SF
@
9:40p
AZ
Park Factor
0.82×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
mild air · light crosswind · retractable roof
Combined
0.821
Temp
71.3°F
Wind
5.8 mph
cross
Roof
retractable
Ryne Nelson
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Casey Schmitt | 61 | 🔵 C+ | +390 | · | 36 | 0.215 | 89.7 | 14.7% | 21.9% | 388 | 14.3% | 15.4% | 22.2% | 31 |
| 2 |
|
Heliot Ramos | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 89 | 0.165 | 92.0 | 13.4% | 13.6% | 399 | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 30 |
| 3 |
|
Rafael Devers | 44 | ⚪ D | +425 | 🌤️ WARM | 101 | 0.148 | 90.2 | 7.2% | 15.4% | 396 | 9.4% | 23.1% | 13.3% | 33 |
| 4 |
|
Willy Adames | 35 | ⚪ D | +475 | · | 153 | 0.123 | 88.6 | 8.3% | 12.5% | 379 | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 41 |
| 5 |
|
Matt Chapman ⚡ | 31 | ⚪ D | +500 | 🌤️ WARM | 186 | 0.082 | 87.0 | 5.4% | 9.1% | 349 | 2.3% | 0.0% | 6.3% | 33 |
| 6 |
|
Patrick Bailey | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 205 | 0.037 | 90.0 | 5.8% | 0.0% | 407 | 2.4% | 0.0% | 5.3% | 10 |
| 7 |
|
Luis Arraez | 22 | ⚪ D | +900 | · | 223 | 0.070 | 87.1 | · | 3.0% | 345 | 4.5% | 15.4% | 4.8% | 43 |
| 8 |
|
Jung Hoo Lee | 19 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 233 | 0.112 | 88.0 | 1.9% | 12.5% | 363 | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 50 |
| 9 |
|
Drew Gilbert ⚡ | 15 | ⚪ D | +750 | ❄ COLD | 240 | 0.100 | 83.2 | 3.1% | 25.0% | 380 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.3% | 22 |
Landen Roupp
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Corbin Carroll | 60 | 🔵 C+ | +575 | 🌤️ WARM | 40 | 0.238 | 91.0 | 13.9% | 28.6% | 417 | 14.8% | 15.4% | 21.0% | 40 |
| 2 |
|
Nolan Arenado ⚡ | 42 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌤️ WARM | 115 | 0.178 | 85.0 | 7.8% | 19.2% | 401 | 14.6% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 30 |
| 3 |
|
Ildemaro Vargas | 35 | ⚪ D | +1000 | 🌧️ COOL | 157 | 0.230 | 87.7 | 4.2% | 17.6% | 399 | 12.9% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 51 |
| 4 |
|
Ketel Marte | 33 | ⚪ D | +475 | · | 168 | 0.152 | 91.8 | 9.2% | 20.8% | 411 | 3.4% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 43 |
| 5 |
|
Alek Thomas | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 170 | 0.159 | 89.9 | 8.3% | 12.5% | 408 | 3.6% | 0.0% | 8.9% | 5 |
| 6 |
|
Jorge Barrosa | 33 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 171 | 0.180 | 85.9 | 7.4% | 11.1% | 351 | 3.7% | 0.0% | 10.0% | 5 |
| 7 |
|
Adrian Del Castillo ⚡ | 33 | ⚪ D | +850 | · | 172 | 0.151 | 88.2 | 8.3% | 16.7% | 403 | 10.5% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 18 |
| 8 |
|
Geraldo Perdomo ⚡ | 21 | ⚪ D | +900 | · | 227 | 0.135 | 87.4 | 3.1% | 5.3% | 382 | 3.2% | 0.0% | 5.1% | 40 |
| 9 |
|
Jose Fernandez ⚡ | 14 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 242 | 0.111 | 88.3 | 4.3% | 33.3% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 22 |