⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
TB
@
MIN
Target Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.95×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cold air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
0.855
Temp
31.0°F
Wind
8.1 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Matt Wallner Matt Wallner 64 🔵 C+ · · 19 0.262 91.0 9.8% 19.6% 406 28.6% 28.6% 13.7% 14
2 Byron Buxton Byron Buxton 61 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 29 0.287 92.5 11.0% 21.3% 406 0.0% 0.0% 14.3% 10
3 Royce Lewis Royce Lewis 51 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 90 0.152 89.8 7.8% 9.6% 402 28.6% 28.6% 9.6% 22
4 Trevor Larnach Trevor Larnach 44 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 134 0.153 90.9 7.0% 12.0% 405 0.0% 0.0% 10.7% 12
5 Luke Keaschall Luke Keaschall 43 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 142 0.143 86.2 6.0% 7.7% 399 0.0% 0.0% 8.6% 25
6 Ryan Jeffers Ryan Jeffers 40 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 163 0.131 89.3 6.6% 7.0% 411 0.0% 0.0% 8.2% 20
7 Edouard Julien Edouard Julien 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 171 0.104 89.2 9.2% 10.3% 391 0.0% 0.0% 9.9% 14
8 Brooks Lee Brooks Lee 36 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 185 0.133 88.6 6.3% 10.3% 383 0.0% 0.0% 9.9% 20
9 Christian Vazquez Christian Vazquez 34 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 203 0.084 85.9 5.1% 4.1% 386 20.0% 20.0% 6.3% 5
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Yandy Diaz Yandy Diaz 64 🔵 C+ · 🔥 HOT 20 0.182 93.0 9.7% 18.2% 379 50.0% 50.0% 13.3% 28
2 Junior Caminero Junior Caminero 62 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 23 0.271 92.4 12.6% 24.5% 392 0.0% 0.0% 15.4% 15
3 Jonathan Aranda Jonathan Aranda 59 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 42 0.173 93.0 12.1% 14.7% 398 16.7% 16.7% 12.0% 20
4 Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe 58 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 46 0.221 91.1 12.1% 22.0% 400 16.7% 16.7% 14.6% 16
5 Christopher Morel Christopher Morel 49 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 96 0.176 91.8 13.0% 14.5% 404 0.0% 0.0% 11.9% 6
6 Josh Lowe Josh Lowe 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 126 0.146 88.6 8.2% 12.9% 392 0.0% 0.0% 11.2% 16
7 Taylor Walls Taylor Walls 29 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 221 0.099 87.0 6.0% 4.8% 388 0.0% 0.0% 6.8% 4
8 Jake Mangum Jake Mangum 19 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 249 0.072 87.3 5.4% 4.1% 405 0.0% 0.0% 6.3% 15
9 Chandler Simpson Chandler Simpson 15 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 251 0.051 84.3 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 1.3% 22
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