⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
SD
@ 9:45p
SF
Oracle Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.82×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
0.654
Temp
54.5°F
Wind
4 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Miguel Andujar Miguel Andujar 34 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 87 0.165 88.9 · 9.1% 397 13.3% 20.0% 9.8% 26
2 Gavin Sheets Gavin Sheets 34 ⚪ D · · 88 0.244 88.8 · 33.3% 413 7.4% 11.1% 20.4% 19
3 Manny Machado Manny Machado 31 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 99 0.162 89.5 · 28.6% 399 14.3% 20.0% 13.2% 30
4 Xander Bogaerts Xander Bogaerts 24 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 145 0.156 88.3 · 23.8% 385 14.3% 20.0% 11.1% 27
5 Nick Castellanos Nick Castellanos 16 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 169 0.109 88.1 · 8.3% 405 0.0% 0.0% 7.6% 13
6 Ramón Laureano Ramón Laureano 16 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 170 0.187 89.3 · 23.8% 396 0.0% 0.0% 8.9% 23
7 Jackson Merrill Jackson Merrill 16 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 171 0.130 89.1 · 12.5% 399 10.7% 0.0% 5.2% 26
8 Fernando Tatis Jr. Fernando Tatis Jr. 6 ⚪ D · · 196 0.036 93.2 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 4.1% 29
9 Jake Cronenworth Jake Cronenworth 5 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 198 0.056 87.6 · 8.3% 399 3.6% 0.0% 5.0% 22
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Casey Schmitt Casey Schmitt 33 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 92 0.238 89.1 · 13.0% 399 10.7% 18.2% 15.6% 35
2 Jung Hoo Lee Jung Hoo Lee 30 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 105 0.155 88.8 · 11.8% 363 6.9% 8.3% 7.4% 38
3 Heliot Ramos Heliot Ramos 28 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 121 0.149 93.4 · 11.8% 386 11.1% 8.3% 8.3% 34
4 Willy Adames Willy Adames 20 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 161 0.166 88.7 · 20.0% 375 6.9% 0.0% 10.6% 27
5 Luis Arraez Luis Arraez 16 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 167 0.065 86.9 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 4.4% 47
6 Patrick Bailey Patrick Bailey 14 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 177 0.043 90.6 · 0.0% 407 3.7% 9.1% 6.2% 17
7 Harrison Bader Harrison Bader 14 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 178 0.077 87.1 · 0.0% 408 0.0% 0.0% 5.7% 28
8 Matt Chapman Matt Chapman 11 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 186 0.091 87.2 · 18.2% 349 3.4% 0.0% 7.9% 23
9 Rafael Devers Rafael Devers 6 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 197 0.087 89.5 · 6.2% 408 0.0% 0.0% 5.6% 28
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