6
HRs allowed
33.3%
HR rate (pool)
13.6%
Overall HR/FB
4.25
FIP
4.66
xFIP
-0.40
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
59
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 59th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
72.2%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 109.4 EV · 403 ft
max EV allowed 113.3
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 3 HR
15D · 3 HR
30D · 6 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Richard Lovelady.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Sweeper Breaking
42.9%
81.6
14.9°
2
-0.0
Sinker Hard
29.7%
81.5
9.1°
0
+1.9
Fastball Hard
21.5%
78.7
21.0°
1
+1.6
Slider Breaking
5.9%
78.6
7.0°
1
+3.4
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups18
HRs allowed (pool)6
Pool HR rate33.3%
Pool HR/game day3.0
Top-15 matchups0
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB13.6% 59
HR/9—
FIP4.25 58
xFIP4.66
FIP − xFIP-0.40 24
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed72.2%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Sweeper
Breaking · 42.9% usage
-0.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.6 mph
Avg launch angle14.9°
HRs allowed2
Pitches231
Sinker
Hard · 29.7% usage
+1.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.5 mph
Avg launch angle9.1°
HRs allowed0
Pitches160
Fastball
Hard · 21.5% usage
+1.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against78.7 mph
Avg launch angle21.0°
HRs allowed1
Pitches116
Slider
Breaking · 5.9% usage
+3.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against78.6 mph
Avg launch angle7.0°
HRs allowed1
Pitches32
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Richard Lovelady.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
6 allowed · scored pool
avg 109.4 EV · 403 ft
6 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 2 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-06-02
9
3
110.8
2026-05-17
9
3
113.3
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Richard Lovelady isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.