SF
@
7:15p
BAL
Park Factor
1.28×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · light partial wind out · roof open
Combined
0.896
Temp
44.7°F
Wind
3.5 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
Landen Roupp
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Pete Alonso | 66 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 20 | 0.252 | 93.5 | 13.0% | 19.3% | 408 | 9.1% | 10.0% | 20.3% | 32 |
| 2 |
|
Gunnar Henderson | 63 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 31 | 0.165 | 92.1 | 8.7% | 12.3% | 393 | 30.0% | 33.3% | 18.4% | 30 |
| 3 |
|
Taylor Ward | 58 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 45 | 0.247 | 90.1 | 11.0% | 18.2% | 396 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 19.7% | 33 |
| 4 |
|
Samuel Basallo | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 64 | 0.165 | 89.1 | 8.9% | 12.5% | 412 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.9% | 14 |
| 5 |
|
Blaze Alexander | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 76 | 0.152 | 90.2 | 10.7% | 15.9% | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.4% | 19 |
| 6 |
|
Adley Rutschman | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 114 | 0.146 | 89.4 | 8.2% | 8.5% | 395 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.0% | 19 |
| 7 |
|
Jeremiah Jackson | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 130 | 0.171 | 90.6 | 8.2% | 11.9% | 398 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.1% | 21 |
| 8 |
|
Dylan Beavers | 42 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 145 | 0.173 | 88.8 | 9.1% | 11.1% | 403 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.9% | 23 |
| 9 |
|
Leody Taveras | 37 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 190 | 0.099 | 88.5 | 7.5% | 5.1% | 393 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 6 |
Shane Baz
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Willy Adames | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 37 | 0.196 | 88.9 | 10.9% | 15.1% | 401 | 10.0% | 10.0% | 17.6% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Rafael Devers | 58 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 42 | 0.227 | 93.5 | 12.3% | 20.8% | 401 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 31.2% | 31 |
| 3 |
|
Matt Chapman | 54 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 63 | 0.198 | 92.2 | 9.7% | 14.8% | 399 | 10.0% | 10.0% | 17.6% | 35 |
| 4 |
|
Harrison Bader | 51 | 🟠 C | · | · | 83 | 0.172 | 87.2 | 9.8% | 14.8% | 390 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.3% | 30 |
| 5 |
|
Casey Schmitt | 49 | ⚪ D | · | · | 97 | 0.163 | 89.5 | 9.2% | 12.1% | 394 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.1% | 14 |
| 6 |
|
Heliot Ramos | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 128 | 0.144 | 91.8 | 9.1% | 11.9% | 403 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.5% | 25 |
| 7 |
|
Jung Hoo Lee | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 183 | 0.141 | 87.1 | 5.9% | 4.9% | 381 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 31 |
| 8 |
|
Patrick Bailey | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 199 | 0.103 | 88.2 | 7.3% | 4.9% | 379 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 26 |
| 9 |
|
Luis Arraez | 26 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 233 | 0.100 | 86.1 | 3.2% | 4.4% | 370 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 46 |