MLB Home Run Predictions — April 4, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-04-04: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for April 4, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
12
HRs by scored batters
0/5
Top-5 picks that homered
0/15
Top-15 picks that homered
40.2 vs 35.3
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #18 | Zach Neto | Emerson Hancock | 51 | C BelowAvg |
| #23 | Cody Bellinger | Max Meyer | 48 | D Below |
| #33 | Christian Walker | Luis Morales | 51 | C BelowAvg |
| #50 | Kerry Carpenter | Dustin May | 47 | D Below |
| #52 | Andy Pages | Jake Irvin | 41 | D Below |
| #85 | Cam Smith | Luis Morales | 39 | D Below |
| #107 | Zach McKinstry | Dustin May | 35 | D Below |
| #124 | Salvador Perez | Chad Patrick | 44 | D Below |
| #125 | Gleyber Torres | Dustin May | 32 | D Below |
| #204 | Tyrone Taylor | Landen Roupp | 20 | D Below |
| #211 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Grant Taylor | 37 | D Below |
| #213 | Salvador Perez | Brandon Sproat | 37 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Andy Pages, Cam Smith, Zach McKinstry, Salvador Perez, Gleyber Torres, Tyrone Taylor, Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Salvador Perez
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.