⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
STL
@ 6:40p
MIA
loanDepot Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.94×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
0.943
Wind
0 mph
dome
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jordan Walker Jordan Walker 83 🟢 A · 🌧️ COOL 7 0.329 95.8 24.4% 40.0% 413 22.2% 14.3% 35.5% 32
2 Alec Burleson Alec Burleson 52 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 67 0.163 92.8 12.1% 13.0% 431 15.0% 18.2% 10.1% 41
3 Ivan Herrera Ivan Herrera 40 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 113 0.116 90.0 5.9% 20.0% 401 7.1% 14.3% 10.1% 35
4 Masyn Winn Masyn Winn 40 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 114 0.137 87.4 2.9% 10.0% · 5.3% 10.0% 8.2% 24
5 JJ Wetherholt JJ Wetherholt 36 ⚪ D · · 140 0.126 89.8 7.7% 16.7% 396 0.0% 0.0% 10.8% 0
6 Nolan Gorman Nolan Gorman 35 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 148 0.129 87.0 6.3% 16.7% 431 11.1% 10.0% 8.6% 25
7 Nathan Church Nathan Church 28 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 181 0.084 84.4 8.0% 16.7% 378 0.0% 0.0% 10.6% 16
8 Thomas Saggese Thomas Saggese 23 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 199 0.043 88.0 3.4% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.1% 17
9 Victor Scott II Victor Scott II 13 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 233 0.018 87.1 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.5% 17
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Otto Lopez Otto Lopez 56 🟠 C · · 51 0.217 93.0 13.2% 15.8% 385 9.5% 8.3% 13.3% 39
2 Owen Caissie Owen Caissie 53 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 62 0.169 92.8 22.2% 18.2% 387 0.0% 0.0% 10.1% 20
3 Connor Norby Connor Norby 50 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 78 0.160 87.4 10.5% 11.1% 376 9.5% 16.7% 13.1% 27
4 Liam Hicks Liam Hicks 42 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 106 0.211 88.8 6.1% 26.7% 367 21.1% 9.1% 14.0% 43
5 Agustín Ramírez Agustín Ramírez 41 ⚪ D · · 108 0.148 88.5 6.1% 18.2% 418 16.7% 20.0% 8.9% 40
6 Xavier Edwards Xavier Edwards 35 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 146 0.141 89.8 3.4% 5.9% 377 0.0% 0.0% 7.0% 40
7 Graham Pauley Graham Pauley 25 ⚪ D · · 194 0.120 81.7 3.4% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.1% 25
8 Heriberto Hernández 18 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 216 0.039 90.4 6.1% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.2% 17
9 Jakob Marsee Jakob Marsee 14 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 228 0.058 88.3 2.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.6% 39
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