STL
@
12:35p
PIT
Park Factor
0.80×
Weather Mod
+2.0%
cold air · strong wind out · roof open
Combined
0.965
Temp
49.4°F
Wind
15.0 mph
out
Roof
open
Hunter Dobbins
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Oneil Cruz | 72 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 24 | 0.265 | 97.3 | 23.5% | 33.3% | 415 | 33.3% | 36.4% | 22.6% | 29 |
| 2 |
|
Brandon Lowe | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 55 | 0.275 | 86.5 | 12.3% | 33.3% | 390 | 4.8% | 0.0% | 13.4% | 28 |
| 3 |
|
Ryan O'Hearn | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 85 | 0.183 | 90.6 | 8.6% | 20.0% | 385 | 15.4% | 20.0% | 11.2% | 31 |
| 4 |
|
Marcell Ozuna | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 129 | 0.080 | 88.5 | 9.8% | 8.3% | 405 | 7.1% | 16.7% | 6.4% | 32 |
| 5 |
|
Konnor Griffin | 29 | ⚪ D | · | · | 137 | 0.115 | 86.6 | 10.2% | 15.4% | 386 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 0 |
| 6 |
|
Spencer Horwitz | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 139 | 0.136 | 86.3 | 1.9% | 17.6% | 380 | 4.8% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 33 |
| 7 |
|
Nick Yorke | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 144 | 0.089 | 90.8 | 6.0% | 0.0% | 394 | 8.3% | 10.0% | 4.8% | 18 |
| 8 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 26 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 148 | 0.119 | 91.5 | 9.4% | 8.3% | 405 | 12.0% | 0.0% | 5.1% | 27 |
| 9 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 6 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 171 | 0.049 | 87.3 | 1.5% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.5% | 39 |
Paul Skenes
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jordan Walker | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 40 | 0.253 | 94.8 | 21.7% | 31.6% | 413 | 13.3% | 0.0% | 14.5% | 24 |
| 2 |
|
Nathan Church | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 61 | 0.200 | 84.8 | 4.7% | 41.7% | 374 | 23.1% | 27.3% | 20.8% | 32 |
| 3 |
|
Ivan Herrera | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 82 | 0.181 | 90.1 | 9.3% | 18.8% | 391 | 11.1% | 28.6% | 15.1% | 33 |
| 4 |
|
Alec Burleson | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 93 | 0.176 | 92.0 | 11.3% | 10.5% | 423 | 15.4% | 20.0% | 8.3% | 37 |
| 5 |
|
Pedro Pagés | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 99 | 0.183 | 86.6 | 5.1% | 27.3% | 418 | 14.3% | 0.0% | 16.6% | 20 |
| 6 |
|
JJ Wetherholt | 33 | ⚪ D | · | · | 128 | 0.203 | 88.0 | 5.7% | 17.6% | 396 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.1% | 0 |
| 7 |
|
Nolan Gorman | 29 | ⚪ D | · | · | 138 | 0.143 | 88.1 | 5.3% | 17.4% | 405 | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 34 |
| 8 |
|
Masyn Winn | 20 | ⚪ D | · | · | 161 | 0.107 | 85.9 | 3.5% | 9.1% | 373 | 4.0% | 10.0% | 5.6% | 35 |
| 9 |
|
Victor Scott II | 7 | ⚪ D | · | · | 170 | 0.053 | 85.6 | 0.0% | 20.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 18 |