminero | Cam Schlittler | 36.1% | 67 | 2.8 | 1.04 | 🌤️ | 10.5% | |
| 7 | — | Max Muncy | Kyle Freeland | 22.9% | 67 | 4.9 | 1.20 | 🌧️ | 12.2% | |
| 8 | — | Kyle Schwarber | Noah Cameron | 21.1% | 67 | 3.9 | 1.01 | 🌧️ | 12.9% | |
| 9 | — | Freddie Freeman | Kyle Freeland | 21.1% | 64 | 4.9 | 1.20 | · | 11.2% | |
| 10 | — | Jake McCarthy | Eric Lauer | 33.4% | 62 | 6.2 | 1.20 | 🌤️ | 8.4% | |
| 11 | — | Bryce Harper | Noah Cameron | 25.4% | 60 | 3.9 | 1.01 | · | 10.2% | |
| 12 | — | Paul Goldschmidt | Griffin Jax | 27.3% | 59 | 4.7 | 1.04 | · | 11.2% | |
| 13 | ✅ | Matt Olson | Freddy Peralta | 24.3% | 59 | 4.3 | 1.01 | · | 8.2% | 100.4 mph · 379ft · 25.0° |
| 14 | — | Mookie Betts | Kyle Freeland | 18.3% | 59 | 4.9 | 1.20 | 🌤️ | 9.5% | |
| 15 | — | Andy Pages | Kyle Freeland | 16.3% | 59 | 4.9 | 1.20 | · | 9.7% |
All 20 HRs in Slate
Show all ranked picks that hit
| # | Batter | HR/FB | EV | Dist | LA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ben Rice | 27.0% | 102.6 | 400ft | 34.0° |
| 4 | James Wood | 36.3% | 109.8 | 446ft | 32.0° |
| 5 | Shohei Ohtani | 18.9% | 105.9 | 379ft | 29.0° |
| 13 | Matt Olson | 24.3% | 100.4 | 379ft | 25.0° |
| 19 | Juan Soto | 16.9% | 107.8 | 430ft | 39.0° |
| 20 | Curtis Mead | 27.9% | 102.2 | 404ft | 25.0° |
| 26 | CJ Abrams | 18.4% | 108.1 | 392ft | 21.0° |
| 29 | Ezequiel Tovar | 9.4% | 100.9 | 393ft | 30.0° |
| 57 | Heliot Ramos | 18.9% | 109.6 | 444ft | 33.0° |
| 62 | Kazuma Okamoto | 20.4% | 110.8 | 412ft | 33.0° |
| 68 | Yainer Diaz | 12.7% | 102.9 | 389ft | 26.0° |
| 69 | Brice Matthews | 8.7% | 100.8 | 363ft | 23.0° |
| 73 | Carson Benge | 7.5% | 102.4 | 398ft | 28.0° |
| 76 | Jose Altuve | 11.5% | 94.5 | 372ft | 30.0° |
| 80 | José Caballero | 9.2% | 101.5 | 398ft | 35.0° |
| 81 | Salvador Perez | 9.0% | 101.0 | 401ft | 27.0° |
| 86 | Nolan Arenado | 10.7% | 98.7 | 361ft | 38.0° |
| 99 | Lane Thomas | 7.0% | 101.6 | 403ft | 24.0° |
| 103 | Tyler Tolbert | 6.3% | 94.0 | 376ft | 26.0° |
| 106 | Geraldo Perdomo | 6.3% | 97.8 | 377ft | 27.0° |