⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
TOR
@ 6:35p
BAL
Camden Yards · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.15×
Weather Mod
+4.0%
warm air · strong partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.606
Temp
79.2°F
Wind
16.1 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Gunnar Henderson Gunnar Henderson 70 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 7 0.205 89.5 9.1% 54.5% 390 22.6% 33.3% 32.3% 38
2 Pete Alonso Pete Alonso 66 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 10 0.201 95.1 10.3% 9.5% 391 16.4% 16.7% 13.1% 40
3 Adley Rutschman Adley Rutschman 63 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 13 0.215 89.5 8.8% 20.0% 399 16.0% 10.0% 16.0% 31
4 Coby Mayo Coby Mayo 60 🔵 C+ · 🔥 HOT 15 0.141 91.4 8.1% 27.3% 417 10.9% 14.3% 13.5% 17
5 Jackson Holliday Jackson Holliday 45 ⚪ D · · 39 0.148 91.9 7.8% 8.0% 337 0.0% 0.0% 12.4% 14
6 Taylor Ward Taylor Ward 43 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 45 0.106 89.2 6.3% 7.1% 390 3.6% 8.3% 8.1% 33
7 Blaze Alexander Blaze Alexander 42 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 49 0.050 92.3 6.3% 0.0% 399 2.9% 16.7% 7.0% 24
8 Tyler O'Neill Tyler O'Neill 41 ⚪ D · · 55 0.082 87.8 6.2% 0.0% 397 11.1% 20.0% 7.0% 23
9 Leody Taveras Leody Taveras 34 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 76 0.139 87.6 6.5% 0.0% 409 0.0% 0.0% 7.4% 25
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jesús Sánchez Jesús Sánchez 56 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 18 0.194 91.2 5.6% 25.0% 399 12.5% 8.3% 15.3% 24
2 Kazuma Okamoto Kazuma Okamoto 54 🟠 C · · 22 0.178 92.9 7.3% 29.0% 409 13.9% 10.0% 11.2% 21
3 Ernie Clement Ernie Clement 53 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 25 0.149 86.0 3.3% 8.6% 371 9.6% 30.0% 11.8% 37
4 George Springer George Springer 51 🟠 C · · 29 0.172 87.7 5.4% 23.8% 387 8.3% 20.0% 16.7% 37
5 Daulton Varsho Daulton Varsho 42 ⚪ D · · 46 0.145 86.6 4.7% 14.3% 387 7.5% 0.0% 10.0% 33
6 Brandon Valenzuela Brandon Valenzuela 36 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 69 0.152 89.2 5.2% 22.2% 392 0.0% 0.0% 11.6% 25
7 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 36 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 71 0.104 90.2 5.1% 10.0% 412 5.8% 10.0% 6.5% 34
8 Andrés Giménez Andrés Giménez 34 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 78 0.136 85.5 3.5% 14.3% 382 2.5% 0.0% 9.4% 28
9 Nathan Lukes Nathan Lukes 28 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 89 0.065 87.3 2.7% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 8.8% 5
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