⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
SF
@ 7:15p
BAL
Camden Yards · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.28×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · light partial wind out · roof open
Combined
0.896
Temp
44.7°F
Wind
3.5 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Pete Alonso Pete Alonso 66 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 20 0.252 93.5 13.0% 19.3% 408 9.1% 10.0% 20.3% 32
2 Gunnar Henderson Gunnar Henderson 63 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 31 0.165 92.1 8.7% 12.3% 393 30.0% 33.3% 18.4% 30
3 Taylor Ward Taylor Ward 58 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 45 0.247 90.1 11.0% 18.2% 396 0.0% 0.0% 19.7% 33
4 Samuel Basallo Samuel Basallo 54 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 64 0.165 89.1 8.9% 12.5% 412 0.0% 0.0% 15.9% 14
5 Blaze Alexander Blaze Alexander 52 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 76 0.152 90.2 10.7% 15.9% 387 0.0% 0.0% 11.4% 19
6 Adley Rutschman Adley Rutschman 47 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 114 0.146 89.4 8.2% 8.5% 395 0.0% 0.0% 8.0% 19
7 Jeremiah Jackson Jeremiah Jackson 44 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 130 0.171 90.6 8.2% 11.9% 398 0.0% 0.0% 11.1% 21
8 Dylan Beavers Dylan Beavers 42 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 145 0.173 88.8 9.1% 11.1% 403 0.0% 0.0% 10.9% 23
9 Leody Taveras Leody Taveras 37 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 190 0.099 88.5 7.5% 5.1% 393 0.0% 0.0% 7.0% 6
Shane Baz
Shane Baz RHP
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Willy Adames Willy Adames 60 🔵 C+ · · 37 0.196 88.9 10.9% 15.1% 401 10.0% 10.0% 17.6% 34
2 Rafael Devers Rafael Devers 58 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 42 0.227 93.5 12.3% 20.8% 401 0.0% 0.0% 31.2% 31
3 Matt Chapman Matt Chapman 54 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 63 0.198 92.2 9.7% 14.8% 399 10.0% 10.0% 17.6% 35
4 Harrison Bader Harrison Bader 51 🟠 C · · 83 0.172 87.2 9.8% 14.8% 390 0.0% 0.0% 15.3% 30
5 Casey Schmitt Casey Schmitt 49 ⚪ D · · 97 0.163 89.5 9.2% 12.1% 394 0.0% 0.0% 13.1% 14
6 Heliot Ramos Heliot Ramos 44 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 128 0.144 91.8 9.1% 11.9% 403 0.0% 0.0% 11.5% 25
7 Jung Hoo Lee Jung Hoo Lee 38 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 183 0.141 87.1 5.9% 4.9% 381 0.0% 0.0% 7.2% 31
8 Patrick Bailey Patrick Bailey 36 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 199 0.103 88.2 7.3% 4.9% 379 0.0% 0.0% 6.7% 26
9 Luis Arraez Luis Arraez 26 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 233 0.100 86.1 3.2% 4.4% 370 0.0% 0.0% 6.4% 46
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