TB
@
6:35p
BAL
Park Factor
1.16×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
warm air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
1.156
Temp
76.6°F
Wind
4.6 mph
cross
Roof
open
Shane Baz
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Junior Caminero | 71 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 11 | 0.215 | 92.2 | 10.9% | 32.3% | 407 | 25.0% | 18.2% | 23.6% | 36 |
| 2 |
|
Yandy Díaz | 68 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🔥 HOT | 21 | 0.180 | 90.4 | 9.1% | 25.0% | 383 | 15.8% | 30.0% | 26.1% | 38 |
| 3 |
|
Jonathan Aranda | 64 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 35 | 0.204 | 90.2 | 10.3% | 20.0% | 393 | 14.9% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 31 |
| 4 | Victor Mesa Jr. | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 76 | 0.067 | 81.8 | 8.9% | 9.1% | · | 100.0% | 100.0% | 9.9% | 5 | |
| 5 |
|
Hunter Feduccia | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 88 | 0.078 | 88.5 | 5.0% | 11.1% | 421 | 8.3% | 20.0% | 13.8% | 11 |
| 6 |
|
Taylor Walls | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 163 | 0.080 | 82.6 | 4.6% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 28 |
| 7 |
|
Richie Palacios | 32 | ⚪ D | · | · | 199 | 0.060 | 86.7 | 6.4% | 8.3% | 382 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 27 |
| 8 |
|
Cedric Mullins | 29 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 208 | 0.087 | 87.4 | 3.9% | 10.3% | 379 | 5.4% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 30 |
| 9 |
|
Chandler Simpson | 27 | ⚪ D | · | · | 222 | 0.067 | 84.2 | · | 7.7% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 37 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Pete Alonso | 68 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 20 | 0.204 | 95.1 | 9.1% | 23.5% | 391 | 17.0% | 16.7% | 18.3% | 38 |
| 2 |
|
Samuel Basallo | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 32 | 0.203 | 93.0 | 8.2% | 26.1% | 404 | 14.3% | 22.2% | 31.5% | 21 |
| 3 |
|
Gunnar Henderson | 64 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 34 | 0.209 | 89.8 | 7.7% | 15.8% | 387 | 21.6% | 25.0% | 17.6% | 39 |
| 4 |
|
Colton Cowser | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 48 | 0.140 | 86.7 | 8.4% | 13.3% | 420 | 10.5% | 66.7% | 18.6% | 15 |
| 5 |
|
Jeremiah Jackson | 58 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 55 | 0.173 | 89.3 | 7.4% | 22.2% | 396 | 10.8% | 0.0% | 14.4% | 27 |
| 6 |
|
Jackson Holliday | 49 | ⚪ D | · | · | 75 | 0.152 | 92.7 | 7.9% | 5.3% | 337 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17.7% | 10 |
| 7 |
|
Taylor Ward | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 122 | 0.107 | 89.0 | 5.5% | 3.9% | 390 | 3.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 34 |
| 8 |
|
Blaze Alexander | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 156 | 0.052 | 92.7 | 4.9% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 20 |
| 9 |
|
Leody Taveras | 37 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 170 | 0.144 | 87.6 | 5.7% | 15.8% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.7% | 22 |