TB
@
4:05p
PIT
Park Factor
0.68×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
mild air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.684
Temp
65.3°F
Wind
7.7 mph
cross
Roof
open
Drew Rasmussen
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Oneil Cruz | 78 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 21 | 0.275 | 97.1 | 20.5% | 42.9% | 418 | 33.3% | 30.0% | 23.1% | 36 |
| 2 |
|
Brandon Lowe | 58 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 67 | 0.357 | 84.6 | 11.9% | 43.8% | 390 | 7.7% | 0.0% | 23.8% | 37 |
| 3 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 44 | ⚪ D | · | · | 127 | 0.167 | 93.1 | 10.9% | 25.0% | 405 | 20.0% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 31 |
| 4 |
|
Ryan O'Hearn | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 157 | 0.180 | 89.4 | 10.0% | 18.8% | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 38 |
| 5 |
|
Marcell Ozuna | 23 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 234 | 0.068 | 88.0 | 2.9% | 9.1% | · | 5.6% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 28 |
| 6 |
|
Konnor Griffin | 22 | ⚪ D | · | · | 236 | 0.089 | 86.7 | 7.7% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 0 |
| 7 |
|
Spencer Horwitz | 16 | ⚪ D | · | · | 252 | 0.102 | 83.7 | 0.0% | 12.5% | 376 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.4% | 28 |
| 8 |
|
Nick Yorke | 15 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 254 | 0.064 | 89.4 | 6.3% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.5% | 29 |
| 9 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 13 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 260 | 0.049 | 87.3 | 2.6% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.7% | 27 |
Paul Skenes
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Junior Caminero | 52 | 🟠 C | · | · | 87 | 0.191 | 90.2 | 8.5% | 33.3% | 399 | 25.0% | 36.4% | 17.1% | 37 |
| 2 |
|
Jonathan Aranda | 46 | ⚪ D | · | · | 116 | 0.186 | 93.0 | 10.2% | 15.0% | 399 | 13.3% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 30 |
| 3 |
|
Jake Fraley | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 129 | 0.143 | 87.9 | 4.0% | 10.0% | · | 20.0% | 33.3% | 6.4% | 19 |
| 4 |
|
Jonny DeLuca | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 139 | 0.222 | 89.2 | 3.6% | 33.3% | 438 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.0% | 17 |
| 5 |
|
Yandy Díaz | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 143 | 0.189 | 91.9 | 7.3% | 21.4% | 368 | 14.3% | 20.0% | 9.1% | 41 |
| 6 |
|
Nick Fortes | 16 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 253 | 0.132 | 87.2 | 2.4% | 12.5% | 408 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.7% | 26 |
| 7 |
|
Cedric Mullins | 15 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 257 | 0.097 | 87.0 | 2.5% | 6.2% | 367 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.1% | 32 |
| 8 |
|
Ben Williamson | 13 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 262 | 0.074 | 85.2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.3% | 23 |
| 9 |
|
Chandler Simpson | 11 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 265 | 0.055 | 82.7 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.3% | 49 |