⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
SF
@ 6:40p
PHI
Citizens Bank Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.06×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.845
Temp
53.6°F
Wind
4.6 mph
cross
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kyle Schwarber Kyle Schwarber 84 🟢 A · 🌧️ COOL 11 0.315 92.9 21.8% 36.8% 402 24.0% 25.0% 39.6% 32
2 Bryce Harper Bryce Harper 70 🟡 B · · 30 0.240 88.5 13.9% 18.8% 411 20.0% 25.0% 31.1% 35
3 Trea Turner Trea Turner 47 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 116 0.119 88.8 4.8% 10.5% 386 12.0% 16.7% 6.2% 39
4 Adolis García Adolis García 42 ⚪ D · · 143 0.155 92.8 9.2% 14.3% 377 0.0% 0.0% 7.6% 29
5 Brandon Marsh Brandon Marsh 41 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 150 0.170 91.6 5.9% 20.0% 398 8.7% 9.1% 17.7% 30
6 Justin Crawford Justin Crawford 29 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 214 0.085 88.5 1.7% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.8% 38
7 Alec Bohm Alec Bohm 27 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 222 0.059 88.8 1.3% 10.0% 354 4.0% 0.0% 6.0% 37
8 J.T. Realmuto 22 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 234 0.093 88.4 2.3% 16.7% 401 4.8% 0.0% 6.7% 11
9 Bryson Stott Bryson Stott 21 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 238 0.050 89.9 5.1% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.7% 20
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Heliot Ramos Heliot Ramos 65 🔵 C+ · 🔥 HOT 46 0.149 92.8 15.0% 20.0% 397 13.6% 30.0% 17.0% 29
2 Casey Schmitt Casey Schmitt 61 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 53 0.238 91.2 12.1% 12.5% 392 13.0% 27.3% 23.2% 38
3 Willy Adames Willy Adames 46 ⚪ D · · 120 0.166 88.4 11.1% 0.0% 375 8.3% 0.0% 7.4% 27
4 Jung Hoo Lee Jung Hoo Lee 40 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 158 0.155 88.9 1.3% 10.0% 363 8.3% 8.3% 9.8% 40
5 Harrison Bader Harrison Bader 34 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 186 0.077 87.1 8.3% 14.3% 408 0.0% 0.0% 13.8% 33
6 Patrick Bailey Patrick Bailey 30 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 210 0.043 90.4 6.1% 7.7% 407 4.5% 10.0% 10.1% 15
7 Rafael Devers Rafael Devers 27 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 221 0.087 90.8 8.7% 12.5% 408 0.0% 0.0% 8.7% 31
8 Matt Chapman Matt Chapman 26 ⚪ D · · 226 0.091 88.0 3.7% 10.0% 349 4.2% 0.0% 7.8% 31
9 Luis Arraez Luis Arraez 20 ⚪ D · · 241 0.065 85.9 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.0% 49
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