STL
@
6:40p
MIA
Park Factor
0.94×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
0.943
Wind
0 mph
dome
Chris Paddack
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jordan Walker | 83 | 🟢 A | · | 🌧️ COOL | 7 | 0.329 | 95.8 | 24.4% | 40.0% | 413 | 22.2% | 14.3% | 35.5% | 32 |
| 2 |
|
Alec Burleson | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 67 | 0.163 | 92.8 | 12.1% | 13.0% | 431 | 15.0% | 18.2% | 10.1% | 41 |
| 3 |
|
Ivan Herrera | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 113 | 0.116 | 90.0 | 5.9% | 20.0% | 401 | 7.1% | 14.3% | 10.1% | 35 |
| 4 |
|
Masyn Winn | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 114 | 0.137 | 87.4 | 2.9% | 10.0% | · | 5.3% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 24 |
| 5 |
|
JJ Wetherholt | 36 | ⚪ D | · | · | 140 | 0.126 | 89.8 | 7.7% | 16.7% | 396 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.8% | 0 |
| 6 |
|
Nolan Gorman | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 148 | 0.129 | 87.0 | 6.3% | 16.7% | 431 | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 25 |
| 7 |
|
Nathan Church | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 181 | 0.084 | 84.4 | 8.0% | 16.7% | 378 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.6% | 16 |
| 8 |
|
Thomas Saggese | 23 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 199 | 0.043 | 88.0 | 3.4% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 17 |
| 9 |
|
Victor Scott II | 13 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 233 | 0.018 | 87.1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.5% | 17 |
Dustin May
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Otto Lopez | 56 | 🟠 C | · | · | 51 | 0.217 | 93.0 | 13.2% | 15.8% | 385 | 9.5% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 39 |
| 2 |
|
Owen Caissie | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 62 | 0.169 | 92.8 | 22.2% | 18.2% | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.1% | 20 |
| 3 |
|
Connor Norby | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 78 | 0.160 | 87.4 | 10.5% | 11.1% | 376 | 9.5% | 16.7% | 13.1% | 27 |
| 4 |
|
Liam Hicks | 42 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 106 | 0.211 | 88.8 | 6.1% | 26.7% | 367 | 21.1% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 43 |
| 5 |
|
Agustín Ramírez | 41 | ⚪ D | · | · | 108 | 0.148 | 88.5 | 6.1% | 18.2% | 418 | 16.7% | 20.0% | 8.9% | 40 |
| 6 |
|
Xavier Edwards ⚡ | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 146 | 0.141 | 89.8 | 3.4% | 5.9% | 377 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 40 |
| 7 |
|
Graham Pauley | 25 | ⚪ D | · | · | 194 | 0.120 | 81.7 | 3.4% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.1% | 25 |
| 8 | Heriberto Hernández | 18 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 216 | 0.039 | 90.4 | 6.1% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 17 | |
| 9 |
|
Jakob Marsee | 14 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 228 | 0.058 | 88.3 | 2.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.6% | 39 |