⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
STL
@ 12:35p
PIT
PNC Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.80×
Weather Mod
+2.0%
cold air · strong wind out · roof open
Combined
0.965
Temp
49.4°F
Wind
15.0 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Oneil Cruz Oneil Cruz 72 🟡 B · 🌧️ COOL 24 0.265 97.3 23.5% 33.3% 415 33.3% 36.4% 22.6% 29
2 Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe 54 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 55 0.275 86.5 12.3% 33.3% 390 4.8% 0.0% 13.4% 28
3 Ryan O'Hearn Ryan O'Hearn 46 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 85 0.183 90.6 8.6% 20.0% 385 15.4% 20.0% 11.2% 31
4 Marcell Ozuna Marcell Ozuna 33 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 129 0.080 88.5 9.8% 8.3% 405 7.1% 16.7% 6.4% 32
5 Konnor Griffin Konnor Griffin 29 ⚪ D · · 137 0.115 86.6 10.2% 15.4% 386 0.0% 0.0% 7.1% 0
6 Spencer Horwitz Spencer Horwitz 29 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 139 0.136 86.3 1.9% 17.6% 380 4.8% 11.1% 7.4% 33
7 Nick Yorke Nick Yorke 27 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 144 0.089 90.8 6.0% 0.0% 394 8.3% 10.0% 4.8% 18
8 Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds 26 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 148 0.119 91.5 9.4% 8.3% 405 12.0% 0.0% 5.1% 27
9 Nick Gonzales Nick Gonzales 6 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 171 0.049 87.3 1.5% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 4.5% 39
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jordan Walker Jordan Walker 62 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 40 0.253 94.8 21.7% 31.6% 413 13.3% 0.0% 14.5% 24
2 Nathan Church Nathan Church 52 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 61 0.200 84.8 4.7% 41.7% 374 23.1% 27.3% 20.8% 32
3 Ivan Herrera Ivan Herrera 47 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 82 0.181 90.1 9.3% 18.8% 391 11.1% 28.6% 15.1% 33
4 Alec Burleson Alec Burleson 43 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 93 0.176 92.0 11.3% 10.5% 423 15.4% 20.0% 8.3% 37
5 Pedro Pagés Pedro Pagés 41 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 99 0.183 86.6 5.1% 27.3% 418 14.3% 0.0% 16.6% 20
6 JJ Wetherholt JJ Wetherholt 33 ⚪ D · · 128 0.203 88.0 5.7% 17.6% 396 0.0% 0.0% 13.1% 0
7 Nolan Gorman Nolan Gorman 29 ⚪ D · · 138 0.143 88.1 5.3% 17.4% 405 8.0% 9.1% 8.3% 34
8 Masyn Winn Masyn Winn 20 ⚪ D · · 161 0.107 85.9 3.5% 9.1% 373 4.0% 10.0% 5.6% 35
9 Victor Scott II Victor Scott II 7 ⚪ D · · 170 0.053 85.6 0.0% 20.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.1% 18
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