TB
@
—
STL
Park Factor
0.93×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.651
Temp
44.3°F
Wind
7.5 mph
cross
Roof
open
Dustin May
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Junior Caminero ⚡ | 61 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 25 | 0.271 | 92.4 | 11.3% | 24.5% | 392 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17.4% | 15 |
| 2 |
|
Yandy Díaz | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 75 | 0.182 | 93.0 | 8.7% | 18.2% | 379 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.0% | 28 |
| 3 |
|
Jonathan Aranda | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 81 | 0.173 | 93.0 | 10.8% | 14.7% | 398 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.5% | 20 |
| 4 |
|
Carson Williams | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 93 | 0.182 | 85.9 | 9.0% | 31.3% | 394 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 19.7% | 16 |
| 5 |
|
Richie Palacios | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 134 | 0.102 | 89.9 | 7.4% | 10.7% | 379 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.5% | 10 |
| 6 |
|
Cedric Mullins | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 146 | 0.175 | 88.8 | 7.5% | 10.8% | 384 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.6% | 17 |
| 7 |
|
Jake Fraley | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 147 | 0.141 | 85.2 | 6.7% | 10.2% | 393 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.2% | 14 |
| 8 |
|
Hunter Feduccia | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 180 | 0.057 | 87.6 | 8.7% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.7% | 4 |
| 9 |
|
Chandler Simpson | 15 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 193 | 0.051 | 84.3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.7% | 22 |
Steven Matz
LHP
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Alec Burleson | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 64 | 0.169 | 91.0 | 7.7% | 10.2% | 408 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 9.4% | 20 |
| 2 |
|
Iván Herrera ⚡ | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 125 | 0.180 | 91.2 | 8.3% | 19.4% | 407 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.0% | 14 |
| 3 |
|
Jordan Walker | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 165 | 0.091 | 92.3 | 8.3% | 6.6% | 415 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.6% | 15 |
| 4 |
|
Ramón Urías | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 169 | 0.142 | 89.2 | 7.1% | 10.7% | 381 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.6% | 7 |
| 5 |
|
Pedro Pagés | 25 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 182 | 0.133 | 88.0 | 6.8% | 11.0% | 400 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.8% | 12 |
| 6 |
|
Thomas Saggese | 24 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 185 | 0.084 | 90.2 | 5.9% | 3.2% | 411 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.3% | 7 |
| 7 |
|
Masyn Winn | 23 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 188 | 0.110 | 88.3 | 5.5% | 5.7% | 388 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 15 |
| 8 |
|
Victor Scott II | 15 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 192 | 0.080 | 86.1 | 4.8% | 4.9% | 397 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.5% | 18 |