1
HRs allowed
4.2%
HR rate (pool)
6.2%
Overall HR/FB
3.29
FIP
4.04
xFIP
-0.74
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
6
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 6th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
4.2%
Hard-Hit% allowed
73.3%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 111.6 EV · 423 ft
max EV allowed 112.0
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 1 HR
15D · 1 HR
30D · 1 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Eduardo Rivera.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
55.9%
85.0
13.0°
0
-1.7
Slider Breaking
29.5%
65.8
9.3°
0
+1.3
Changeup Offspeed
14.5%
82.5
11.7°
1
+2.0
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups24
HRs allowed (pool)1
Pool HR rate4.2%
Pool HR/game day0.33
Top-15 matchups0
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB6.2% 6
HR/9—
FIP3.29 21
xFIP4.04
FIP − xFIP-0.74 9
Barrel% allowed4.2%
Hard-Hit% allowed73.3%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-08-31
Fastball
Hard · 55.9% usage
-1.7
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.0 mph
Avg launch angle13.0°
HRs allowed0
Pitches127
Slider
Breaking · 29.5% usage
+1.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against65.8 mph
Avg launch angle9.3°
HRs allowed0
Pitches67
Changeup
Offspeed · 14.5% usage
+2.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.5 mph
Avg launch angle11.7°
HRs allowed1
Pitches33
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Eduardo Rivera.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
1 allowed · scored pool
avg 111.6 EV · 423 ft
1 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 3 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-22
7
0
112.0
2026-07-21
8
0
—
2026-07-17
9
1
111.6
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Eduardo Rivera isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Eduardo Rivera isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
24
1
4%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.
Common questions about Eduardo Rivera
How many home runs has Eduardo Rivera allowed this season?
Eduardo Rivera has allowed 1 home run across 3 scored game days in the TheHomeRuns pool this season.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.