TOR
@
6:35p
BAL
Park Factor
1.15×
Weather Mod
+4.0%
warm air · strong partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.606
Temp
79.2°F
Wind
16.1 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
Patrick Corbin
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Gunnar Henderson | 70 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 7 | 0.205 | 89.5 | 9.1% | 54.5% | 390 | 22.6% | 33.3% | 32.3% | 38 |
| 2 |
|
Pete Alonso | 66 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 10 | 0.201 | 95.1 | 10.3% | 9.5% | 391 | 16.4% | 16.7% | 13.1% | 40 |
| 3 |
|
Adley Rutschman | 63 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 13 | 0.215 | 89.5 | 8.8% | 20.0% | 399 | 16.0% | 10.0% | 16.0% | 31 |
| 4 |
|
Coby Mayo | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🔥 HOT | 15 | 0.141 | 91.4 | 8.1% | 27.3% | 417 | 10.9% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 17 |
| 5 |
|
Jackson Holliday | 45 | ⚪ D | · | · | 39 | 0.148 | 91.9 | 7.8% | 8.0% | 337 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.4% | 14 |
| 6 |
|
Taylor Ward | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 45 | 0.106 | 89.2 | 6.3% | 7.1% | 390 | 3.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 33 |
| 7 |
|
Blaze Alexander | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 49 | 0.050 | 92.3 | 6.3% | 0.0% | 399 | 2.9% | 16.7% | 7.0% | 24 |
| 8 |
|
Tyler O'Neill | 41 | ⚪ D | · | · | 55 | 0.082 | 87.8 | 6.2% | 0.0% | 397 | 11.1% | 20.0% | 7.0% | 23 |
| 9 |
|
Leody Taveras | 34 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 76 | 0.139 | 87.6 | 6.5% | 0.0% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 25 |
Chris Bassitt
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jesús Sánchez | 56 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 18 | 0.194 | 91.2 | 5.6% | 25.0% | 399 | 12.5% | 8.3% | 15.3% | 24 |
| 2 |
|
Kazuma Okamoto | 54 | 🟠 C | · | · | 22 | 0.178 | 92.9 | 7.3% | 29.0% | 409 | 13.9% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 21 |
| 3 |
|
Ernie Clement | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 25 | 0.149 | 86.0 | 3.3% | 8.6% | 371 | 9.6% | 30.0% | 11.8% | 37 |
| 4 |
|
George Springer | 51 | 🟠 C | · | · | 29 | 0.172 | 87.7 | 5.4% | 23.8% | 387 | 8.3% | 20.0% | 16.7% | 37 |
| 5 |
|
Daulton Varsho | 42 | ⚪ D | · | · | 46 | 0.145 | 86.6 | 4.7% | 14.3% | 387 | 7.5% | 0.0% | 10.0% | 33 |
| 6 |
|
Brandon Valenzuela | 36 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 69 | 0.152 | 89.2 | 5.2% | 22.2% | 392 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.6% | 25 |
| 7 |
|
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 71 | 0.104 | 90.2 | 5.1% | 10.0% | 412 | 5.8% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 34 |
| 8 |
|
Andrés Giménez | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 78 | 0.136 | 85.5 | 3.5% | 14.3% | 382 | 2.5% | 0.0% | 9.4% | 28 |
| 9 |
|
Nathan Lukes | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 89 | 0.065 | 87.3 | 2.7% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.8% | 5 |