⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
SF
@ 9:40p
AZ
Chase Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.82×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
mild air · light crosswind · retractable roof
Combined
0.821
Temp
71.3°F
Wind
5.8 mph
cross
Roof
retractable
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Casey Schmitt Casey Schmitt 61 🔵 C+ +390 · 36 0.215 89.7 14.7% 21.9% 388 14.3% 15.4% 22.2% 31
2 Heliot Ramos Heliot Ramos 46 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 89 0.165 92.0 13.4% 13.6% 399 10.0% 8.3% 8.6% 30
3 Rafael Devers Rafael Devers 44 ⚪ D +425 🌤️ WARM 101 0.148 90.2 7.2% 15.4% 396 9.4% 23.1% 13.3% 33
4 Willy Adames Willy Adames 35 ⚪ D +475 · 153 0.123 88.6 8.3% 12.5% 379 7.0% 7.7% 6.7% 41
5 Matt Chapman Matt Chapman 31 ⚪ D +500 🌤️ WARM 186 0.082 87.0 5.4% 9.1% 349 2.3% 0.0% 6.3% 33
6 Patrick Bailey Patrick Bailey 27 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 205 0.037 90.0 5.8% 0.0% 407 2.4% 0.0% 5.3% 10
7 Luis Arraez Luis Arraez 22 ⚪ D +900 · 223 0.070 87.1 · 3.0% 345 4.5% 15.4% 4.8% 43
8 Jung Hoo Lee Jung Hoo Lee 19 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 233 0.112 88.0 1.9% 12.5% 363 7.1% 8.3% 6.6% 50
9 Drew Gilbert Drew Gilbert 15 ⚪ D +750 ❄ COLD 240 0.100 83.2 3.1% 25.0% 380 0.0% 0.0% 7.3% 22
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Corbin Carroll Corbin Carroll 60 🔵 C+ +575 🌤️ WARM 40 0.238 91.0 13.9% 28.6% 417 14.8% 15.4% 21.0% 40
2 Nolan Arenado Nolan Arenado 42 ⚪ D +850 🌤️ WARM 115 0.178 85.0 7.8% 19.2% 401 14.6% 15.4% 12.4% 30
3 Ildemaro Vargas Ildemaro Vargas 35 ⚪ D +1000 🌧️ COOL 157 0.230 87.7 4.2% 17.6% 399 12.9% 7.7% 11.3% 51
4 Ketel Marte Ketel Marte 33 ⚪ D +475 · 168 0.152 91.8 9.2% 20.8% 411 3.4% 0.0% 7.8% 43
5 Alek Thomas Alek Thomas 33 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 170 0.159 89.9 8.3% 12.5% 408 3.6% 0.0% 8.9% 5
6 Jorge Barrosa Jorge Barrosa 33 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 171 0.180 85.9 7.4% 11.1% 351 3.7% 0.0% 10.0% 5
7 Adrian Del Castillo Adrian Del Castillo 33 ⚪ D +850 · 172 0.151 88.2 8.3% 16.7% 403 10.5% 0.0% 7.2% 18
8 Geraldo Perdomo Geraldo Perdomo 21 ⚪ D +900 · 227 0.135 87.4 3.1% 5.3% 382 3.2% 0.0% 5.1% 40
9 Jose Fernandez Jose Fernandez 14 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 242 0.111 88.3 4.3% 33.3% 409 0.0% 0.0% 7.4% 22
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