⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
STL
@ 12:10p
MIA
loanDepot Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.94×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
0.943
Wind
0 mph
dome
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Otto Lopez Otto Lopez 60 🔵 C+ · · 51 0.205 93.0 13.2% 15.8% 385 9.1% 8.3% 14.4% 39
2 Owen Caissie Owen Caissie 58 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 56 0.164 92.8 22.2% 18.2% 387 0.0% 0.0% 11.3% 20
3 Liam Hicks Liam Hicks 46 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 96 0.203 88.8 6.1% 26.7% 367 20.0% 9.1% 15.6% 46
4 Agustín Ramírez Agustín Ramírez 44 ⚪ D · · 104 0.141 88.5 6.1% 18.2% 418 14.3% 16.7% 10.1% 39
5 Xavier Edwards Xavier Edwards 39 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 133 0.135 89.8 3.4% 5.9% 377 0.0% 0.0% 7.8% 40
6 Jakob Marsee Jakob Marsee 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 142 0.088 88.3 2.0% 5.0% · 12.5% 14.3% 7.3% 39
7 Heriberto Hernández 23 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 213 0.038 90.4 6.1% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.2% 15
8 Javier Sanoja Javier Sanoja 20 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 227 0.060 89.4 2.8% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.4% 20
9 Leo Jiménez 13 ⚪ D · · 250 · 86.1 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 11.2% 2
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ramón Urías Ramón Urías 56 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 67 0.231 93.1 16.7% 22.2% 412 0.0% 0.0% 14.4% 20
2 Iván Herrera Iván Herrera 35 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 161 0.108 90.0 5.9% 16.7% 401 0.0% 0.0% 9.3% 34
3 Nathan Church Nathan Church 35 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 166 0.134 84.4 8.0% 28.6% 378 14.3% 16.7% 9.2% 19
4 JJ Wetherholt JJ Wetherholt 34 ⚪ D · · 171 0.132 89.8 7.7% 15.8% 396 0.0% 0.0% 9.9% 0
5 Nolan Gorman Nolan Gorman 32 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 180 0.121 87.0 6.3% 16.7% 431 10.5% 10.0% 7.9% 24
6 Pedro Pagés Pedro Pagés 28 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 194 0.108 88.2 4.2% 10.0% 418 20.0% 0.0% 7.2% 22
7 Thomas Saggese Thomas Saggese 20 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 226 0.043 88.0 3.4% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.5% 14
8 José Fermín José Fermín 17 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 240 0.025 81.5 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 10.3% 13
9 Victor Scott II Victor Scott II 10 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 256 0.017 87.1 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.0% 18
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