MLB Home Run Predictions — April 12, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-04-12: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for April 12, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
19
HRs by scored batters
0/5
Top-5 picks that homered
3/15
Top-15 picks that homered
39.8 vs 33.8
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #7 | James Wood | Brandon Woodruff | 58 | C BelowAvg |
| #9 | Nick Kurtz | Freddy Peralta | 49 | D Below |
| #12 | Aaron Judge | Drew Rasmussen | 67 | C+ Value |
| #23 | Jake Bauers | Zack Littell | 45 | D Below |
| #26 | Elly De La Cruz | José Soriano | 41 | D Below |
| #27 | Oneil Cruz | Jameson Taillon | 43 | D Below |
| #34 | Rhys Hoskins | Chris Sale | 43 | D Below |
| #37 | Oswald Peraza | Andrew Abbott | 46 | D Below |
| #50 | Brice Turang | Zack Littell | 39 | D Below |
| #65 | Jackson Merrill | Kyle Freeland | 44 | D Below |
| #73 | Trea Turner | Zac Gallen | 39 | D Below |
| #94 | Otto Lopez | Tarik Skubal | 32 | D Below |
| #100 | Yainer Diaz | Logan Gilbert | 18 | D Below |
| #108 | Kerry Carpenter | Sandy Alcantara | 41 | D Below |
| #123 | Willson Contreras | Andre Pallante | 30 | D Below |
| #130 | Samuel Basallo | Adrian Houser | 37 | D Below |
| #146 | Dillon Dingler | Sandy Alcantara | 33 | D Below |
| #150 | Alec Burleson | Brayan Bello | 28 | D Below |
| #170 | Jordan Walker | Brayan Bello | 23 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Jackson Merrill, Trea Turner, Otto Lopez, Yainer Diaz, Kerry Carpenter, Willson Contreras, Samuel Basallo, Dillon Dingler, Alec Burleson, Jordan Walker
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.