STL
@
—
DET
Park Factor
0.93×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · steady crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.651
Temp
41.2°F
Wind
11.5 mph
cross
Roof
open
Dustin May
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Spencer Torkelson | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 65 | 0.217 | 90.2 | 11.1% | 15.0% | 394 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.6% | 26 |
| 2 |
|
Kerry Carpenter | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 81 | 0.245 | 91.4 | 10.7% | 17.3% | 391 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.6% | 19 |
| 3 |
|
Riley Greene | 49 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 88 | 0.235 | 89.9 | 12.5% | 22.9% | 397 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.8% | 25 |
| 4 |
|
Wenceel Perez | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 106 | 0.186 | 90.3 | 9.0% | 11.0% | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.7% | 10 |
| 5 |
|
Colt Keith | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 108 | 0.157 | 90.0 | 9.2% | 10.7% | 390 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.5% | 21 |
| 6 |
|
Dillon Dingler | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 120 | 0.147 | 90.0 | 9.2% | 11.1% | 389 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 11.7% | 26 |
| 7 |
|
Javier Baez | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 148 | 0.141 | 88.2 | 7.1% | 10.4% | 391 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.3% | 18 |
| 8 |
|
Gleyber Torres | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 178 | 0.132 | 90.0 | 8.7% | 9.0% | 400 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.5% | 11 |
| 9 |
|
Zach McKinstry | 34 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 185 | 0.179 | 85.7 | 7.5% | 10.3% | 376 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.3% | 17 |
Jack Flaherty
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Alec Burleson | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 76 | 0.169 | 91.0 | 9.9% | 10.2% | 408 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 10.7% | 20 |
| 2 |
|
Brendan Donovan | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 77 | 0.135 | 89.7 | 9.5% | 6.9% | 387 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 8.8% | 26 |
| 3 |
|
Ivan Herrera | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 103 | 0.180 | 91.2 | 10.6% | 19.4% | 407 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.8% | 14 |
| 4 |
|
Nolan Gorman | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 114 | 0.165 | 89.6 | 9.7% | 12.7% | 409 | 20.0% | 20.0% | 11.9% | 12 |
| 5 |
|
Willson Contreras | 41 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 138 | 0.190 | 90.6 | 12.0% | 15.2% | 407 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.1% | 14 |
| 6 |
|
Lars Nootbaar | 37 | ⚪ D | · | · | 168 | 0.128 | 91.3 | 10.2% | 7.3% | 388 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.1% | 0 |
| 7 |
|
Nolan Arenado | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 206 | 0.140 | 86.8 | 6.3% | 7.5% | 383 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.2% | 19 |
| 8 |
|
Masyn Winn | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 215 | 0.110 | 88.3 | 7.0% | 5.7% | 388 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.0% | 15 |
| 9 |
|
Victor Scott II | 18 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 238 | 0.080 | 86.1 | 6.2% | 4.9% | 397 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 18 |