STL
@
—
DET
Park Factor
0.93×
Weather Mod
+3.0%
cold air · strong wind out · roof open
Combined
1.209
Temp
41.4°F
Wind
19.6 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Brendan Donovan | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 74 | 0.135 | 89.7 | 8.4% | 6.9% | 387 | 20.0% | 20.0% | 9.5% | 26 |
| 2 |
|
Alec Burleson | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 82 | 0.169 | 91.0 | 8.8% | 10.2% | 408 | 14.3% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 20 |
| 3 |
|
Ivan Herrera | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 101 | 0.180 | 91.2 | 9.4% | 19.4% | 407 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.9% | 14 |
| 4 |
|
Nolan Gorman | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 121 | 0.165 | 89.6 | 8.6% | 12.7% | 409 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 12.8% | 12 |
| 5 |
|
Willson Contreras | 42 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 143 | 0.190 | 90.6 | 10.6% | 15.2% | 407 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.0% | 14 |
| 6 |
|
Lars Nootbaar | 38 | ⚪ D | · | · | 172 | 0.128 | 91.3 | 9.1% | 7.3% | 388 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.7% | 0 |
| 7 |
|
Nolan Arenado | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 213 | 0.140 | 86.8 | 5.6% | 7.5% | 383 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.9% | 19 |
| 8 |
|
Masyn Winn | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 224 | 0.110 | 88.3 | 6.2% | 5.7% | 388 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.6% | 15 |
| 9 |
|
Victor Scott II | 20 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 248 | 0.080 | 86.1 | 5.5% | 4.9% | 397 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.0% | 18 |
Kyle Leahy
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Kerry Carpenter | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 84 | 0.245 | 91.4 | 11.1% | 17.3% | 391 | 14.3% | 14.3% | 9.5% | 19 |
| 2 |
|
Spencer Torkelson | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 99 | 0.217 | 90.2 | 11.5% | 15.0% | 394 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.8% | 26 |
| 3 |
|
Riley Greene | 44 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 133 | 0.235 | 89.9 | 13.0% | 22.9% | 397 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.9% | 25 |
| 4 |
|
Wenceel Perez | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 151 | 0.186 | 90.3 | 9.3% | 11.0% | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.6% | 10 |
| 5 |
|
Colt Keith | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 152 | 0.157 | 90.0 | 9.5% | 10.7% | 390 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 21 |
| 6 |
|
Dillon Dingler | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 167 | 0.147 | 90.0 | 9.5% | 11.1% | 389 | 14.3% | 14.3% | 7.6% | 26 |
| 7 |
|
Gleyber Torres | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 190 | 0.132 | 90.0 | 9.0% | 9.0% | 400 | 14.3% | 14.3% | 6.8% | 11 |
| 8 |
|
Zach McKinstry | 35 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 193 | 0.179 | 85.7 | 7.7% | 10.3% | 376 | 14.3% | 14.3% | 7.3% | 17 |
| 9 |
|
Javier Baez | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 199 | 0.141 | 88.2 | 7.3% | 10.4% | 391 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.3% | 18 |