TB
@
6:35p
BAL
Park Factor
1.14×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
warm air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
1.140
Temp
75.3°F
Wind
6.9 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Junior Caminero | 82 | 🟢 A | · | 🔥 HOT | 2 | 0.215 | 92.2 | 14.4% | 30.3% | 407 | 24.5% | 18.2% | 24.2% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Yandy Díaz | 76 | 🟡 B | · | 🔥 HOT | 9 | 0.180 | 90.4 | 12.0% | 24.0% | 383 | 15.4% | 30.0% | 26.9% | 35 |
| 3 |
|
Jonathan Aranda | 72 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 15 | 0.204 | 90.2 | 13.6% | 20.9% | 393 | 14.6% | 9.1% | 15.2% | 30 |
| 4 |
|
Carson Williams | 53 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 77 | 0.114 | 83.2 | 14.7% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.0% | 2 |
| 5 |
|
Hunter Feduccia | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 82 | 0.078 | 88.5 | 6.6% | 8.3% | 421 | 7.7% | 16.7% | 12.8% | 13 |
| 6 |
|
Ryan Vilade | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 116 | 0.147 | 89.3 | 7.8% | 14.3% | 402 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.6% | 10 |
| 7 |
|
Richie Palacios | 39 | ⚪ D | · | · | 152 | 0.060 | 86.7 | 8.5% | 7.7% | 382 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 28 |
| 8 |
|
Cedric Mullins | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 164 | 0.087 | 87.4 | 5.2% | 9.7% | 379 | 5.3% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 30 |
| 9 |
|
Chandler Simpson | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 200 | 0.067 | 84.2 | · | 7.1% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 40 |
Steven Matz
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Samuel Basallo | 71 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 19 | 0.203 | 93.0 | 10.7% | 20.0% | 404 | 16.7% | 33.3% | 25.3% | 20 |
| 2 |
|
Gunnar Henderson | 67 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 34 | 0.209 | 89.8 | 10.1% | 54.5% | 387 | 21.2% | 25.0% | 21.6% | 39 |
| 3 |
|
Pete Alonso | 66 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 35 | 0.204 | 95.1 | 11.9% | 9.5% | 391 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 38 |
| 4 |
|
Adley Rutschman | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 37 | 0.215 | 89.2 | 9.7% | 20.0% | 399 | 16.7% | 20.0% | 21.4% | 31 |
| 5 |
|
Jeremiah Jackson | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🔥 HOT | 50 | 0.173 | 89.3 | 9.8% | 20.0% | 396 | 10.5% | 0.0% | 13.2% | 27 |
| 6 |
|
Coby Mayo | 56 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 67 | 0.141 | 91.1 | 9.3% | 27.3% | 417 | 11.1% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 17 |
| 7 |
|
Taylor Ward | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 120 | 0.107 | 89.0 | 7.2% | 7.1% | 390 | 3.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 33 |
| 8 |
|
Blaze Alexander | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 150 | 0.052 | 92.7 | 6.4% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 23 |
| 9 |
|
Leody Taveras | 37 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 163 | 0.144 | 87.6 | 7.5% | 0.0% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.9% | 24 |