⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
STL
@
DET
Comerica Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.93×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · steady crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.651
Temp
41.2°F
Wind
11.5 mph
cross
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Spencer Torkelson Spencer Torkelson 54 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 65 0.217 90.2 11.1% 15.0% 394 0.0% 0.0% 13.6% 26
2 Kerry Carpenter Kerry Carpenter 51 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 81 0.245 91.4 10.7% 17.3% 391 0.0% 0.0% 14.6% 19
3 Riley Greene Riley Greene 49 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 88 0.235 89.9 12.5% 22.9% 397 0.0% 0.0% 16.8% 25
4 Wenceel Perez Wenceel Perez 47 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 106 0.186 90.3 9.0% 11.0% 385 0.0% 0.0% 11.7% 10
5 Colt Keith Colt Keith 47 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 108 0.157 90.0 9.2% 10.7% 390 0.0% 0.0% 11.5% 21
6 Dillon Dingler Dillon Dingler 45 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 120 0.147 90.0 9.2% 11.1% 389 16.7% 16.7% 11.7% 26
7 Javier Baez Javier Baez 39 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 148 0.141 88.2 7.1% 10.4% 391 0.0% 0.0% 11.3% 18
8 Gleyber Torres Gleyber Torres 35 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 178 0.132 90.0 8.7% 9.0% 400 0.0% 0.0% 10.5% 11
9 Zach McKinstry Zach McKinstry 34 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 185 0.179 85.7 7.5% 10.3% 376 0.0% 0.0% 11.3% 17
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Alec Burleson Alec Burleson 52 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 76 0.169 91.0 9.9% 10.2% 408 16.7% 16.7% 10.7% 20
2 Brendan Donovan Brendan Donovan 52 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 77 0.135 89.7 9.5% 6.9% 387 25.0% 25.0% 8.8% 26
3 Ivan Herrera Ivan Herrera 47 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 103 0.180 91.2 10.6% 19.4% 407 0.0% 0.0% 14.8% 14
4 Nolan Gorman Nolan Gorman 46 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 114 0.165 89.6 9.7% 12.7% 409 20.0% 20.0% 11.9% 12
5 Willson Contreras Willson Contreras 41 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 138 0.190 90.6 12.0% 15.2% 407 0.0% 0.0% 13.1% 14
6 Lars Nootbaar Lars Nootbaar 37 ⚪ D · · 168 0.128 91.3 10.2% 7.3% 388 0.0% 0.0% 9.1% 0
7 Nolan Arenado Nolan Arenado 28 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 206 0.140 86.8 6.3% 7.5% 383 0.0% 0.0% 9.2% 19
8 Masyn Winn Masyn Winn 26 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 215 0.110 88.3 7.0% 5.7% 388 0.0% 0.0% 8.0% 15
9 Victor Scott II Victor Scott II 18 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 238 0.080 86.1 6.2% 4.9% 397 0.0% 0.0% 7.4% 18
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