⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
SF
@ 6:40p
PHI
Citizens Bank Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.10×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
0.881
Temp
53.2°F
Wind
4.6 mph
out
Roof
open
Tyler Mahle
Tyler Mahle RHP 💥 Meltdown
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kyle Schwarber Kyle Schwarber 92 🔥 A+ · 🌧️ COOL 2 0.324 92.9 21.8% 38.9% 402 25.0% 25.0% 34.9% 31
2 Bryce Harper Bryce Harper 78 🟡 B · · 18 0.240 88.5 13.9% 21.4% 411 20.8% 25.0% 28.0% 34
3 Trea Turner Trea Turner 57 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 57 0.124 88.8 4.8% 10.5% 386 12.5% 16.7% 15.3% 38
4 Brandon Marsh Brandon Marsh 55 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 59 0.176 91.6 5.9% 22.2% 398 9.1% 9.1% 16.8% 29
5 Adolis García Adolis García 48 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 88 0.150 92.8 9.2% 16.7% 377 0.0% 0.0% 18.3% 28
6 Justin Crawford Justin Crawford 37 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 139 0.089 88.5 1.7% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.7% 37
7 Alec Bohm Alec Bohm 35 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 149 0.051 88.8 1.3% 12.5% 354 4.2% 0.0% 15.1% 33
8 J.T. Realmuto 32 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 168 0.093 88.4 2.3% 16.7% 401 5.0% 0.0% 16.0% 15
9 Bryson Stott Bryson Stott 29 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 176 0.052 89.9 5.1% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.8% 23
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Casey Schmitt Casey Schmitt 71 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 29 0.247 91.2 12.1% 0.0% 392 13.6% 30.0% 18.3% 37
2 Heliot Ramos Heliot Ramos 68 🔵 C+ · 🔥 HOT 34 0.143 92.8 15.0% 20.0% 397 14.3% 33.3% 17.2% 30
3 Willy Adames Willy Adames 49 ⚪ D · · 83 0.171 88.4 11.1% 0.0% 375 8.7% 0.0% 8.1% 28
4 Jung Hoo Lee Jung Hoo Lee 43 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 110 0.162 88.9 1.3% 10.0% 363 8.7% 9.1% 10.8% 41
5 Harrison Bader Harrison Bader 39 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 130 0.077 87.1 8.3% 14.3% 408 0.0% 0.0% 14.6% 33
6 Patrick Bailey Patrick Bailey 33 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 156 0.044 90.4 6.1% 7.7% 407 4.8% 11.1% 8.9% 18
7 Rafael Devers Rafael Devers 32 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 164 0.090 90.8 8.7% 12.5% 408 0.0% 0.0% 9.1% 31
8 Matt Chapman Matt Chapman 29 ⚪ D · · 177 0.094 88.0 3.7% 10.0% 349 4.3% 0.0% 8.3% 35
9 Luis Arraez Luis Arraez 22 ⚪ D · · 201 0.057 85.9 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.4% 50
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