HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
1.0
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
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Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
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Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
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Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
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FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
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FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
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xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
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FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
11.1%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
54
Pool Matchups
6
HRs Allowed (Pool)
2
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
11.1%
HR Rate
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | Munetaka Murakami | #37 | 41 | Petco Park | 111.1mph | 26.0° | 413.0ft |
| 2026-05-01 | Colson Montgomery | #62 | 37 | Petco Park | 101.4mph | 28.0° | 385.0ft |
| 2026-04-25 | Alek Thomas | #162 | 41 | Estadio Alfredo Harp Helu | 105.1mph | 32.0° | 400.0ft |
| 2026-04-11 | Mickey Moniak | #19 | 49 | Petco Park | 104.9mph | 25.0° | 406.0ft |
| 2026-03-31 | Willy Adames | #98 | 42 | Petco Park | 96.0mph | 33.0° | 338.0ft |
| 2026-03-31 | Matt Chapman | #105 | 40 | Petco Park | 102.2mph | 45.0° | 349.0ft |
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | Chase Meidroth | #236 | 14 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Edgar Quero | #220 | 17 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Tristan Peters | #216 | 18 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Luisangel Acuña | #183 | 22 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Everson Pereira | #173 | 23 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Andrew Benintendi | #110 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Miguel Vargas | #85 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Colson Montgomery | #62 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-01 | Munetaka Murakami | #37 | 41 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-25 | Geraldo Perdomo | #200 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Alek Thomas | #162 | 41 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-04-25 | Gabriel Moreno | #143 | 45 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Jorge Barrosa | #142 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Jose Fernandez | #126 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Nolan Arenado | #108 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Ildemaro Vargas | #88 | 56 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Ketel Marte | #87 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Corbin Carroll | #69 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Nolan Schanuel | #135 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Logan O'Hoppe | #80 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Josh Lowe | #58 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Jo Adell | #51 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Oswald Peraza | #37 | 67 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Yoán Moncada | #36 | 67 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Zach Neto | #24 | 73 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Jorge Soler | #8 | 83 | 🟢 A | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Mike Trout | #2 | 92 | 🔥 A+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Tyler Freeman | #230 | 17 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Ryan Ritter | #217 | 18 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Ezequiel Tovar | #184 | 33 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Brenton Doyle | #168 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Jordan Beck | #147 | 34 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Kyle Farmer | #145 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Michael Toglia | #120 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Mickey Moniak | #19 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-11 | Hunter Goodman | #18 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Nick Gonzales | #200 | 22 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Jared Triolo | #194 | 27 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Henry Davis | #191 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Joey Bart | #172 | 26 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Spencer Horwitz | #159 | 32 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Tommy Pham | #153 | 27 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Andrew McCutchen | #145 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Bryan Reynolds | #97 | 34 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Oneil Cruz | #44 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Patrick Bailey | #204 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Jung Hoo Lee | #203 | 27 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Tyler Fitzgerald | #191 | 25 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Dominic Smith | #173 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Wilmer Flores | #147 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Heliot Ramos | #131 | 33 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Casey Schmitt | #129 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Matt Chapman | #105 | 40 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-03-31 | Willy Adames | #98 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |