⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
SD
@
BOS
Fenway Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.92×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · light wind in · roof open
Combined
0.644
Temp
41.6°F
Wind
2.0 mph
in
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Wilyer Abreu Wilyer Abreu 62 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 25 0.223 90.8 10.8% 15.2% 400 42.9% 42.9% 14.3% 17
2 Alex Bregman Alex Bregman 60 🔵 C+ · 🔥 HOT 36 0.189 90.1 7.9% 11.2% 386 12.5% 12.5% 12.2% 15
3 Roman Anthony Roman Anthony 59 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 39 0.171 94.5 12.1% 14.8% 406 14.3% 14.3% 14.1% 14
4 Trevor Story Trevor Story 55 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 58 0.170 91.4 9.7% 15.2% 388 14.3% 14.3% 14.3% 20
5 Ceddanne Rafaela Ceddanne Rafaela 54 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 68 0.165 88.3 9.3% 9.3% 391 16.7% 16.7% 11.2% 22
6 Jarren Duran Jarren Duran 50 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 93 0.185 91.8 9.6% 9.0% 401 0.0% 0.0% 11.0% 16
7 Carlos Narvaez Carlos Narvaez 43 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 138 0.179 91.1 9.3% 13.6% 387 0.0% 0.0% 13.5% 17
8 Romy Gonzalez Romy Gonzalez 42 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 144 0.178 93.3 10.9% 12.7% 413 0.0% 0.0% 13.0% 19
9 Abraham Toro Abraham Toro 35 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 191 0.131 86.3 6.5% 8.5% 387 0.0% 0.0% 10.7% 6
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jackson Merrill Jackson Merrill 45 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 130 0.193 89.7 8.5% 11.9% 391 20.0% 20.0% 9.4% 21
2 Gavin Sheets Gavin Sheets 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 173 0.177 89.9 7.2% 11.9% 402 0.0% 0.0% 9.4% 22
3 Xander Bogaerts Xander Bogaerts 38 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 177 0.128 89.0 6.2% 7.8% 389 0.0% 0.0% 7.6% 22
4 Manny Machado Manny Machado 36 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 186 0.185 92.9 8.4% 13.1% 396 0.0% 0.0% 9.9% 13
5 Fernando Tatis Jr. Fernando Tatis Jr. 31 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 210 0.178 93.3 7.7% 15.8% 409 0.0% 0.0% 10.8% 10
6 Elias Diaz Elias Diaz 29 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 218 0.133 88.4 6.4% 10.1% 386 0.0% 0.0% 8.7% 1
7 Jake Cronenworth Jake Cronenworth 25 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 232 0.131 88.5 5.8% 9.1% 396 0.0% 0.0% 8.2% 19
8 Luis Arraez Luis Arraez 22 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 240 0.100 86.1 2.5% 4.4% 370 0.0% 0.0% 5.7% 16
9 Jose Iglesias Jose Iglesias 16 ⚪ D · · 250 0.065 84.0 3.3% 4.9% 391 0.0% 0.0% 6.0% 0
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