⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
STL
@ 9:45p
SD
Petco Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.94×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.843
Temp
61.4°F
Wind
4.6 mph
cross
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jordan Walker Jordan Walker 50 🟠 C · · 23 0.253 95.2 · 33.3% 406 17.4% 15.4% 19.7% 36
2 Nathan Church Nathan Church 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 37 0.200 86.4 · 29.4% 387 14.3% 15.4% 23.1% 43
3 JJ Wetherholt JJ Wetherholt 43 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 43 0.203 90.1 · 18.5% 394 5.3% 7.7% 25.6% 47
4 Alec Burleson Alec Burleson 43 ⚪ D · · 44 0.176 91.5 · 20.8% 408 17.6% 23.1% 20.5% 40
5 Pedro Pagés Pedro Pagés 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 67 0.183 85.5 · 21.4% 397 6.7% 0.0% 18.5% 23
6 Nolan Gorman Nolan Gorman 35 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 85 0.143 88.3 · 19.2% 403 9.1% 7.7% 13.5% 32
7 Ivan Herrera Ivan Herrera 34 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 88 0.181 90.1 · 18.8% 400 8.3% 11.1% 10.7% 30
8 Victor Scott II Victor Scott II 25 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 153 0.053 87.6 · 12.5% 415 0.0% 0.0% 8.8% 24
9 Masyn Winn Masyn Winn 24 ⚪ D · · 168 0.107 86.3 · 7.7% 373 3.0% 0.0% 6.5% 42
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Gavin Sheets Gavin Sheets 44 ⚪ D · · 40 0.244 88.8 · 31.6% 409 9.7% 16.7% 28.5% 21
2 Miguel Andujar Miguel Andujar 40 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 58 0.165 89.1 · 7.7% 397 10.5% 16.7% 11.5% 33
3 Manny Machado Manny Machado 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 68 0.162 90.2 · 23.5% 399 12.5% 16.7% 18.9% 33
4 Xander Bogaerts Xander Bogaerts 34 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 90 0.156 88.4 · 30.4% 392 18.8% 25.0% 20.6% 28
5 Ramón Laureano Ramón Laureano 30 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 126 0.187 88.9 · 27.3% 406 5.0% 8.3% 14.3% 20
6 Jackson Merrill Jackson Merrill 25 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 160 0.130 89.3 · 16.0% 408 12.5% 8.3% 7.8% 34
7 Nick Castellanos Nick Castellanos 23 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 169 0.109 88.3 · 7.7% 405 0.0% 0.0% 8.2% 18
8 Fernando Tatis Jr. Fernando Tatis Jr. 13 ⚪ D · · 221 0.036 92.8 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.2% 34
9 Jake Cronenworth Jake Cronenworth 12 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 227 0.056 87.4 · 7.7% 399 3.1% 0.0% 7.0% 15
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