⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
TB
@ 6:35p
BAL
Camden Yards · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.16×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
warm air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
1.156
Temp
76.6°F
Wind
4.6 mph
cross
Roof
open
Shane Baz
Shane Baz RHP
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Junior Caminero Junior Caminero 71 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 11 0.215 92.2 10.9% 32.3% 407 25.0% 18.2% 23.6% 36
2 Yandy Díaz Yandy Díaz 68 🔵 C+ · 🔥 HOT 21 0.180 90.4 9.1% 25.0% 383 15.8% 30.0% 26.1% 38
3 Jonathan Aranda Jonathan Aranda 64 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 35 0.204 90.2 10.3% 20.0% 393 14.9% 9.1% 14.3% 31
4 Victor Mesa Jr. 49 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 76 0.067 81.8 8.9% 9.1% · 100.0% 100.0% 9.9% 5
5 Hunter Feduccia Hunter Feduccia 46 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 88 0.078 88.5 5.0% 11.1% 421 8.3% 20.0% 13.8% 11
6 Taylor Walls Taylor Walls 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 163 0.080 82.6 4.6% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.6% 28
7 Richie Palacios Richie Palacios 32 ⚪ D · · 199 0.060 86.7 6.4% 8.3% 382 0.0% 0.0% 7.8% 27
8 Cedric Mullins Cedric Mullins 29 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 208 0.087 87.4 3.9% 10.3% 379 5.4% 9.1% 8.1% 30
9 Chandler Simpson Chandler Simpson 27 ⚪ D · · 222 0.067 84.2 · 7.7% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.7% 37
Griffin Jax
Griffin Jax RHP 💥 Meltdown
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Pete Alonso Pete Alonso 68 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 20 0.204 95.1 9.1% 23.5% 391 17.0% 16.7% 18.3% 38
2 Samuel Basallo Samuel Basallo 65 🔵 C+ · · 32 0.203 93.0 8.2% 26.1% 404 14.3% 22.2% 31.5% 21
3 Gunnar Henderson Gunnar Henderson 64 🔵 C+ · · 34 0.209 89.8 7.7% 15.8% 387 21.6% 25.0% 17.6% 39
4 Colton Cowser Colton Cowser 60 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 48 0.140 86.7 8.4% 13.3% 420 10.5% 66.7% 18.6% 15
5 Jeremiah Jackson Jeremiah Jackson 58 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 55 0.173 89.3 7.4% 22.2% 396 10.8% 0.0% 14.4% 27
6 Jackson Holliday Jackson Holliday 49 ⚪ D · · 75 0.152 92.7 7.9% 5.3% 337 0.0% 0.0% 17.7% 10
7 Taylor Ward Taylor Ward 44 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 122 0.107 89.0 5.5% 3.9% 390 3.7% 8.3% 8.3% 34
8 Blaze Alexander Blaze Alexander 39 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 156 0.052 92.7 4.9% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.7% 20
9 Leody Taveras Leody Taveras 37 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 170 0.144 87.6 5.7% 15.8% 409 0.0% 0.0% 11.7% 22
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