SF
@
6:40p
PHI
Park Factor
1.10×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
0.881
Temp
53.2°F
Wind
4.6 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Kyle Schwarber | 92 | 🔥 A+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 2 | 0.324 | 92.9 | 21.8% | 38.9% | 402 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 34.9% | 31 |
| 2 |
|
Bryce Harper | 78 | 🟡 B | · | · | 18 | 0.240 | 88.5 | 13.9% | 21.4% | 411 | 20.8% | 25.0% | 28.0% | 34 |
| 3 |
|
Trea Turner | 57 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 57 | 0.124 | 88.8 | 4.8% | 10.5% | 386 | 12.5% | 16.7% | 15.3% | 38 |
| 4 |
|
Brandon Marsh | 55 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 59 | 0.176 | 91.6 | 5.9% | 22.2% | 398 | 9.1% | 9.1% | 16.8% | 29 |
| 5 |
|
Adolis García | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 88 | 0.150 | 92.8 | 9.2% | 16.7% | 377 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 18.3% | 28 |
| 6 |
|
Justin Crawford | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 139 | 0.089 | 88.5 | 1.7% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 37 |
| 7 |
|
Alec Bohm | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 149 | 0.051 | 88.8 | 1.3% | 12.5% | 354 | 4.2% | 0.0% | 15.1% | 33 |
| 8 | J.T. Realmuto | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 168 | 0.093 | 88.4 | 2.3% | 16.7% | 401 | 5.0% | 0.0% | 16.0% | 15 | |
| 9 |
|
Bryson Stott | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 176 | 0.052 | 89.9 | 5.1% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.8% | 23 |
Jesús Luzardo
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Casey Schmitt | 71 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 29 | 0.247 | 91.2 | 12.1% | 0.0% | 392 | 13.6% | 30.0% | 18.3% | 37 |
| 2 |
|
Heliot Ramos | 68 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🔥 HOT | 34 | 0.143 | 92.8 | 15.0% | 20.0% | 397 | 14.3% | 33.3% | 17.2% | 30 |
| 3 |
|
Willy Adames | 49 | ⚪ D | · | · | 83 | 0.171 | 88.4 | 11.1% | 0.0% | 375 | 8.7% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 28 |
| 4 |
|
Jung Hoo Lee | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 110 | 0.162 | 88.9 | 1.3% | 10.0% | 363 | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 41 |
| 5 |
|
Harrison Bader | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 130 | 0.077 | 87.1 | 8.3% | 14.3% | 408 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.6% | 33 |
| 6 |
|
Patrick Bailey | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 156 | 0.044 | 90.4 | 6.1% | 7.7% | 407 | 4.8% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 18 |
| 7 |
|
Rafael Devers | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 164 | 0.090 | 90.8 | 8.7% | 12.5% | 408 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.1% | 31 |
| 8 |
|
Matt Chapman | 29 | ⚪ D | · | · | 177 | 0.094 | 88.0 | 3.7% | 10.0% | 349 | 4.3% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 35 |
| 9 |
|
Luis Arraez | 22 | ⚪ D | · | · | 201 | 0.057 | 85.9 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 50 |