SD
@
—
BOS
Park Factor
0.92×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · light wind in · roof open
Combined
0.644
Temp
41.6°F
Wind
2.0 mph
in
Roof
open
Walker Buehler
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Wilyer Abreu | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 25 | 0.223 | 90.8 | 10.8% | 15.2% | 400 | 42.9% | 42.9% | 14.3% | 17 |
| 2 |
|
Alex Bregman | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🔥 HOT | 36 | 0.189 | 90.1 | 7.9% | 11.2% | 386 | 12.5% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 15 |
| 3 |
|
Roman Anthony | 59 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 39 | 0.171 | 94.5 | 12.1% | 14.8% | 406 | 14.3% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 14 |
| 4 |
|
Trevor Story | 55 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 58 | 0.170 | 91.4 | 9.7% | 15.2% | 388 | 14.3% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 20 |
| 5 |
|
Ceddanne Rafaela | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 68 | 0.165 | 88.3 | 9.3% | 9.3% | 391 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 11.2% | 22 |
| 6 |
|
Jarren Duran | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 93 | 0.185 | 91.8 | 9.6% | 9.0% | 401 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.0% | 16 |
| 7 |
|
Carlos Narvaez | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 138 | 0.179 | 91.1 | 9.3% | 13.6% | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.5% | 17 |
| 8 |
|
Romy Gonzalez | 42 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 144 | 0.178 | 93.3 | 10.9% | 12.7% | 413 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.0% | 19 |
| 9 |
|
Abraham Toro | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 191 | 0.131 | 86.3 | 6.5% | 8.5% | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.7% | 6 |
Ranger Suarez
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jackson Merrill | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 130 | 0.193 | 89.7 | 8.5% | 11.9% | 391 | 20.0% | 20.0% | 9.4% | 21 |
| 2 |
|
Gavin Sheets | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 173 | 0.177 | 89.9 | 7.2% | 11.9% | 402 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.4% | 22 |
| 3 |
|
Xander Bogaerts | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 177 | 0.128 | 89.0 | 6.2% | 7.8% | 389 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.6% | 22 |
| 4 |
|
Manny Machado | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 186 | 0.185 | 92.9 | 8.4% | 13.1% | 396 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.9% | 13 |
| 5 |
|
Fernando Tatis Jr. | 31 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 210 | 0.178 | 93.3 | 7.7% | 15.8% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.8% | 10 |
| 6 |
|
Elias Diaz | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 218 | 0.133 | 88.4 | 6.4% | 10.1% | 386 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.7% | 1 |
| 7 |
|
Jake Cronenworth | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 232 | 0.131 | 88.5 | 5.8% | 9.1% | 396 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.2% | 19 |
| 8 |
|
Luis Arraez | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 240 | 0.100 | 86.1 | 2.5% | 4.4% | 370 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.7% | 16 |
| 9 |
|
Jose Iglesias | 16 | ⚪ D | · | · | 250 | 0.065 | 84.0 | 3.3% | 4.9% | 391 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0% | 0 |