STL
@
1:40p
MIL
Park Factor
0.97×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
warm air · light wind out · retractable roof
Combined
0.971
Temp
77.0°F
Wind
5.8 mph
out
Roof
retractable
Chad Patrick
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jordan Walker | 74 | 🟡 B | · | · | 10 | 0.292 | 94.3 | 11.7% | 35.3% | 406 | 22.0% | 28.6% | 30.4% | 40 |
| 2 |
|
Iván Herrera | 48 | ⚪ D | · | · | 97 | 0.174 | 89.4 | 7.7% | 18.2% | 403 | 13.6% | 18.2% | 11.1% | 39 |
| 3 |
|
Alec Burleson | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 117 | 0.171 | 91.3 | 9.2% | 16.2% | 408 | 13.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 36 |
| 4 |
|
JJ Wetherholt | 43 | ⚪ D | · | · | 135 | 0.158 | 90.3 | 8.0% | 20.0% | 394 | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 33 |
| 5 |
|
Nolan Gorman | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 168 | 0.128 | 89.5 | 8.8% | 13.5% | 409 | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 26 |
| 6 |
|
Pedro Pagés | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 191 | 0.129 | 86.1 | 7.6% | 20.0% | 403 | 6.9% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 20 |
| 7 |
|
Bryan Torres | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 212 | 0.124 | 90.5 | 7.7% | 11.1% | 415 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 42 |
| 8 |
|
Masyn Winn | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 226 | 0.086 | 86.7 | 5.0% | 6.2% | 373 | 2.0% | 0.0% | 6.8% | 29 |
| 9 |
|
Victor Scott II | 17 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 259 | 0.067 | 87.7 | 2.9% | 9.1% | 406 | 2.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 29 |
Dustin May
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jake Bauers | 63 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 41 | 0.250 | 92.4 | 8.8% | 31.0% | 402 | 15.6% | 20.0% | 24.8% | 29 |
| 2 |
|
Christian Yelich | 56 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 66 | 0.194 | 88.6 | 7.5% | 22.2% | 402 | 10.0% | 50.0% | 21.7% | 24 |
| 3 |
|
Garrett Mitchell | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 92 | 0.120 | 92.2 | 9.2% | 27.3% | 413 | 6.1% | 18.2% | 15.5% | 18 |
| 4 |
|
Jackson Chourio | 46 | ⚪ D | · | · | 113 | 0.152 | 92.4 | 11.1% | 5.3% | 400 | 4.8% | 12.5% | 7.2% | 35 |
| 5 |
|
William Contreras | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 138 | 0.142 | 90.5 | 6.9% | 22.2% | 406 | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 41 |
| 6 |
|
Brice Turang | 41 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 140 | 0.194 | 91.3 | 7.4% | 29.6% | 400 | 10.0% | 7.7% | 13.9% | 28 |
| 7 |
|
Sal Frelick | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 225 | 0.089 | 85.3 | 4.3% | 10.0% | 402 | 4.3% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 38 |
| 8 |
|
Luis Rengifo | 21 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 250 | 0.060 | 87.7 | 6.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.1% | 32 |
| 9 |
|
David Hamilton | 14 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 263 | 0.057 | 85.0 | 3.7% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.1% | 20 |