TB
@
6:45p
PIT
Park Factor
0.68×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
warm air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
0.684
Temp
73.8°F
Wind
3.8 mph
out
Roof
open
Nick Martinez
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Oneil Cruz | 75 | 🟡 B | · | · | 23 | 0.250 | 97.1 | 20.5% | 41.7% | 418 | 28.6% | 22.2% | 15.1% | 37 |
| 2 |
|
Brandon Lowe | 64 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 50 | 0.353 | 84.6 | 11.9% | 53.8% | 390 | 8.3% | 0.0% | 25.7% | 33 |
| 3 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 51 | 🟠 C | · | · | 86 | 0.177 | 93.1 | 10.9% | 25.0% | 405 | 21.4% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 31 |
| 4 |
|
Ryan O'Hearn | 43 | ⚪ D | · | · | 118 | 0.191 | 89.4 | 10.0% | 20.0% | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.0% | 37 |
| 5 |
|
Marcell Ozuna | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 192 | 0.073 | 88.0 | 2.9% | 10.0% | · | 5.9% | 10.0% | 5.5% | 25 |
| 6 |
|
Konnor Griffin | 28 | ⚪ D | · | · | 198 | 0.096 | 86.7 | 7.7% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.5% | 0 |
| 7 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 23 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 225 | 0.053 | 87.3 | 2.6% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.0% | 24 |
| 8 |
|
Nick Yorke | 20 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 233 | 0.064 | 89.4 | 6.3% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.7% | 29 |
| 9 |
|
Spencer Horwitz | 19 | ⚪ D | · | · | 237 | 0.087 | 83.7 | 0.0% | 12.5% | 376 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.6% | 27 |
Bubba Chandler
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Junior Caminero | 57 | 🟠 C | · | · | 68 | 0.203 | 90.2 | 8.5% | 33.3% | 399 | 26.7% | 40.0% | 17.0% | 39 |
| 2 |
|
Jonathan Aranda | 52 | 🟠 C | · | · | 84 | 0.194 | 93.0 | 10.2% | 15.0% | 399 | 14.3% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 33 |
| 3 |
|
Jake Fraley | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 87 | 0.157 | 87.9 | 4.0% | 11.1% | · | 25.0% | 50.0% | 7.0% | 18 |
| 4 |
|
Jonny DeLuca | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 107 | 0.222 | 89.2 | 3.6% | 33.3% | 438 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.5% | 18 |
| 5 |
|
Yandy Díaz | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 109 | 0.186 | 91.9 | 7.3% | 21.4% | 368 | 16.7% | 25.0% | 8.3% | 39 |
| 6 |
|
Nick Fortes | 24 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 222 | 0.140 | 87.2 | 2.4% | 12.5% | 408 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.6% | 26 |
| 7 |
|
Cedric Mullins | 20 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 234 | 0.103 | 87.0 | 2.5% | 6.7% | 367 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.8% | 32 |
| 8 |
|
Ben Williamson | 17 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 245 | 0.078 | 85.2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.9% | 25 |
| 9 |
|
Chandler Simpson | 15 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 248 | 0.058 | 82.7 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.9% | 48 |